{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"TTD Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"c86707d2-d953-4a29-bb93-188d1f5e1609","symbol":"TTD","name":"The Trade Desk, Inc.","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Communication Services","industry":"Advertising Agencies"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":13},{"week":19,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":13},{"week":20,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":13},{"week":21,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":13},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":13},{"week":23,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":13},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":13},{"week":25,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":13},{"week":26,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":59.2,"averageExpectedMove":59.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-21.7,"medianReturn":-21.7,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-56.1,"medianReturn":-56.1,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-39.3,"medianReturn":-39.3,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-18.4,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-21.9,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-21.7,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-27.4,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-45.8,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-47.5,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-48.6,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-54.7,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-57.9,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-57.5,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-56.1,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-59.2,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-51.5,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-50.4,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-50.3,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-49.7,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-44.7,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-44.2,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-45.2,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-44.8,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-44.5,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-46.1,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-43.6,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-41.3,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-39.3,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 21.3% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-27","price":2439.600098},{"date":"2025-01-17","price":2445.0},{"date":"2025-02-07","price":2325.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-03","price":2507.790039},{"date":"2025-01-31","price":2480.0}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[2005.0,2017.21,2050.0,2000.0,2125.0,2115.6101,2165.0,2250.0,2365.0,2378.3201,2396.0,2520.0,2706.54,2619.0,2615.52,2797.2,2660.0,2500.0,2439.6001,2507.79,2490.6499,2445.0,2425.0,2480.0,2325.0,1630.4399,1474.3199,1430.0,1303.5,1077.24,1144.0,1136.0,956.0,1022.0,975.0,1056.0,1080.0,1393.0,1495.0,1420.23,1425.0,1363.34,1290.0,1311.5,1330.0,1405.21,1398.0,1500.0,1595.0,1620.0,1013.86,976.0,990.2,1017.0,970.0,836.0,806.0,863.0,945.07,965.0,915.48,962.93,934.01,815.0,780.57,735.0,715.0,728.0,666.0,666.0,684.9,674.0,674.0,630.0,632.0,525.0,466.41,443.5,429.0,415.0,517.0,482.0,414.0,391.0,390.0,347.67,388.0,416.0,412.42,387.0,365.06,383.99,372.9,349.86,340.0,335.0,320.0,320.0,345.0,327.0,302.0,313.0,237.36,240.9],"consensus":[78.9957,38.2587,59.9962,10.1145,75.972,22.3445,64.603,72.2085,77.0021,46.2531,44.0962,77.5755,86.7781,46.3708,29.4564,73.678,0.0,-32.2278,-35.3769,18.1417,-19.5715,-17.5339,-21.085,20.8194,-66.82,-78.6031,-84.7238,-68.8321,-83.8822,-88.1315,-20.3043,-60.0396,-83.2734,-9.9478,-39.833,-9.108,0.0,50.0056,35.4009,0.0,16.9265,-23.7396,-36.4793,-16.2936,0.0,37.2001,14.5025,51.6871,65.0433,38.6023,-67.0588,-52.3981,-40.0032,-23.9581,-45.0636,-72.686,-54.6714,-16.7805,0.0,0.0,-26.4836,0.0,-23.4084,-55.8953,-43.0628,-40.3917,-49.6923,-24.419,-58.9094,-28.6733,0.0,-40.3984,-29.4015,-51.2967,-22.772,-72.5249,-66.4023,-56.5166,-55.2483,-44.2063,26.8514,-30.3251,-55.9431,-46.0024,-45.2536,-67.6904,0.0,14.1114,0.0,-30.0051,-28.0504,0.0,-29.6515,-43.1729,-10.9821,-39.6633,-32.4202,-24.2553,0.0,-34.7953,-44.7472,-8.6272,-71.6198,-25.0811],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-44.3395,-15.3315,-55.3853,-77.1397,-56.1991,-10.7866,0.0,0.0,-45.3561,0.0,-31.5719,-59.3453,-46.9058,-38.3018,-58.345,-23.0734,-70.9056,-27.6398,0.0,-50.6907,-43.5803,-66.3983,-20.9662,-82.4921,-64.7237,-65.8392,-63.681,-40.2614,21.881,-47.6424,-71.7156,-57.6151,-53.6578,-70.2533,0.0,5.0964,0.0,-39.8558,-27.6574,0.0,-35.9099,-54.7413,-5.5565,-51.8395,-35.3373,-27.3841,0.0,-49.8583,-53.8912,-15.7088,-72.7079,-21.0091],"force":[-8.9527,-6.4301,-30.7199,-86.3913,-42.9,-27.848,0.0,0.0,-18.2875,0.0,-18.2989,-62.2954,-28.9339,-24.5527,-28.7221,-4.4572,-48.112,-3.9725,0.0,-23.1042,-13.575,-43.9749,-1.6365,-79.3996,-77.6997,-35.1652,-32.8939,-29.0988,84.1009,-23.4609,-58.0101,-36.2395,-24.2913,-83.1351,0.0,58.2464,0.0,-46.7216,-27.4711,0.0,-23.2588,-40.0731,-6.8151,-25.4749,-18.0006,-6.2583,0.0,-33.4624,-50.2179,-17.5719,-97.0726,-4.7179],"direction":[-57.2262,-55.523,-43.5129,-57.8066,-61.3337,-55.5081,0.0,0.0,-10.7693,0.0,-17.7284,-47.3811,-48.763,-54.0938,-54.7821,-46.5827,-52.9118,-47.4977,0.0,-40.9886,-24.5019,-39.2676,-39.9324,-56.2234,-60.2513,-61.1131,-61.5783,-59.5058,8.3608,-15.4369,-36.4409,-39.7041,-50.622,-53.7296,0.0,7.1108,0.0,-6.8067,-28.9133,0.0,-27.0651,-32.1661,-29.895,-35.8823,-39.3862,-33.5345,0.0,-18.5324,-30.3891,-19.2474,-52.1956,-51.0199],"intensity":[5.7692,1.9231,11.5385,61.5385,65.3846,17.3077,32.6923,30.7692,15.3846,13.4615,5.7692,57.6923,51.9231,28.8462,1.9231,1.9231,28.8462,15.3846,3.8462,1.9231,19.2308,32.6923,21.1538,65.3846,67.3077,9.6154,26.9231,25.0,76.9231,51.9231,50.0,57.6923,1.9231,32.6923,28.8462,19.2308,7.6923,30.7692,50.0,13.4615,5.7692,19.2308,28.8462,11.5385,23.0769,1.9231,26.9231,21.1538,36.5385,7.6923,78.8462,84.6154],"confirmation":[79.7886,53.577,81.8259,91.6093,85.1128,32.7086,32.4882,3.6095,75.9374,25.5323,75.2106,86.029,81.291,80.4745,83.1306,53.2387,86.3391,53.7717,6.2732,80.2436,76.7101,83.9617,52.0038,91.2656,89.6186,85.2925,84.8697,81.7457,34.8632,77.2309,85.7244,82.2463,81.7142,90.0926,10.1692,30.1817,24.911,55.2943,76.9645,4.023,77.1983,81.5446,27.1751,80.0743,77.8906,52.4989,25.4769,78.8643,82.3465,28.2697,91.6775,38.5342],"persistence":[25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[29.9053,37.9241,10.1649,3.2115,11.8263,26.7949,10.3265,33.7218,41.2992,23.0644,8.4334,21.2483,27.1778,29.7394,25.081,32.3511,19.2433,28.8343,23.0353,22.8241,24.447,10.0255,33.6632,13.6559,16.7982,21.7396,22.3752,27.7324,26.0503,49.4756,12.7512,0.7698,26.9415,15.8453,25.8064,15.8385,26.4005,52.0842,11.2584,28.5667,22.1761,21.5199,30.35,28.9224,32.9738,31.6186,11.3272,4.0719,18.8488,16.0141,14.177,37.3787],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-25.1,"control":-21.0,"force":-4.7,"direction":-51.0,"confirmation":38.5,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":37.4,"intensity":84.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-25.1","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-21.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-4.7","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-51.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"39/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"26.5","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"17.7%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"39.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"6%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because 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