{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ASCC Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"ca851d02-aebf-425e-a82a-0e20e7226ead","symbol":"ASCC","name":"abrdn Fut Supply Ch UCITS ETF","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CHF","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":58,"displayedObservations":58,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.070309,0.234242,0.467423,0.768929,1.043894,1.117004,0.967237,0.675431,0.342457,0.120915,0.136963,0.278481,0.429812,0.579733,0.787832,0.926684,1.017801,1.156002,1.1318,1.211598,1.361569,1.391414,1.428559,1.2695,0.869482,0.568246,0.156408,-0.058294,-0.04154,-0.11976],"opens":[1.0968,1.0968,1.1208,1.134,1.1588,1.1848,1.1106,1.112,1.0928,1.0822,1.114,1.1646,1.194,1.1958,1.1958,1.2518,1.24,1.292,1.3024,1.2942,1.3578,1.328,1.3218,1.2974,1.2688,1.2736,1.3076,1.2922,1.34,1.3654],"highs":[1.0968,1.1084,1.134,1.1588,1.1848,1.1886,1.1222,1.1134,1.108,1.114,1.1646,1.194,1.195,1.1958,1.2502,1.2854,1.2518,1.292,1.3024,1.2942,1.3578,1.328,1.3218,1.2974,1.2688,1.314,1.3076,1.34,1.3612,1.3654],"lows":[1.0968,1.0968,1.1208,1.134,1.1588,1.145,1.1106,1.0928,1.0854,1.0822,1.114,1.1646,1.194,1.1958,1.1958,1.2394,1.2312,1.2908,1.3024,1.2942,1.3578,1.328,1.3218,1.2974,1.2688,1.2736,1.2774,1.2922,1.34,1.3174],"closes":[1.0968,1.1084,1.134,1.1588,1.1848,1.145,1.112,1.0928,1.0854,1.114,1.1646,1.194,1.195,1.1958,1.2502,1.24,1.2518,1.2908,1.3024,1.2942,1.3578,1.328,1.3218,1.2974,1.2688,1.314,1.2842,1.34,1.3612,1.3174],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"1.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"1.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"1.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"1.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"The current relationship is visible, but this ticker does not yet have a completed comparable outcome.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-29","price":1.2908},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":1.314}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":1.3578},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":1.2842}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[0.9312,0.9385,0.9464,0.9468,0.9533,0.9595,0.96,0.9519,0.9838,0.9868,0.9875,1.012,1.022,1.0096,1.3037,1.063,1.0488,1.0444,1.001,1.0346,1.0448,1.0418,1.0208,1.0242,1.0314,1.0906,1.1078,1.0968,1.0968,1.1084,1.134,1.1588,1.1848,1.145,1.112,1.0928,1.0854,1.114,1.1646,1.194,1.195,1.1958,1.2502,1.24,1.2518,1.2908,1.3024,1.2942,1.3578,1.328,1.3218,1.2974,1.2688,1.314,1.2842,1.34,1.3612,1.3174],"consensus":[-88.1443,100.0,100.0,100.0,16.1285,19.2953,18.0393,0.0,29.0635,24.1068,0.0,36.7787,33.0991,0.0,82.2815,9.7855,-10.6676,-9.0167,-41.2671,18.6303,18.7842,-13.4884,-19.4453,0.0,13.1528,51.5734,48.1519,11.3466,23.2239,38.8524,50.3893,59.849,64.6748,0.0,-23.1886,-40.8685,-37.8795,23.9361,63.3206,66.2816,50.6662,35.9511,78.9051,15.8303,60.4406,41.6998,46.7609,35.5289,55.5756,26.961,29.8023,10.8065,-20.2222,42.8456,-23.2809,59.1948,58.738,-16.2976],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[25.2245,0.0,34.4454,29.8034,0.0,38.9351,37.9001,0.0,74.3861,8.5516,-20.0587,-19.9285,-38.648,29.5169,28.1936,-19.7048,-29.1455,0.0,24.028,56.741,51.5742,0.802,17.5244,47.2627,59.2912,64.4029,68.6066,0.0,-25.2115,-38.8306,-33.3471,38.3469,64.9974,70.8143,53.4461,30.3332,83.5704,2.4962,63.8818,29.7944,42.0663,28.4653,57.4828,18.5107,27.9096,8.7796,-16.2624,65.1855,-23.4782,72.5375,72.142,-28.7319],"force":[21.8148,0.0,37.3462,25.2251,0.0,41.6385,31.1795,0.0,99.2672,5.5438,-26.3135,-18.9408,-61.9905,34.141,26.1015,-24.3951,-28.7875,0.0,22.4535,69.4748,50.4956,7.9093,14.6022,38.6656,51.417,63.3713,67.305,0.0,-45.1492,-60.8564,-47.9863,46.0961,86.0117,74.8325,39.4271,18.4101,92.8904,21.4474,55.3381,26.5556,28.1077,7.5458,31.1911,6.9686,1.4191,12.9326,-25.9546,38.4114,-38.8617,52.8168,41.7897,-41.4885],"direction":[7.1308,0.0,16.9966,16.7976,0.0,30.8429,28.9834,0.0,79.1723,22.1452,-11.2407,-10.5425,-29.458,4.8906,2.8039,-1.4066,-1.6863,0.0,5.9192,32.8807,42.5666,37.1518,35.896,29.3742,39.4815,52.1287,58.3026,0.0,-5.1904,-28.9206,-35.8403,8.3619,45.1964,54.9935,55.5171,54.9008,63.5838,57.6962,60.1525,66.1232,65.4497,63.5895,70.8134,60.8539,52.2391,30.0795,-20.653,20.4815,-11.9262,48.5017,55.5252,-15.9065],"intensity":[83.3333,85.7143,87.5,77.7778,40.0,81.8182,83.3333,53.8462,100.0,93.3333,56.25,58.8235,83.3333,78.9474,70.0,23.8095,59.0909,47.8261,25.0,88.0,80.7692,33.3333,35.7143,37.931,70.0,64.5161,71.875,81.8182,91.1765,48.5714,19.4444,72.973,86.8421,87.1795,70.0,2.439,88.0952,81.3953,72.7273,91.1111,30.4348,21.2766,91.6667,65.3061,8.0,49.0196,63.4615,82.6923,67.3077,88.4615,80.7692,76.9231],"confirmation":[51.1115,24.5023,77.4707,75.6615,25.4416,79.8844,78.4601,28.9137,94.9681,49.199,28.8121,27.9372,81.877,52.6452,51.4239,50.1874,51.6927,1.1494,50.9227,84.9703,83.4279,27.5587,75.2557,80.2989,84.0202,87.1896,88.7162,34.2722,53.3921,81.7181,80.4985,32.5659,88.9286,89.4016,83.8283,79.0554,93.6048,8.7082,87.1331,81.0638,82.4665,55.9574,85.012,54.5422,54.0339,28.1911,74.7061,81.235,75.9217,86.5446,86.0754,22.9345],"persistence":[71.4286,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[40.9638,34.0932,35.116,37.463,48.1523,31.6091,33.3851,50.79,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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the Market Dynamics view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward Market Dynamics view stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: the visible price structure remains vulnerable until Market Dynamics changes.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-16.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-28.7","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-41.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.8196,28.5223,29.811,30.1117,40.6357,44.9313,39.6048,100.0,37.6909,34.015,32.876,21.6412,30.3391,32.9795,32.203,26.7668,27.6469,29.5107,44.8356,47.4517,43.3461,42.5756,45.6292,52.7561,59.6604,66.8987,54.0,40.7968,33.449,29.9422,37.3307,54.0469,63.7595,100.0,100.0,100.0,84.0366,87.9397,99.5595,100.0,97.1004,100.0,91.0295,88.2736,78.0842,67.7068,84.1074,73.2946,93.5414,100.0,83.0508],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.5209,8.4578,11.3824,10.9032,10.26,10.2499,9.4407,8.7505,8.2106,7.9363,7.3686,6.8444,6.3983,5.9599,5.6796,5.2739,4.9207,4.6273,4.3577,4.1144,4.2253,4.2609,4.1607,4.0386,3.8577,3.7369,3.5604,3.3093,3.0756,3.0425,3.1134,2.9813,2.9072,2.7391,2.6048,2.64,2.6667,2.5214,2.5196,2.5534,2.5352,2.6123,2.6221,2.5082,2.6667],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope 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impulse","title":"Acceleration, deceleration and rollover","description":"The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.","reason":"Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of direction.","series":[{"label":"Impulse","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0186,0.0198,0.0439,0.0432,0.0409,0.0384,0.0325,0.0301,0.0288,0.0272,0.0239,0.0214,0.0197,0.0229,0.0265,0.0281,0.0291,0.0305,0.0332,0.037,0.0416,0.0415,0.0384,0.034,0.0295,0.028,0.0305,0.0344,0.0372,0.0391,0.0444,0.0472,0.0499,0.0545,0.0584,0.0602,0.0659,0.0673,0.0671,0.0643,0.059,0.0578,0.0539,0.0546,0.0563,0.0534],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":2.0},{"label":"Signal","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0304,0.032,0.0321,0.0317,0.0311,0.0303,0.029,0.0275,0.0259,0.0253,0.0256,0.0261,0.0267,0.0274,0.0286,0.0303,0.0325,0.0343,0.0351,0.0349,0.0338,0.0327,0.0322,0.0327,0.0336,0.0347,0.0366,0.0387,0.041,0.0437,0.0466,0.0493,0.0527,0.0556,0.0579,0.0592,0.0591,0.0589,0.0579,0.0572,0.057,0.0563],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7},{"label":"Expansion","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0106,0.0064,0.0004,-0.0015,-0.0023,-0.0032,-0.0051,-0.0061,-0.0063,-0.0024,0.0009,0.0021,0.0024,0.003,0.0046,0.0067,0.009,0.0072,0.0032,-0.0009,-0.0043,-0.0047,-0.0017,0.0018,0.0037,0.0044,0.0078,0.0085,0.0089,0.0108,0.0118,0.0108,0.0133,0.0117,0.0092,0.0051,-0.0001,-0.001,-0.004,-0.0026,-0.0008,-0.0029],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.0,"fill":"rgba(7,134,92,.12)"}],"guides":[{"label":"Neutral","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"momentum","eyebrow":"Momentum 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