{"ticker": {"uuid": "cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758", "symbol": "CEN", "name": "Contact Energy Limited", "exchange": "NZE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-31", "summary": "CEN closed the latest completed week at 9.10 NZD. The 4-week return is -1.8% and the 12-week return is -8.1%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at -1.01.", "description": "Contact Energy Limited generates and sells electricity and natural gas in New Zealand. It operates through Wholesale and Retail segments. The company involved in selling electricity to the wholesale electricity market, to commercial and industrial customers; and delivering electricity, natural gas, broadband, and other products and services to mass market customers. It also provides bottled gas products. In addition, the company owns and operates hydro, geothermal, and thermal power stations. Contact Energy Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Wellington, New Zealand.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "43", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "9.10 NZD", "hint": "2026-07-31"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "-2.7%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-1.8%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-8.1%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "86.5%", "hint": "45 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.7x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "NZE", "country": "NZ", "sector": "Utilities", "industry": "Utilities - Renewable", "currency": "NZD", "market_cap": "9.5B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "9.36 NZD", "fair_value": "8.41 NZD", "vs_trend": "-2.7%", "vs_fair_value": "8.2%", "high_52": "9.99 NZD", "low_52": "8.54 NZD", "drawdown": "-8.9%", 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weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "2.3%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "1.8%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "28/23", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "1.3% / -1.4%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-2.7%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.7x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.08% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.", "2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "9.10 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.36 NZD", "fair_value": "8.41 NZD", "activity_pressure": "-1.01", "relative_leadership": "-4.21", "volume": "7.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "9.35 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.36 NZD", "fair_value": "8.40 NZD", "activity_pressure": "-0.92", "relative_leadership": "-2.16", "volume": "6.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "9.22 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.35 NZD", "fair_value": "8.39 NZD", "activity_pressure": "-0.88", "relative_leadership": "-2.97", "volume": "6.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "9.20 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.35 NZD", "fair_value": "8.37 NZD", "activity_pressure": "-0.46", "relative_leadership": "-3.83", "volume": "4.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "9.27 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.35 NZD", "fair_value": "8.36 NZD", "activity_pressure": "-0.14", "relative_leadership": "-1.95", "volume": "5.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "9.24 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.35 NZD", "fair_value": "8.35 NZD", "activity_pressure": "0.13", "relative_leadership": "-1.37", "volume": "1.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "9.69 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.36 NZD", "fair_value": "8.33 NZD", "activity_pressure": "0.44", "relative_leadership": "3.42", "volume": "5.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "9.55 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.35 NZD", "fair_value": "8.32 NZD", "activity_pressure": "0.42", "relative_leadership": "2.80", "volume": "1.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "9.60 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.35 NZD", "fair_value": "8.30 NZD", "activity_pressure": "0.72", "relative_leadership": "5.24", "volume": "1.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "9.54 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.34 NZD", "fair_value": "8.28 NZD", "activity_pressure": "1.05", "relative_leadership": "3.99", "volume": "21.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "9.35 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.33 NZD", "fair_value": "8.26 NZD", "activity_pressure": "1.18", "relative_leadership": "3.95", "volume": "62.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "9.81 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.32 NZD", "fair_value": "8.25 NZD", "activity_pressure": "0.99", "relative_leadership": "9.34", "volume": "7.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "9.90 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.29 NZD", "fair_value": "8.23 NZD", "activity_pressure": "0.60", "relative_leadership": "8.81", "volume": "7.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "9.64 NZD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9.26 NZD", "fair_value": "8.21 NZD", "activity_pressure": "0.14", "relative_leadership": "7.22", "volume": "6.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "53", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 81.0415, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.08% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 62.08%", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 42.844723985951134, "score_label": "43", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "43/100", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 42.844723985951134, "score_label": "43", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "43/100", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 50.590277777777764, "score_label": "51", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 6/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.43; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "51/100", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 81.0415, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.08% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 62.08%", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 49.0, "score_label": "49", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.", "detail": "Contact Energy (ASX:CEN) Jumps Today, But Investors Are Still Watching the Utility\u2019s Next Growth Phase", "metric": "49/100", "url": "/sentiment/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 81.0415, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.08% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 62.08%", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.08% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-2.7%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -1.8%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "48/0", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 62.08%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "49/100", "detail": "31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Weak trend", "stance_tone": "negative", "setup_score": "43", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.7%, after a -1.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.7%, after a -1.8% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -1.8% over four weeks, -8.1% over 12 weeks, and 4.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-2.7%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -1.8%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "48/0", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 62.08%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "49/100", "detail": "31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/"}], "strengths": ["Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.08% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 42.844723985951134, "score_label": "43", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "43/100", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 50.590277777777764, "score_label": "51", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 6/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.43; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "51/100", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 81.0415, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.08% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 62.08%", "url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 49.0, "score_label": "49", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.", "detail": "Contact Energy (ASX:CEN) Jumps Today, But Investors Are Still Watching the Utility\u2019s Next Growth Phase", "metric": "49/100", "url": "/sentiment/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/", "api_path": "/terminal/cb303db9-5037-40a7-bb0d-8d579223b758/report/api/"}