{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AM37 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"cc141b22-e24f-49e7-be10-06f96068231d","symbol":"AM37","name":"AMUNDI EM EX CHINA UCITS ETF","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"etf","currency":"EUR","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":70,"displayedObservations":70,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":22.1,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 22.1% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 8.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.0% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 1.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-01-02","price":30.280001}],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":43.869999}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":41.715}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[22.855,23.94,24.075,25.085,24.415,24.545,24.895,24.845,24.795,25.4,25.485,25.55,25.9,25.655,25.575,25.915,25.955,25.98,25.505,25.87,26.735,27.075,26.95,27.695,28.09,28.36,29.075,29.49,28.565,29.11,28.31,28.89,29.06,28.7,28.91,29.06,30.28,31.305,31.925,32.045,32.38,32.985,33.945,34.905,35.545,32.815,32.725,32.285,31.715,32.3,34.71,36.46,36.84,36.83,39.685,38.635,39.635,41.41,39.92,41.3,43.87,41.715,42.385,41.47,38.675,39.205,38.41,39.335,40.665,40.415],"consensus":[37.5,84.4039,0.0,100.0,34.1334,30.1801,77.3702,0.0,27.0615,72.0007,41.741,45.1158,60.5124,0.0,10.5331,61.8273,14.0783,25.6426,-21.3058,37.5567,75.6869,68.6673,15.0417,79.7811,66.9703,67.8552,77.5007,67.1336,-9.4768,54.0488,-25.83,49.4693,42.6239,-22.2972,42.7248,36.5416,72.0059,77.0338,66.7328,51.571,49.5663,66.0952,70.47,77.5304,68.9257,-28.1877,0.0,-31.5947,-31.3099,13.1048,67.1832,73.357,61.6486,35.3713,77.4389,19.4348,63.8501,67.3643,0.0,65.5838,44.1164,0.0,55.9273,25.4714,-34.1199,-8.0626,-35.6106,10.3212,47.8704,8.5523],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[-30.7475,54.147,79.5441,70.9246,5.3232,83.3948,60.6304,63.8655,83.8309,68.3491,-21.1812,44.032,-20.4899,63.2863,46.1589,-15.4377,41.3609,51.5848,81.5863,85.0556,75.3118,53.9901,46.752,72.6403,70.6376,85.1755,60.0855,-31.2552,0.0,-22.7233,-21.7058,18.952,68.5338,80.2472,67.6942,30.6628,89.6399,6.714,73.1553,75.5845,0.0,77.0351,33.4939,0.0,63.2753,35.9602,-15.5706,-3.8364,-23.7323,17.5847,44.2533,8.1416],"force":[-41.2176,34.3937,96.0423,74.8843,31.4401,93.7418,75.5333,73.5687,74.4199,55.5402,-80.1687,61.6365,-79.4931,70.136,33.0506,-77.1584,52.7412,21.9841,76.2698,80.0885,49.7175,23.6023,26.8257,51.7783,69.2259,69.8198,75.6455,-88.7549,0.0,-59.5794,-37.8688,37.2646,90.0932,81.8988,52.5214,7.2296,69.7808,20.4765,47.5888,51.4775,0.0,49.718,25.1136,0.0,40.0006,1.301,-56.184,-3.3548,-44.1766,47.8797,81.8201,4.0205],"direction":[-3.7074,20.8557,56.7393,61.6468,59.35,65.6792,68.0996,68.3337,72.4667,74.0254,-54.3939,60.0768,-6.3977,18.9165,45.422,-9.0499,37.1289,29.7476,58.0113,65.684,69.0818,68.7839,69.026,68.8414,71.1673,74.3006,74.229,-18.5803,0.0,-21.7443,-37.601,10.8346,49.2755,59.3814,61.2588,60.8536,68.965,62.481,64.8308,69.3173,0.0,63.8294,69.8298,0.0,58.9058,32.6074,-39.559,-29.8168,-43.0673,24.8074,27.7544,18.0023],"intensity":[55.5556,52.6316,90.0,80.9524,40.9091,78.2609,79.1667,28.0,92.3077,59.2593,89.2857,58.6207,73.3333,58.0645,40.625,36.3636,50.0,71.4286,100.0,100.0,71.0526,2.5641,67.5,58.5366,95.2381,90.6977,100.0,100.0,93.4783,46.8085,87.5,59.1837,98.0,96.0784,94.2308,55.7692,100.0,78.8462,75.0,96.1538,88.4615,82.6923,100.0,90.3846,40.3846,59.6154,100.0,84.6154,86.5385,76.9231,69.2308,3.8462],"confirmation":[53.4051,79.6689,92.7814,90.1286,10.2521,93.9004,89.7881,89.9486,92.6099,89.1109,39.2793,85.6795,56.6806,84.2495,81.294,33.5089,81.998,79.0204,91.0258,92.6217,88.7052,83.6135,83.2111,88.6144,90.5099,92.4582,90.3957,37.4496,2.3383,79.0983,78.3654,29.8188,90.1763,91.6296,87.3573,55.8662,92.3611,9.565,87.7946,88.9471,32.5717,88.3288,81.7,33.0399,85.2994,52.786,79.8735,26.6142,79.8375,32.2957,84.4083,34.9566],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[1.9092,26.9212,11.1249,15.5057,42.4655,10.1049,16.4516,15.9833,11.2487,16.4291,42.4988,18.5608,30.9671,65.1213,15.103,21.4952,19.4799,2.407,12.6209,11.4633,16.6277,24.2092,25.1201,16.8108,14.7114,11.2346,15.5371,5.4201,42.6489,33.7302,34.2965,30.893,13.5836,13.2328,19.158,32.2648,11.2116,35.8142,16.1516,16.1215,7.9071,15.6109,27.7587,9.9193,18.2053,7.1408,32.7176,40.9799,31.2131,49.117,18.7751,28.3981],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":8.6,"control":8.1,"force":4.0,"direction":18.0,"confirmation":35.0,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":28.4,"intensity":3.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+8.6","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+8.1","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+4.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+18.0","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"35/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"59.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.6%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"33.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"73%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,23.1107,23.145,23.1851,23.191,23.2421,23.2998,23.3326,23.3677,23.4049,23.4598,23.5025,23.9103,24.0128,24.1654,24.0557,24.0635,24.0829,23.9965,23.9529,24.1319,24.2003,24.3623,24.5125,24.6322,24.8495,25.1136,25.3453,25.514,25.6103,25.8379,26.0904,26.2076,26.2725,26.3315,26.2334,26.1311,26.3868,26.5784,26.747,27.0673,27.3355,27.7031,27.8454,28.0413,28.4585,28.5322,28.9838,29.1949,29.1131,29.3164,29.4664,29.362,29.6261,29.7977,29.9975,30.2019,30.8527,31.5682,32.5142,33.8155,35.2307],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}