{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PBI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"ccb0c9de-b8fc-464f-a7b1-d0ef3740d40b","symbol":"PBI","name":"Pitney Bowes Inc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Integrated Freight & Logistics"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Rollover warning","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","take":"The prior extension has started to roll over. Further price weakness would confirm the downside transition; a recovery in both readings would remove the 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":24},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":23},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":23},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":22},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":22},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":22},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":21},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":21},{"week":10,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":21},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":21},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":21},{"week":13,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":20},{"week":14,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":20},{"week":15,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":20},{"week":16,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":20},{"week":17,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":20},{"week":18,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":20},{"week":19,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":20},{"week":20,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":20},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.4,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":12.3,"sample":20},{"week":23,"averageReturn":14.4,"sample":20},{"week":24,"averageReturn":15.5,"sample":19},{"week":25,"averageReturn":15.4,"sample":19},{"week":26,"averageReturn":13.6,"sample":19}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-10.8,"medianReturn":-10.8,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-10.8,"sample":1},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Rollover warning","tone":"negative","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","use":"The upward trend may still be visible, but this transition increases downside risk. Further price weakness would confirm the rollover.","confirm":"Further price weakness with weak Market Dynamics would confirm the rollover.","invalidate":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":55.0,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has moved below distribution","detail":"Price left the upper zone as Market Dynamics weakened."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 55.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 6.8% across 20 cases.","watch":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 18.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 12.6% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-08-14","price":16.42}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":18.401564}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[7.0101,6.7157,6.1172,6.4497,6.6587,6.7537,6.5732,6.7727,6.7917,6.7442,6.8391,7.2001,6.8866,7.699,7.7086,7.479,7.3738,6.9147,6.9721,7.0104,6.7713,6.9339,8.1102,8.5215,8.2441,10.1282,9.9274,10.418,9.1578,9.0616,9.0232,8.9462,7.6572,7.7341,7.7149,8.1478,8.6961,8.927,9.0809,9.7118,9.9831,10.2061,9.9638,9.925,10.5453,11.1268,10.6713,11.6599,11.9022,10.9039,10.8361,11.0117,11.5389,11.8317,11.9879,11.1386,11.5096,11.0117,10.8555,10.6798,11.002,11.4901,9.645,9.2057,9.0388,9.4922,9.7189,9.6302,10.0836,10.4681,10.5863,10.1822,10.4484,10.3596,10.0738,10.2808,10.6258,10.1034,10.3596,10.6652,10.5161,10.0788,10.1285,10.8044,10.9634,11.3113,12.7625,15.4859,15.4362,15.6052,15.6549,15.25,16.1,16.86,17.32,17.5,18.12,16.82,18.2226,18.4016,17.7753,17.4273,17.3179,16.42],"consensus":[48.5688,13.5594,-18.7966,29.9816,23.7201,22.859,0.0,35.4274,21.2367,0.0,18.6187,37.2306,-13.6155,63.1182,19.4352,0.0,8.0901,-38.8189,-11.3505,0.0,-32.148,8.0189,68.2954,55.9755,23.0143,78.5489,21.9163,66.3889,-13.1324,0.0,0.0,-10.4018,-60.1346,-19.9446,-36.8276,0.0,38.6275,28.9291,20.9371,57.6098,42.2026,50.7697,10.698,12.6386,54.0126,64.3235,0.0,64.2805,39.2068,-23.8624,0.0,11.3937,39.4082,37.2936,43.8121,-29.4653,29.3621,-29.7894,-28.6763,-28.6535,0.0,34.3666,-67.9478,-56.5994,-49.9939,-11.6407,0.0,-13.6918,27.9084,38.3933,31.1455,-15.7787,27.0666,0.0,-21.8232,19.3902,33.9146,-30.3818,15.873,33.1201,0.0,-28.9211,0.0,38.0167,30.1245,48.7038,74.1281,87.721,39.8257,58.2324,39.5395,0.0,64.0624,63.6923,60.4053,52.2703,67.9167,-9.4727,63.4822,45.6707,0.0,0.0,0.0,-38.9436],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[51.9099,32.6524,47.0926,-30.7013,37.5664,-25.3778,-26.4277,-28.405,0.0,37.8429,-59.9349,-54.5628,-49.6832,-1.4949,0.0,-18.148,28.0712,38.9784,35.499,-28.2198,28.2249,0.0,-18.8459,25.4551,38.9753,-31.3862,11.4965,32.3498,0.0,-32.0968,0.0,40.9133,31.4439,47.9655,74.9575,90.8816,30.4179,57.1792,30.0475,0.0,73.5799,65.0489,62.3849,51.2749,71.9556,-16.2148,68.3479,51.7767,0.0,0.0,0.0,-37.4007],"force":[47.4736,31.8992,31.6514,-77.5398,38.5031,-49.8875,-30.9322,-29.717,0.0,44.4892,-97.3368,-52.5512,-30.7275,-27.9405,0.0,-1.422,53.4977,55.522,26.1784,-30.5382,38.771,0.0,-26.2396,31.1653,43.0322,-48.6753,29.7931,45.9402,0.0,-47.7326,0.0,55.1997,22.7199,49.3113,85.6491,99.4183,3.1758,36.724,8.4199,0.0,53.447,55.9992,45.6953,31.0353,60.88,-59.2019,67.3845,24.3031,0.0,0.0,0.0,-54.8149],"direction":[19.3597,46.451,48.7493,-6.2862,13.4564,-20.4755,-29.6349,-28.1779,0.0,23.1633,-56.1132,-61.8186,-64.1107,-54.925,0.0,-17.3631,9.4442,25.4898,29.718,-8.9821,17.3825,0.0,-22.0713,4.048,21.6183,-16.1673,10.9317,24.8433,0.0,-11.855,0.0,22.4327,33.9057,49.1136,64.951,75.7535,76.7559,74.7992,72.6156,0.0,60.7676,67.6369,68.6502,68.5758,68.3269,-33.7534,55.134,53.9549,0.0,0.0,0.0,-29.3702],"intensity":[51.9231,75.0,7.6923,76.9231,80.7692,44.2308,65.3846,13.4615,28.8462,55.7692,98.0769,100.0,25.0,34.6154,69.2308,11.5385,34.6154,32.6923,30.7692,30.7692,34.6154,57.6923,34.6154,13.4615,25.0,50.0,76.9231,65.3846,3.8462,36.5385,25.0,78.8462,30.7692,26.9231,96.1538,100.0,98.0769,90.3846,88.4615,32.6923,80.7692,80.7692,46.1538,73.0769,61.5385,88.4615,90.3846,82.6923,59.6154,55.7692,13.4615,84.6154],"confirmation":[80.6659,79.8403,81.5993,57.5496,77.5494,78.2124,77.2794,77.2053,28.8246,79.2528,90.7611,86.0195,83.4156,8.9984,5.2744,49.2729,77.7081,80.7989,77.7488,29.8923,77.0004,24.6742,75.1634,51.8046,79.0534,78.2644,73.5703,79.0009,24.7994,77.7797,24.8124,80.6449,77.3941,83.615,92.0595,96.379,57.104,85.9949,79.8489,8.8663,88.0314,88.1264,86.8512,84.0945,89.4573,34.3115,88.3591,81.8704,6.4306,5.4086,25.0791,80.9692],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[50.918,29.0209,27.1387,25.9719,17.3013,30.0034,34.177,20.734,43.941,21.1219,13.8894,20.7153,24.8,44.0079,9.2979,36.6425,32.9438,26.925,29.2297,44.0023,13.2613,6.3178,24.3685,6.0507,11.3814,18.2698,28.9077,25.894,16.0516,10.5693,29.7305,0.0833,28.7616,25.5866,12.9337,6.1385,30.0852,20.8807,30.1627,17.2198,1.1204,13.6918,18.4561,23.5782,15.5231,2.5457,5.3433,15.0277,23.7604,33.4829,40.7544,30.0671],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-38.9,"control":-37.4,"force":-54.8,"direction":-29.4,"confirmation":81.0,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":30.1,"intensity":84.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-38.9","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-37.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-54.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-29.4","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"81/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"58.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.8%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"34.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"73%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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