{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ONDU Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"ccf9ba46-6d1d-4a94-b3b1-f41ecf44d951","symbol":"ONDU","name":"Tradr 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":32,"displayedObservations":32,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.185302,-0.245511,-0.199221,-0.168395],"opens":[4.64,3.935,6.26,5.62],"highs":[4.89,5.85,6.85,5.91],"lows":[3.28,3.92,5.3283,4.52],"closes":[3.96,5.76,5.8,5.14],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"4.64","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.89","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.28","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"3.96","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"3.94","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.85","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.92","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.76","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"6.26","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"6.85","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.33","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.80","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.62","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.91","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.52","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.14","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[3.8496,5.9104],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[20.91,20.59,14.2401,11.48,10.4001,11.6269,11.64,10.86,11.4,11.1312,8.26,9.54,8.58,10.19,11.1858,10.46,8.05,10.49,7.45,15.12,8.92,7.04,6.93,4.74,4.26,4.05,3.21,4.52,3.96,5.76,5.8,5.14],"consensus":[-100.0,-81.0069,-90.5473,-19.7461,-51.5727,-23.6452,-19.5229,-27.0271,0.0,-19.0629,-41.7203,0.0,-31.9078,0.0,0.0,0.0,-27.4565,15.881,-41.872,54.5679,-37.4597,-35.4822,-17.2301,-45.6808,-37.9862,-32.6303,-36.2491,0.0,-19.5781,22.1319,0.0,-10.5284],"supportDates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-15.0231,-18.5035,-31.3792,0.0,-22.9711,-43.7236,0.0,-35.6029,0.0,0.0,0.0,-36.3514,11.6931,-45.4644,49.8604,-41.2544,-38.3442,-22.9577,-45.0357,-44.3819,-39.463,-39.6143,0.0,-24.0751,24.5405,0.0,-14.9442],"force":[-100.0,-81.0069,-90.5473,-19.7461,-19.2189,-6.1664,-5.002,-22.4243,0.0,-11.9048,-41.561,0.0,-23.9135,0.0,0.0,0.0,-26.9769,46.0768,-55.8246,88.2027,-75.7283,-42.9025,-7.3179,-50.5149,-26.411,-18.0285,-26.0015,0.0,-11.2555,43.96,0.0,-13.3076],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-74.6826,-45.9839,-31.0599,-25.341,0.0,-19.7095,-39.5447,0.0,-33.3952,0.0,0.0,0.0,-17.6335,0.9012,-27.8004,35.9232,-5.7881,-26.9111,-17.7645,-42.9651,-38.9446,-35.2515,-39.7228,0.0,-20.3834,3.7877,0.0,-3.4965],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,40.0,50.0,57.1429,75.0,22.2222,50.0,81.8182,41.6667,15.3846,50.0,6.6667,56.25,64.7059,66.6667,100.0,90.0,95.2381,18.1818,39.1304,12.5,4.0,7.6923,18.5185,3.5714,37.931,26.6667,6.4516],"confirmation":[54.6667,48.5889,51.6418,28.9854,60.3576,52.4985,51.1536,76.4421,48.8315,73.8224,81.3151,28.4425,77.9106,4.1028,25.0521,24.5573,76.6359,51.5916,81.7695,86.5585,58.4289,79.5368,50.4576,82.775,79.7053,77.8926,79.2361,4.5265,73.9428,53.0441,2.2234,48.7198],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,24.2019,38.0795,29.4405,0.3292,24.6383,1.8684,25.3177,27.5497,28.1383,21.7747,40.7325,32.137,5.0345,1.9443,27.985,19.6437,31.9916,21.7184,0.627,27.0105,26.0346,20.6203,23.5263,2.431,4.9929,13.8793,35.074,15.6764],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-10.5,"control":-14.9,"force":-13.3,"direction":-3.5,"confirmation":48.7,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":15.7,"intensity":6.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-10.5","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-14.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-13.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-3.5","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"49/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"39.7","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"71.3%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"13.3","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"16%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[20.91,20.59,14.2401,11.48,10.4001,11.6269,11.64,10.86,11.4,11.1312,8.26,9.54,8.58,10.19,11.1858,10.46,8.05,10.49,7.45,15.12,8.92,7.04,6.93,4.74,4.26,4.05,3.21,4.52,3.96,5.76,5.8,5.14],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,16.7526,15.8207,15.0605,14.2968,13.7701,13.2903,12.3757,11.8601,11.2637,11.0685,11.0898,10.9753,10.4434,10.4519,9.9061,10.8541,10.5024,9.8729,9.3378,8.5019,7.7306,7.0614,6.3612,6.0264,5.6507,5.6706,5.6941,5.5934],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.971,14.6169,14.3627,14.0736,13.6274,13.395,12.9547,13.115,12.8043,12.3773,11.9738,11.438,10.9063,10.3984,9.8659,9.4699,9.0618,8.8172,8.5937,8.3379],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,20.9994,20.7648,20.3827,20.0799,19.7275,19.4222,19.1326,18.9366,18.6886,18.5415,18.7233,16.7951,14.403,13.9019,14.1363,14.4057,14.4241,14.4166,14.2596,13.9888,13.5997,13.5215,13.3107],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.8563,5.1513,4.9637,4.6368,4.6794,4.849,4.9291,4.6569,4.7597,4.4568,4.6371,5.3663,6.4035,6.1735,5.2651,4.3817,3.6056,2.7701,2.2931,1.8199,1.6718,1.5041,1.2749],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-1.5304,-31.8981,-45.098,-50.2626,-44.3955,-44.3329,-48.0631,-45.4806,-46.7661,-60.4974,-54.3759,-58.967,-51.2673,-46.505,-49.9761,-61.5017,-49.8326,-64.3711,-27.6901,-57.341,-66.3319,-66.858,-77.3314,-79.627,-80.6313,-84.6485,-78.3835,-81.0617,-72.4534,-72.2621,-75.4185],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.4221,9.6143,7.0297,0.0,15.4964,3.8741,23.3656,35.4213,26.6344,0.0,30.3106,0.0,102.953,19.7315,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.81,23.3645,79.4393,80.6854,60.1246],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10.2467,12.8083,11.5332,0.7618,13.7391,9.6477,16.5093,20.7533,17.66,7.3889,17.7879,4.8317,37.5205,11.0967,3.0843,2.6155,2.1493,0.2735,0.2906,1.1337,8.004,7.2982,19.9298,20.2105,15.5789],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From high","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-63.5326,-61.7193,-62.6219,-72.2633,-67.9651,-71.1887,-65.7824,-62.4385,-64.8758,-72.9684,-64.775,-74.9832,-49.2277,-70.047,-76.36,-76.7293,-84.0833,-85.6951,-86.4003,-88.7368,-80.2706,-76.9365,-66.4531,-66.2202,-70.0641],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.5},{"label":"From 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