{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"VIE Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"cd3353d8-d03c-439c-b9fa-ed463a5c8647","symbol":"VIE","name":"Veolia Environnement SA","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Waste Management"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Drawdown and recovery pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Rollover warning","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","take":"The prior extension has started to roll over. Further price weakness would confirm the downside transition; a recovery in both readings would remove the 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":7.1,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":2.3,"medianReturn":2.3,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":1},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Rollover warning","tone":"negative","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","use":"The upward trend may still be visible, but this transition increases downside risk. Further price weakness would confirm the rollover.","confirm":"Further price weakness with weak Market Dynamics would confirm the rollover.","invalidate":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":47.8,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":23},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has moved below distribution","detail":"Price left the upper zone as Market Dynamics weakened."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 47.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.0% across 23 cases.","watch":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.6% across 23 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-02-21","price":25.163843}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-31","price":34.66}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":35.459999}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[27.0326,27.4265,27.115,27.2799,27.6463,27.5364,26.9227,27.2982,28.0036,26.6662,26.8311,26.0341,26.1807,25.5028,25.2554,25.8784,25.5211,24.5501,24.6783,24.4768,24.2478,25.118,24.6783,25.2371,25.4478,25.3104,25.1638,26.3455,28.1868,28.0219,28.7364,29.451,28.1868,27.2341,28.3883,28.9105,29.5334,29.2036,29.1174,29.0982,29.012,28.7916,28.9353,28.188,29.2994,29.2036,29.5102,29.0024,29.424,28.0634,28.6958,29.5581,29.0982,27.0287,27.2299,27.9197,27.594,27.8048,27.9389,27.6035,28.715,28.3605,27.4503,27.6323,27.8527,27.3065,28.0634,28.0922,27.9197,28.2455,28.0539,28.8779,29.1845,28.5713,28.9832,30.3055,30.6791,32.0492,33.0074,34.4541,31.3594,31.5414,29.7977,30.545,32.0588,33.6302,34.0613,34.0709,34.435,34.32,33.62,34.69,34.73,34.88,35.46,36.08,36.23,37.51,36.28,37.51,36.59,34.66,35.19,34.03],"consensus":[42.2395,39.2731,8.0286,25.1958,31.5072,15.9093,-13.8298,22.4209,42.3905,-45.0766,0.0,-46.5602,-16.981,-49.3189,-34.7899,11.4974,-39.1021,-56.4447,-14.0251,-43.4548,-45.1776,26.5732,-33.0245,23.1786,23.6765,0.0,0.0,61.4957,77.0836,30.8414,56.016,65.4357,-14.6677,-10.5823,41.7703,34.7419,47.0151,19.062,18.2069,10.9092,0.0,0.0,8.4688,-34.7088,40.6869,9.0993,28.3087,0.0,20.4072,-50.8935,8.0296,38.922,-13.3301,-65.3546,-16.4185,0.0,-33.1628,0.0,0.0,-14.756,47.5695,0.0,-44.139,0.0,-8.1689,-32.7745,28.1945,0.0,0.0,25.3643,0.0,46.4196,36.4383,-8.7856,37.7997,63.9345,49.4539,74.3816,73.3559,84.616,-19.9896,21.0659,-54.5258,9.8464,51.3885,65.998,54.8753,40.6987,48.8986,23.866,-10.0382,50.8232,17.4435,25.268,39.8545,54.8381,37.8642,64.2664,0.0,65.3334,0.0,-55.7104,0.0,-53.7778],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-13.2848,-61.9867,-4.9771,0.0,-27.6984,0.0,0.0,-9.2582,46.6549,0.0,-49.0047,0.0,-3.1971,-27.2552,27.5514,0.0,0.0,21.2761,0.0,51.9652,32.417,-14.0845,34.7268,65.0239,48.6836,76.3064,76.8413,87.4554,-30.0236,26.0821,-47.0902,21.2509,56.1134,71.992,58.608,40.5974,50.7776,22.4428,-12.7175,56.9473,15.3842,25.6622,40.1758,64.5608,37.5428,74.2226,0.0,70.6872,0.0,-49.4418,0.0,-51.7878],"force":[-28.8236,-92.4071,-11.8163,0.0,-31.3861,0.0,0.0,-11.2295,76.7187,0.0,-57.9023,0.0,-0.2562,-40.2798,51.2099,0.0,0.0,35.7571,0.0,50.8379,30.6899,-36.8775,47.3604,74.1576,38.654,81.5405,71.1219,93.1749,-80.4862,19.4173,-92.6427,35.145,68.8763,72.2634,43.7505,17.5168,34.9748,1.3617,-42.1438,55.3348,3.2405,6.6686,22.681,41.1822,15.3899,50.9263,0.0,70.7954,0.0,-87.7935,0.0,-61.0936],"direction":[-2.3151,-49.8804,-49.6621,0.0,-40.677,0.0,0.0,-23.5581,27.7939,0.0,-28.7473,0.0,-19.503,-33.7214,12.4899,0.0,0.0,22.6131,0.0,36.9257,45.14,-17.3358,34.4825,55.3871,58.0485,67.0685,70.9682,75.2574,-34.6897,16.5107,-35.7974,21.2578,33.4975,54.6725,58.5557,57.3731,56.6967,43.5123,-15.9563,40.6016,34.5712,38.1029,51.754,53.4807,54.2845,62.4166,0.0,55.3133,0.0,-39.9581,0.0,-50.8265],"intensity":[32.6923,98.0769,92.3077,69.2308,21.1538,9.6154,1.9231,67.3077,75.0,32.6923,69.2308,26.9231,38.4615,67.3077,55.7692,40.3846,15.3846,23.0769,7.6923,63.4615,50.0,46.1538,50.0,90.3846,63.4615,86.5385,86.5385,84.6154,98.0769,92.3077,90.3846,63.4615,86.5385,84.6154,71.1538,32.6923,26.9231,32.6923,48.0769,73.0769,76.9231,19.2308,36.5385,42.3077,9.6154,75.0,73.0769,73.0769,61.5385,96.1538,78.8462,67.3077],"confirmation":[50.0718,89.7893,7.0886,31.5976,78.6412,25.3467,25.4633,72.6982,84.1245,3.6251,82.4698,25.3594,25.1153,78.8007,77.7335,24.3108,24.4883,76.4956,0.7017,82.9044,79.5463,29.9518,80.4341,88.754,83.5078,91.991,91.3527,95.2947,38.1546,74.6144,86.7232,30.9497,84.9053,89.219,85.1642,80.3186,83.1946,52.5138,30.2205,84.3076,51.0076,52.8463,80.2252,84.9839,79.4365,88.007,31.0774,88.9916,32.2925,86.9006,29.2947,85.4622],"persistence":[37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,12.5,25.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[16.2699,9.0797,38.5455,48.5196,30.3559,36.3278,31.4474,11.2913,19.2785,29.6099,4.8158,4.0668,36.7641,27.844,26.3802,31.869,9.0838,34.8107,0.7759,21.1592,30.8054,33.1025,28.7367,17.6056,24.9369,12.8082,13.322,7.6918,36.6496,31.4707,22.131,54.7159,1.1979,12.6455,22.4032,29.158,23.024,12.2688,11.4553,3.1814,2.9708,16.2007,28.7387,21.4658,30.2781,17.853,40.5451,15.7177,24.5514,21.9029,42.6904,23.0222],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-53.8,"control":-51.8,"force":-61.1,"direction":-50.8,"confirmation":85.5,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":23.0,"intensity":67.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-53.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-51.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-61.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-50.8","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"85/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"49.9","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"25.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"59%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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