{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"TVE Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"cdd1f6a5-a950-4e61-b81a-3d73dfa9fe42","symbol":"TVE","name":"Tennessee Valley Authority","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Utilities","industry":"Electrical Utilities & Ipps"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":1.9,"averageExpectedMove":1.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.8,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":44.4,"averageReturn":-0.1,"medianReturn":-0.1,"confidenceLow":24.6,"confidenceHigh":66.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":44.4,"averageReturn":-0.4,"medianReturn":-0.7,"confidenceLow":24.6,"confidenceHigh":66.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":70.6,"averageReturn":1.3,"medianReturn":2.4,"confidenceLow":46.9,"confidenceHigh":86.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":2.9,"averageExpectedMove":2.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-0.4,"medianReturn":-0.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-1.5,"medianReturn":-1.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.9,"medianReturn":-2.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Repair in progress","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is repairing while price remains rotational","use":"The repair is constructive, but price has not yet established a clear response.","confirm":"Treat the repair as constructive context until price confirms it.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 1.9% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-03-06","price":23.881836}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-01-30","price":24.359076}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[21.4252,21.5595,21.5307,21.5979,21.8857,21.7034,21.7994,21.7994,21.8665,21.7322,21.5386,21.7221,21.6062,21.6641,21.8186,21.7027,21.6931,21.6062,21.4807,21.6448,21.5289,21.6373,21.6641,21.6723,21.7889,21.954,22.0318,22.4203,22.5626,22.4398,22.5466,22.8283,22.7992,22.6875,22.6049,22.634,22.7003,22.798,22.6877,22.5429,22.7002,22.5317,22.5341,22.6514,22.6807,22.8566,22.9054,22.8322,22.798,22.9874,23.2282,23.2478,23.2857,23.0807,23.2184,23.5034,23.297,23.2282,23.4444,23.6509,23.7197,23.6804,23.7674,23.9453,23.975,23.8069,23.9255,23.9552,23.9157,24.0343,23.9552,24.0837,24.2024,24.2123,24.2221,24.3591,24.3193,24.2895,24.4784,24.2696,23.8818,23.9315,23.8918,23.6631,24.0111,24.1403,24.0409,23.9912,23.84,23.7,23.41,23.51,23.55,23.47,23.55,23.54,23.4527,23.4328,23.3533,23.4627,23.3831,23.66,23.46,23.52],"consensus":[22.9604,40.6444,21.7984,31.4603,64.1304,0.0,41.6767,28.8416,27.0441,0.0,-37.517,29.2736,-18.1234,9.9629,38.9919,-9.1321,9.0481,-15.8684,-36.6241,19.1312,-19.3031,16.7543,8.8704,0.0,23.0364,32.6788,32.4455,58.4271,45.0124,17.4988,35.623,53.5532,24.4343,21.4392,14.4904,12.2857,10.9545,31.2515,0.0,-13.6596,15.7635,-18.7969,0.0,22.063,0.0,39.936,29.4361,10.2992,0.0,35.9984,49.7063,33.5606,37.1263,0.0,33.86,57.0896,0.0,0.0,43.3562,43.8075,44.9144,31.0563,45.7788,51.9488,37.5714,0.0,33.0806,27.1004,9.0648,36.1706,0.0,28.8227,46.0238,29.876,36.8418,49.3721,18.8388,10.5727,48.6884,-21.5722,-54.3894,-11.9754,-35.6543,-60.2779,31.3853,19.8044,0.0,0.0,-32.7535,-41.01,-60.3206,-18.1955,-24.7708,-37.6113,0.0,-15.1151,-16.8916,-19.2844,-38.586,0.0,-29.8588,44.3581,-24.6661,-9.3776],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[37.0792,0.0,42.8482,56.063,0.0,0.0,36.0845,51.2524,48.3891,32.6293,47.5035,52.6461,41.277,0.0,36.1499,35.5774,13.3937,37.8838,0.0,21.5526,48.5416,33.2854,43.5865,56.8183,20.2697,9.127,52.6672,-18.702,-51.4408,-1.0308,-29.8209,-54.929,29.196,18.5837,0.0,0.0,-31.0521,-38.1463,-57.4708,-8.529,-21.1057,-36.2502,0.0,-17.8021,-6.9139,-18.4062,-41.7341,0.0,-32.2963,44.4605,-34.7351,-9.6706],"force":[27.934,0.0,40.9535,79.5727,0.0,0.0,69.6811,41.3848,37.73,11.6975,47.7979,59.2756,22.8307,0.0,28.3516,17.5473,6.1518,34.0687,0.0,40.3538,49.842,18.0385,26.1068,46.4759,0.4933,6.0402,50.7212,-61.9117,-72.8778,-6.9106,-34.6961,-75.6242,77.981,25.744,0.0,0.0,-38.2826,-37.5932,-67.4024,-13.2424,-3.5478,-28.839,0.0,-2.8046,-8.9663,-7.857,-29.7444,0.0,-28.9715,71.8958,-37.1843,-20.5991],"direction":[43.746,0.0,18.5211,42.2034,0.0,0.0,32.8631,37.0295,46.0752,43.0862,42.3656,45.9185,43.8655,0.0,32.9506,24.236,14.9864,35.714,0.0,28.8948,40.4191,34.4348,36.8015,42.9309,31.0121,24.0914,42.6892,-3.9614,-44.5533,-37.9736,-43.0056,-55.4291,0.6047,16.9569,0.0,0.0,-30.7486,-46.7234,-58.5191,-51.6986,-44.1188,-45.4328,0.0,-20.8373,-33.9556,-28.4505,-41.3035,0.0,-27.7068,24.5714,-4.2172,-1.0274],"intensity":[5.7692,73.0769,38.4615,92.3077,73.0769,9.6154,75.0,71.1538,17.3077,53.8462,17.3077,73.0769,75.0,50.0,32.6923,3.8462,9.6154,30.7692,15.3846,90.3846,69.2308,7.6923,21.1538,44.2308,9.6154,30.7692,57.6923,73.0769,100.0,94.2308,50.0,86.5385,98.0769,98.0769,25.0,36.5385,44.2308,42.3077,88.4615,88.4615,40.3846,17.3077,19.2308,3.8462,57.6923,32.6923,19.2308,32.6923,25.0,84.6154,63.4615,23.0769],"confirmation":[79.601,5.4379,78.9144,86.9695,29.2498,27.6921,82.7871,81.8311,82.1007,77.324,82.6845,84.8363,79.5171,5.6493,78.3949,76.2518,49.0167,79.4844,3.9496,77.6855,82.8056,77.1476,79.3594,83.5973,50.856,49.5209,83.5816,54.3547,86.013,27.5643,79.4691,87.8381,56.83,74.537,48.99,25.5769,78.6756,81.0627,87.5618,30.5035,52.669,79.789,4.8662,49.754,50.6492,51.1695,80.0301,3.9234,77.4906,83.0323,53.4546,48.6717],"persistence":[87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[31.4213,33.077,21.1579,19.5256,6.7094,38.7292,23.145,14.2452,27.0881,34.1562,25.6488,22.1647,28.1128,31.9081,23.4145,10.099,26.0957,30.3338,11.9715,27.8914,26.7411,32.7037,31.2507,24.9889,33.5746,29.0401,25.4458,23.6993,22.4815,43.091,32.1339,19.8109,14.5525,30.6253,37.1191,49.4327,20.1338,28.6232,19.6761,40.2898,33.3022,25.7402,33.7887,16.6756,19.6182,6.398,28.7851,27.9198,13.2074,24.526,44.5101,18.1095],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-9.4,"control":-9.7,"force":-20.6,"direction":-1.0,"confirmation":48.7,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":18.1,"intensity":23.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-9.4","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-9.7","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-20.6","detail":"Downward 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TVE Technical Research Pack, completed week 2026-08-14, https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/cdd1f6a5-a950-4e61-b81a-3d73dfa9fe42/technical-pack/","data_notes":{"time_series":"Parallel time-series arrays align by index with their dates array.","events":"Sparse chart markers are published as compact dated event records rather than null-filled arrays.","missing_values":"A remaining null in an aligned series means that observation is genuinely unavailable; zero remains a valid value."},"boundary":"Completed market observations and published proprietary outputs only. Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}