{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CCON Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"cf980c73-9bc2-49d5-be44-820dbce704c2","symbol":"CCON","name":"CIBC Conservative ETF Portfolio","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CAD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":41,"displayedObservations":41,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.520244,0.792958,0.909997,1.02596,1.090838,1.154803,1.144434,1.102563,0.956636,0.763351,0.652631,0.504254,0.387142],"opens":[20.485865,20.803629,20.724189,20.942651,20.922791,21.040001,20.870001,20.860001,20.860001,20.77,20.75,20.969999,21.0],"highs":[20.714258,20.803629,20.734118,20.942651,20.922791,21.040001,20.870001,20.860001,20.860001,20.799999,20.98,21.01,21.0],"lows":[20.485865,20.803629,20.724189,20.893002,20.922791,21.040001,20.860001,20.860001,20.860001,20.74,20.75,20.969999,20.83],"closes":[20.714258,20.803629,20.734118,20.893002,20.922791,21.040001,20.860001,20.860001,20.860001,20.74,20.969999,21.01,20.84],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"20.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"20.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"20.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"20.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[20.694713,21.059546],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":0.387142,"state":"Positive but weakening over four weeks","context":{"scenario":"positiveWeakening","latestDirection":"easing","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Positive support is weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Positive support is weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"5 Jun 2026","detail":"The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":13,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":20.803629}],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[19.789,19.789,19.9472,19.8384,19.8384,19.7989,19.8187,19.8183,20.0373,20.0373,20.0074,20.0074,20.0174,20.0174,20.4155,20.5051,19.9577,19.9577,19.5197,19.669,19.76,19.76,20.47,20.4,20.2078,20.4164,20.44,20.4859,20.7143,20.8036,20.7341,20.893,20.9228,21.04,20.86,20.86,20.86,20.74,20.97,21.01,20.84],"consensus":[0.0,0.0,39.1313,-100.0,55.8116,-20.8827,-13.8205,-11.4172,74.2074,47.2054,9.2982,43.5337,23.9672,24.2113,84.2393,91.3709,-52.1797,-22.9171,-78.2691,-26.8365,0.0,-30.8592,65.2614,15.131,0.0,72.9555,13.7868,55.8348,80.6658,48.7619,43.8037,42.7498,42.5915,51.3462,0.0,22.3241,18.7985,-35.0112,67.7134,56.9696,29.8716],"supportDates":["2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-25.2962,-4.1135,-6.4745,65.5055,37.4973,6.0699,34.3375,20.8348,31.8647,76.4539,90.451,-43.7449,-23.4408,-72.0719,-32.3998,0.0,-24.4095,63.5141,1.0559,0.0,76.7162,6.4082,61.9111,83.4549,45.763,47.2697,25.77,38.8448,49.6105,0.0,28.2395,27.1419,-27.3392,69.2606,62.6782,29.262],"force":[0.0,0.0,39.1313,-100.0,17.6622,-19.4235,-16.9713,-18.3355,71.9981,10.4395,63.4825,10.4366,9.6092,4.2075,88.1399,94.3502,-94.8589,-5.6277,-99.9223,-34.2634,0.0,-9.4968,74.136,24.6081,0.0,83.2296,7.4655,54.0826,94.5872,24.5578,7.709,32.8904,14.5796,28.6879,0.0,2.295,4.4723,-82.417,92.3429,54.2802,83.6303],"direction":[null,null,null,null,83.0612,-16.881,-22.6635,-12.1245,85.7305,84.5618,78.848,77.6845,37.8029,35.7637,90.3506,90.2941,-31.3343,-34.668,-69.885,-64.1213,0.0,-53.4892,60.9192,62.0156,0.0,61.3188,37.3996,50.142,67.5343,69.4778,65.6245,69.1978,66.8819,69.5143,0.0,33.1489,25.8852,-9.9179,48.3526,52.3664,7.8307],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,40.0,33.3333,57.1429,87.5,88.8889,20.0,36.3636,75.0,69.2308,100.0,93.3333,100.0,100.0,83.3333,57.8947,35.0,33.3333,100.0,95.6522,70.8333,56.0,73.0769,48.1481,67.8571,75.8621,16.6667,54.8387,6.25,39.3939,52.9412,5.7143,5.5556,43.2432,73.6842,66.6667,52.5],"confirmation":[0.0,0.0,35.1887,54.6667,61.4491,74.5707,49.9998,49.273,91.8116,82.1332,15.8294,81.0623,75.2797,52.9958,95.1941,97.3435,86.1267,52.1319,93.8004,36.617,32.83,77.3222,89.1807,9.3525,10.7798,91.6016,28.1358,85.7212,94.1948,82.9118,58.1977,81.6382,80.8327,83.7667,36.558,52.1262,51.4666,80.7652,90.3953,86.0613,66.2105],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,0.0,20.0,0.0,14.2857,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,4.0465,16.0583,39.1824,7.5026,11.1004,25.7672,43.7953,26.9547,23.702,24.2603,7.7027,4.2783,11.5354,3.0959,10.8208,36.4967,30.7327,19.4319,17.1879,41.6504,42.7863,12.0547,11.6871,13.7051,6.3948,21.2452,19.1802,26.6337,16.6871,14.8426,26.7548,23.7596,32.5512,31.9215,2.5678,14.1144,7.399],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":29.9,"control":29.3,"force":83.6,"direction":7.8,"confirmation":66.2,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":7.4,"intensity":52.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint 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Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+29.9","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+29.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+83.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+7.8","detail":"Follow-through is 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}