{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DDTL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"cfed5801-2136-4245-92fb-cbc611df21fa","symbol":"DDTL","name":"Innovator Equity Dual Directional 10 Buffer ETF July","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":60,"displayedObservations":60,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":1.8,"averageExpectedMove":1.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":1.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":3.8,"medianReturn":3.8,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":5.3,"medianReturn":5.3,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough 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ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.3% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 1.3% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 1.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-04-03","price":20.8191}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-04-10","price":21.2002}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[19.74,19.7693,19.85,19.9869,19.78,20.03,20.0996,20.2,20.2,20.2163,20.3855,20.457,20.49,20.56,20.3264,20.51,20.635,20.6412,20.5448,20.5548,20.3995,20.7402,20.78,20.8048,20.8505,20.9797,20.98,21.03,21.0546,21.08,21.0648,21.0922,20.95,21.06,21.13,20.8945,20.81,20.6,20.39,20.8191,21.2002,21.47,21.535,21.6,21.715,21.7376,21.78,21.8698,21.825,21.88,21.915,21.925,21.8966,22.1,21.9299,21.84,22.045,22.4106,22.4767,22.31],"consensus":[-88.1773,54.7778,81.8182,46.835,0.0,18.3497,8.4485,19.6705,14.3934,11.7024,22.9249,16.635,0.0,22.4392,-14.2375,21.6422,20.6383,0.0,0.0,0.0,-12.2664,30.3524,17.0946,13.6744,24.1929,27.3729,21.0887,22.8737,21.7677,26.9363,11.1207,16.5163,-17.9165,19.337,22.9755,-29.7785,-20.7643,-48.8867,-55.815,22.5638,47.7008,56.6918,47.727,43.5184,51.2024,33.4698,35.0346,44.2099,11.4469,38.7203,28.1777,27.2007,12.5658,59.2441,-15.719,-18.177,44.2993,69.4583,46.9324,8.6363],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[15.0547,13.3146,27.6457,17.6609,0.0,24.8834,-21.7942,28.7322,26.6686,0.0,0.0,0.0,-12.942,41.6442,18.0071,11.2974,25.114,31.2883,24.1531,24.3907,23.5095,34.5713,11.5402,18.6424,-19.5066,25.2946,25.6507,-25.8429,-20.5258,-47.893,-55.9545,33.7576,52.3214,56.0092,50.6832,43.3175,54.621,31.402,33.9002,47.5966,5.7796,43.9181,27.7069,31.8033,11.8896,58.1155,-14.2905,-13.5538,37.6357,72.0452,49.4786,4.7085],"force":[8.4715,7.3099,18.7046,7.9718,0.0,14.8156,-26.2012,20.9767,16.5942,0.0,0.0,0.0,-17.441,30.935,8.7173,4.6355,15.8336,18.9341,8.4147,12.1066,10.1202,19.3733,2.5768,9.627,-38.4881,23.1475,26.0167,-55.362,-21.7678,-58.5992,-58.7369,47.4514,56.3763,66.4093,35.5304,28.8329,39.886,12.8196,15.7231,26.6535,22.7585,22.6629,7.3226,6.2119,14.739,74.7611,-71.427,-53.257,69.0849,87.6207,27.6759,25.8555],"direction":[17.8676,12.9973,20.5441,21.6506,0.0,25.0914,-2.9442,14.0148,16.6354,0.0,0.0,0.0,-7.798,17.0314,22.0355,22.8473,29.1111,28.9258,26.6394,28.8309,28.0966,23.6126,20.4251,19.0074,-1.4052,9.8065,17.746,-16.0025,-20.3201,-43.085,-53.5684,8.006,36.2232,50.5308,53.0603,54.2376,55.3785,50.5832,50.125,52.8798,42.3563,44.2496,43.6124,36.9328,32.8422,49.4504,-22.4399,-1.5964,34.2109,53.5286,57.7772,48.5246],"intensity":[50.0,22.2222,80.0,45.4545,91.6667,84.6154,71.4286,53.3333,43.75,47.0588,72.2222,21.0526,60.0,85.7143,45.4545,4.3478,4.1667,52.0,3.8462,14.8148,7.1429,34.4828,40.0,35.4839,40.625,33.3333,17.6471,85.7143,22.2222,75.6757,76.3158,92.3077,92.5,90.2439,83.3333,20.9302,34.0909,37.7778,10.8696,23.4043,6.25,26.5306,46.0,3.9216,30.7692,71.1538,63.4615,50.0,73.0769,90.3846,73.0769,57.6923],"confirmation":[72.4153,48.9197,75.1354,50.3769,25.4298,74.911,50.7669,74.7972,74.3891,24.883,24.7743,24.4797,49.406,77.5585,73.2011,49.4699,75.4729,76.4425,74.3154,74.9683,74.5841,76.2728,49.0178,73.0429,51.6693,74.2132,75.4041,78.3688,74.6788,83.9549,85.9477,32.1829,83.4582,86.4479,82.8559,81.4814,83.9878,78.1125,78.6398,81.5605,7.5621,79.8219,53.7218,53.3278,29.0102,87.4482,34.2035,52.6301,83.0327,90.7407,82.3927,16.4361],"persistence":[87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[42.6987,40.2626,37.8325,40.7482,45.9319,38.664,14.3163,7.9731,29.44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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+8.6","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+4.7","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+25.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+48.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"16/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"68.3","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.2%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"31.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"90%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[19.74,19.7693,19.85,19.9869,19.78,20.03,20.0996,20.2,20.2,20.2163,20.3855,20.457,20.49,20.56,20.3264,20.51,20.635,20.6412,20.5448,20.5548,20.3995,20.7402,20.78,20.8048,20.8505,20.9797,20.98,21.03,21.0546,21.08,21.0648,21.0922,20.95,21.06,21.13,20.8945,20.81,20.6,20.39,20.8191,21.2002,21.47,21.535,21.6,21.715,21.7376,21.78,21.8698,21.825,21.88,21.915,21.925,21.8966,22.1,21.9299,21.84,22.045,22.4106,22.4767,22.31],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,19.6251,19.6091,19.5961,19.5918,19.5867,19.6088,19.6184,19.6175,19.6216,19.6364,19.6509,19.7287,19.7955,19.8556,19.897,20.0067,20.0502,20.0946,20.125,20.1672,20.2178,20.2466,20.2693,20.3013,20.3224,20.3957,20.4417,20.4627,20.4557,20.4191,20.4546,20.5328,20.5087,20.4869,20.469,20.4448,20.4213,20.4057,20.3874,20.3834,20.3813,20.3868,20.3977,20.4363,20.4562,20.4874,20.5634,20.6626,20.8101,21.0772,21.2742],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6.0297,105.7409,7.5563,8.6016,3.8578,16.5197,10.6151,9.2979,10.626,6.6664,6.0159,9.5985,19.5995,5.884,5.8539,11.8329,14.218,24.6327,23.1901,53.9872,23.0017,47.4246,70.3841,105.7002,113.5029,108.0166,77.19,170.3128,124.2834,55.9946,79.9621,70.6657,41.6457,44.7932,132.7971,147.1309,114.5284,101.567,147.4925,79.8199,49.4607,1252.7356,27.6244,12.9307,8.7754,476.775,122.5398,172.6407,166.9262,93.9608,47.6966,10.595,15.798],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative 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leadership","title":"Strength versus the research benchmark","description":"Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.","reason":"Selected because benchmark-relative leadership is strengthening, fading or diverging from price.","series":[{"label":"Relative 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,28.5714,28.5714,29.3744,37.7094,41.2315,42.8571,46.3054,34.798,43.8424,50.0,50.3054,45.5567,46.0493,38.399,55.1823,57.1429,58.3645,60.6158,66.9803,88.8158,92.0,93.4658,95.2055,93.594,92.8693,79.3651,87.5498,93.3599,68.2084,56.1692,33.158,10.1468,57.1663,94.7722,93.6133,98.8025,97.0207,98.267,96.4893,95.3947,98.0764,94.0252,97.4843,96.6463,97.2561,91.0814,99.4382,87.4262,82.5137,93.7158,97.6808,97.1401,89.5968],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,50.6435,49.8383,49.1645,47.5655,46.3538,44.1842,42.3325,40.2217,38.6137,35.9467,33.6734,32.4234,32.2162,32.259,30.0065,29.0375,28.1377,27.6363,27.5244,27.5931,27.864,28.2876,28.7514,28.5338,28.5373,28.5405,28.964,29.5938,30.3716,29.8597,29.0805,29.7951,30.7025,31.0338],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive 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