{"ticker": {"uuid": "d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e", "symbol": "TRN", "name": "Trainline plc", "exchange": "LSE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-06-19", "summary": "TRN closed the latest completed week at 218.4 GBP. The 4-week return is 0.4% and the 12-week return is 5.1%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.33.", "description": "Trainline plc engages in the operation of an independent rail and coach travel platform that sells rail and coach tickets worldwide. It operates in three segments: UK Consumer, International Consumer, and Trainline Solutions. The UK Consumer segment provides travel apps and websites for individual travelers for journeys within the United Kingdom. Its International Consumer segment offers travel apps and websites for individual travelers for journeys between the United Kingdom and outside the United Kingdom. The Trainline Solutions segment provides travel portal platforms for its own branded business units, corporates, and travel management companies; and white label e-commerce platforms for train operating companies within the United Kingdom, as well as operates Platform One Solutions. Trainline plc was founded in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "33", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "218.4 GBP", "hint": "2026-06-19"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "0.6%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "0.4%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "5.1%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "5.8%", "hint": "3 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.2x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Travel Services", "currency": "GBP", "market_cap": "793.7M"}, "price": {"trend_line": "217.0 GBP", "fair_value": "289.6 GBP", "vs_trend": "0.6%", "vs_fair_value": "-24.6%", "high_52": "307.6 GBP", "low_52": "178.0 GBP", "drawdown": "-29.0%", 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{"volatility_13": "4.4%", "volatility_52": "4.1%", "downside_weeks": 31, "upside_weeks": 21, "downside_breadth": "59.6%", "average_gain": "3.4%", "average_loss": "-3.0%", "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 7, "share": 26.923076923076923, "share_label": "26.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.4%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "4.1%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "21/31", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.4% / -3.0%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "0.6%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.2x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "The Expectancy Model is negative at 43.75%, which weighs against the setup.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.", "The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "218.4 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "217.0 GBP", "fair_value": "289.6 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.33", "relative_leadership": "-14.19", "volume": "13.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "217.2 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "218.2 GBP", "fair_value": "289.7 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.40", "relative_leadership": "-16.28", "volume": "4.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "227.2 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "219.8 GBP", "fair_value": "290.1 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.49", "relative_leadership": "-12.28", "volume": "10.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "220.0 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "220.8 GBP", "fair_value": "290.4 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.51", "relative_leadership": "-16.02", "volume": "8.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "217.6 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "221.9 GBP", "fair_value": "290.6 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.69", "relative_leadership": "-18.00", "volume": "10.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "211.2 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "223.3 GBP", "fair_value": "290.9 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.85", "relative_leadership": "-18.94", "volume": "15.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "223.4 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "224.8 GBP", "fair_value": "291.4 GBP", "activity_pressure": "1.01", "relative_leadership": "-15.27", "volume": "10.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "241.4 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "226.0 GBP", "fair_value": "291.7 GBP", "activity_pressure": "1.09", "relative_leadership": "-10.13", "volume": "7.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "242.0 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "227.2 GBP", "fair_value": "291.9 GBP", "activity_pressure": "1.10", "relative_leadership": "-10.78", "volume": "8.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-17", "close": "246.2 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "228.5 GBP", "fair_value": "292.0 GBP", "activity_pressure": "1.06", "relative_leadership": "-12.39", "volume": "6.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-10", "close": "236.6 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "229.8 GBP", "fair_value": "291.9 GBP", "activity_pressure": "1.05", "relative_leadership": "-15.98", "volume": "5.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-03", "close": "225.8 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "231.8 GBP", "fair_value": "292.0 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.83", "relative_leadership": "-19.26", "volume": "11.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-27", "close": "207.8 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "233.2 GBP", "fair_value": "292.0 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.47", "relative_leadership": "-22.80", "volume": "28.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-20", "close": "212.8 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "235.2 GBP", "fair_value": "292.3 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.12", "relative_leadership": "-21.18", "volume": "27.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "45", "primary_driver": {"label": "Factors", "score": 67.7536231884058, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 3; Small Cap Core rank 20", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 28.1266, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is negative with a 43.75% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Negative 43.75%", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 28.347438768044242, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "28/100", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 39.52083333333333, "score_label": "40", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 28.1266, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is negative with a 43.75% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Negative 43.75%", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 67.7536231884058, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 3; Small Cap Core rank 20", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks", "metric": "Recent", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.", "detail": "Trainline plc Stock (GB00B4Z5Y988): Quiet Tuesday trade as buyback program continues", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Factors", "score": 67.7536231884058, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 3; Small Cap Core rank 20", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}], "negatives": [{"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 28.1266, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is negative with a 43.75% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Negative 43.75%", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 28.347438768044242, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "28/100", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 39.52083333333333, "score_label": "40", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is factors: O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "The main constraint is expectancy model: The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is negative with a 43.75% probability read.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.6%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 0.4%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "10/52", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Recent", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "value": "Negative 43.75%", "detail": "The Expectancy Model contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/", "api_path": "/terminal/d0884ade-f070-4fd7-8e89-fd9034ccab7e/report/api/"}