{"ticker": {"uuid": "d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d", "symbol": "4538", "name": "WINSON Machinery Co., LTD.", "exchange": "TWO", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-14", "summary": "4538 closed the latest completed week at 17.50 TWD. The 4-week return is -5.4% and the 12-week return is 0.8%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at -1.00.", "description": "WINSON Machinery Co., LTD. manufactures castings in Taiwan. The company offers five-axis machining center castings bases and worktables; gantry-type machining center castings column; PCB drilling machine base and worktable; vertical boring machine base; and EDM casting products. It also provides casting solutions and engineering support; mold planning and maintenance; mold assembly and patternmaking; material composition adjustment and charge; heat treatment and stress relief; quality control and inspection; contract machining and finished product delivery; and packaging and logistics services. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Changhua, Taiwan.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "35", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "17.50 TWD", "hint": "2026-08-14"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "0.6%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-5.4%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "0.8%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "53.8%", "hint": "28 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.6x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "sector": "Industrials", "industry": "Metal Fabrication", "currency": "TWD", "market_cap": "1.0B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "17.74 TWD", "fair_value": "17.52 TWD", "vs_trend": "-1.3%", "vs_fair_value": "-0.1%", "high_52": "19.95 TWD", "low_52": "15.52 TWD", "drawdown": "-12.3%", "range_position": 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Jul", "return": -0.2873563218390641, "return_label": "-0.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 16.116725383590655, "volume": "64.0K"}, {"week": "7 Aug", "return": 0.2881844380403294, "return_label": "0.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 21.191227464914643, "volume": "84.2K"}, {"week": "14 Aug", "return": 0.5747126436781691, "return_label": "0.6%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 28.75374902733044, "volume": "114.2K"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.6x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "184.2K", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "159.6K", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "2.4%", "volatility_52": "1.8%", "downside_weeks": 24, "upside_weeks": 23, "downside_breadth": "46.2%", "average_gain": "1.4%", "average_loss": "-1.2%", "distribution_scale": "6%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "13 of 26", "detail": "12 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+5.7%", "detail": "Week of 5 Jun.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-5.9%", "detail": "Week of 24 Jul.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+0.6%", "detail": "Week of 14 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 11, "share": 42.30769230769231, "share_label": "42.3%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 11, "share": 42.30769230769231, "share_label": "42.3%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "2.4%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "1.8%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "23/24", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "1.4% / -1.2%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-1.3%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.6x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-14", "close": "17.50 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.74 TWD", "fair_value": "17.52 TWD", "activity_pressure": "-1.00", "relative_leadership": "-27.41", "volume": "114.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "17.40 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.69 TWD", "fair_value": "17.53 TWD", "activity_pressure": "-0.69", "relative_leadership": "-26.12", "volume": "84.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "17.35 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.65 TWD", "fair_value": "17.54 TWD", "activity_pressure": "-0.35", "relative_leadership": "-25.36", "volume": "64.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "17.40 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.60 TWD", "fair_value": "17.55 TWD", "activity_pressure": "0.06", "relative_leadership": "-26.94", "volume": "110.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "18.50 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.55 TWD", "fair_value": "17.57 TWD", "activity_pressure": "0.52", "relative_leadership": "-21.46", "volume": "77.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "18.60 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.47 TWD", "fair_value": "17.58 TWD", "activity_pressure": "0.67", "relative_leadership": "-26.55", "volume": "38.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "18.70 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.38 TWD", "fair_value": "17.61 TWD", "activity_pressure": "0.77", "relative_leadership": "-29.23", "volume": "153.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "18.90 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.29 TWD", "fair_value": "17.63 TWD", "activity_pressure": "0.76", "relative_leadership": "-25.78", "volume": "270.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "18.85 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.19 TWD", "fair_value": "17.67 TWD", "activity_pressure": "0.53", "relative_leadership": "-29.78", "volume": "296.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "18.55 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.11 TWD", "fair_value": "17.66 TWD", "activity_pressure": "0.18", "relative_leadership": "-28.15", "volume": "345.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "18.50 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17.03 TWD", "fair_value": "17.65 TWD", "activity_pressure": "-0.05", "relative_leadership": "-30.56", "volume": "333.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "17.50 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "16.96 TWD", "fair_value": "17.65 TWD", "activity_pressure": "-0.22", "relative_leadership": "-34.61", "volume": "397.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "17.37 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "16.93 TWD", "fair_value": "17.65 TWD", "activity_pressure": "-0.29", "relative_leadership": "-32.17", "volume": "111.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "17.32 TWD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "16.91 TWD", "fair_value": "17.64 TWD", "activity_pressure": "-0.12", "relative_leadership": "-31.37", "volume": "158.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "45", "primary_driver": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 56.31944444444444, "score_label": "56", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers", "metric": "56/100", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 33.72659407378832, "score_label": "34", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "34/100", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 33.72659407378832, "score_label": "34", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "34/100", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 56.31944444444444, "score_label": "56", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers", "metric": "56/100", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 33.72659407378832, "score_label": "34", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "34/100", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.6%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -5.4%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "30/9", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Weak trend", "stance_tone": "negative", "setup_score": "35", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -5.4% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -5.4% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -5.4% over four weeks, 0.8% over 12 weeks, and 3.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.6%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -5.4%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "30/9", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}], "strengths": ["Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 33.72659407378832, "score_label": "34", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "34/100", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 56.31944444444444, "score_label": "56", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers", "metric": "56/100", "url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/", "api_path": "/terminal/d196f269-75cd-460e-a3db-7f84c1fab07d/report/api/"}