{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"KYGA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d1d6eabb-7b56-4788-be2b-2c6ce0aec71f","symbol":"KYGA","name":"Kerry Group plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Packaged Foods"},"summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Strength versus the research benchmark."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":20,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":3,"medianExpectedMove":4.3,"averageExpectedMove":5.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.4,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":38.9,"averageReturn":0.3,"medianReturn":-2.0,"confidenceLow":20.3,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":47.1,"averageReturn":0.1,"medianReturn":-0.0,"confidenceLow":26.2,"confidenceHigh":69.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":43.8,"averageReturn":-2.1,"medianReturn":-3.8,"confidenceLow":23.1,"confidenceHigh":66.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":19},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":3,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":18.1,"averageExpectedMove":15.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.8,"medianReturn":-1.3,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-14.5,"medianReturn":-18.1,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-19.9,"medianReturn":-20.3,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.2,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-14.5,"sample":3},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":3},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-13.5,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.1,"sample":3},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-15.4,"sample":3},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-14.8,"sample":3},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":3},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-16.4,"sample":3},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-15.7,"sample":3},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-15.5,"sample":3},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-14.4,"sample":3},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-16.2,"sample":3},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-15.4,"sample":3},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-19.9,"sample":3}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.6% across 24 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-05-01","price":72.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-06-20","price":90.789383}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-31","price":96.802856},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":95.691612},{"date":"2025-06-13","price":95.495529}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-16","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[85.0746,86.2347,85.0746,85.4613,86.9114,85.2679,88.3132,89.9084,86.4138,89.1324,89.9092,86.8507,89.715,82.2387,86.2196,84.1806,86.8993,89.2295,88.4528,89.8121,89.9577,89.5208,91.754,96.8029,96.9,94.0842,93.7929,95.5406,94.1813,91.2685,93.7929,93.4046,94.3755,87.2598,91.5737,89.7109,92.162,93.9268,95.6916,98.0447,92.162,92.7503,95.4955,90.7894,91.7698,90.005,89.0246,88.4363,90.5933,79.6123,78.2397,80.0045,79.4162,79.024,78.2397,77.3573,75.6905,74.514,74.1218,74.135,77.0925,81.0359,76.1067,77.0925,76.3039,76.501,76.8954,76.2053,74.9237,75.9095,76.8954,75.7124,74.135,75.5152,71.769,73.9379,74.7265,76.501,71.769,70.1917,69.0087,68.8115,64.671,64.8682,67.8257,66.5,69.7,69.8,72.0,73.2,71.8,72.8,74.6,72.4,76.6,74.4,80.8,83.8,83.4,83.2,80.0,82.4,83.4,82.8],"consensus":[51.5687,41.8103,13.8319,20.7259,19.4849,0.0,38.531,35.6343,-12.1027,28.2049,18.9719,-11.8232,40.0024,-55.7651,9.106,-29.0378,11.7533,38.1711,0.0,27.1675,10.7315,9.2317,37.8308,58.7544,44.2513,0.0,0.0,17.5263,-17.5644,-32.2956,31.7439,0.0,14.745,-50.4818,15.2851,-30.8839,0.0,24.7205,36.3388,47.7911,-30.386,-8.4041,26.6034,-51.1441,0.0,-34.4186,-32.0164,-21.5117,14.2991,-69.9443,-48.5535,-12.2126,-30.5508,-24.7668,-23.3919,-37.1622,-49.9255,-39.7757,-38.2617,-29.7381,23.8633,39.7199,-40.5536,0.0,-24.4529,-12.0389,0.0,-25.434,-22.0211,0.0,13.1348,0.0,-20.6366,14.331,-49.0399,13.4885,0.0,19.7372,-36.7557,-43.5004,-40.0207,-23.3915,-62.3557,-28.4138,9.3047,-40.4387,39.4182,21.4303,37.8328,42.0121,0.0,22.4914,37.5308,0.0,55.2539,0.0,55.6617,61.161,37.1328,32.4307,-8.4764,19.6849,30.728,9.0081],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-20.3708,-24.4343,-23.7337,-40.2728,-55.4586,-35.4632,-37.8562,-28.8227,21.3463,32.416,-45.2863,0.0,-30.4173,-6.6325,0.0,-30.1123,-17.2004,0.0,18.4943,0.0,-21.2854,18.7888,-50.1216,19.3292,0.0,18.8444,-41.319,-43.5294,-40.4307,-15.0497,-69.5123,-25.1203,7.235,-46.89,32.5119,20.111,32.4029,37.4673,0.0,12.1547,35.2186,0.0,64.6976,0.0,59.4694,64.7392,30.8744,23.016,-15.5473,21.5795,37.2697,9.372],"force":[-8.4511,-6.597,-5.9818,-20.7566,-39.9044,-28.7851,-21.5363,-8.95,75.4031,65.3636,-76.8633,0.0,-28.1481,-4.1906,0.0,-36.8909,-33.3564,0.0,20.4669,0.0,-24.2554,35.0113,-60.2061,47.6848,0.0,29.2133,-54.9735,-53.0442,-35.9643,-7.6069,-62.2311,-2.0203,59.6353,-40.0616,84.2792,29.2437,56.3724,50.6052,0.0,27.4703,39.8395,0.0,46.8738,0.0,43.0871,47.5642,9.2156,5.6878,-39.1497,8.0767,17.2001,14.8222],"direction":[-57.9706,-38.1252,-35.4371,-45.3254,-50.7599,-52.5547,-50.6719,-45.633,10.0744,29.7505,-9.2092,0.0,-14.9971,-23.8236,0.0,-11.9039,-19.4339,0.0,1.7724,0.0,-17.3101,5.5354,-39.8278,17.6124,0.0,13.9891,-18.5276,-36.6503,-42.4495,-44.1998,-54.2659,-51.0302,24.2803,-33.3352,15.2675,17.357,30.7957,41.0683,0.0,30.7484,38.5243,0.0,50.4469,0.0,60.292,66.7836,64.226,62.2925,-21.5141,25.811,32.9145,25.6139],"intensity":[1.9231,59.6154,28.8462,11.5385,17.3077,65.3846,5.7692,3.8462,63.4615,94.2308,84.6154,63.4615,7.6923,48.0769,19.2308,7.6923,86.5385,44.2308,13.4615,17.3077,61.5385,44.2308,78.8462,42.3077,59.6154,34.6154,84.6154,78.8462,40.3846,86.5385,78.8462,48.0769,75.0,53.8462,73.0769,13.4615,80.7692,80.7692,17.3077,53.8462,30.7692,50.0,84.6154,42.3077,94.2308,63.4615,9.6154,19.2308,71.1538,86.5385,88.4615,5.7692],"confirmation":[77.2579,52.71,52.2829,79.3445,83.5864,80.459,79.7402,76.8966,34.0612,81.6032,82.0116,2.2998,75.8467,26.3623,24.0614,76.4168,75.4657,3.7384,49.6782,2.2682,74.7041,51.6625,84.0166,31.6935,24.4593,74.6183,80.2475,82.2106,80.6767,52.4647,87.841,53.6716,9.7227,80.8306,82.0863,75.1159,80.7542,81.775,5.463,75.5065,80.1155,25.7284,85.282,5.6998,85.3705,87.1026,79.127,55.0396,30.7959,73.9165,77.321,35.9795],"persistence":[75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[34.5034,3.8892,11.696,15.2662,16.908,25.3532,24.7443,24.4473,8.5266,28.0606,56.8729,44.7967,6.0058,42.7581,20.2558,7.5026,18.0023,16.3443,6.5674,8.1773,7.4826,16.9626,25.1165,47.9218,16.3566,17.791,18.3778,25.7978,29.6218,38.2526,18.664,35.0744,27.5463,17.1997,28.4077,37.7762,28.2458,28.6382,34.5452,34.1394,24.5861,17.0688,20.8816,30.5686,21.4571,19.408,31.0445,33.7159,10.3459,33.8813,15.364,12.0565],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":9.0,"control":9.4,"force":14.8,"direction":25.6,"confirmation":36.0,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":12.1,"intensity":5.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+9.0","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+9.4","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+14.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+25.6","detail":"Upward 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