{"ticker": {"uuid": "d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98", "symbol": "CCL1N", "name": "Carnival Corporation Ltd.", "exchange": "MEX", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-31", "summary": "CCL1N closed the latest completed week at 485.9 MXN. The 4-week return is -0.8% and the 12-week return is 6.8%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 0.08.", "description": "Carnival Corporation Ltd., a cruise company, provides leisure travel services in North America, Australia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: North America Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches. The company offers its services under the AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), P&O Cruises (UK), Princess Cruises, and Seabourn brands. It sells its cruises through travel agents, tour operators, vacation planners, websites, and onboard future cruise consultants. Carnival Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "37", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "485.9 MXN", "hint": "2026-07-31"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "9.2%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-0.8%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "6.8%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "26.9%", "hint": "14 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.5x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Travel Services", "currency": "MXN", "market_cap": "678.5B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "488.6 MXN", "fair_value": "408.0 MXN", "vs_trend": "-0.6%", "vs_fair_value": "19.1%", "high_52": "610.3 MXN", "low_52": "413.5 MXN", "drawdown": 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9.683003226490191, "volume": "8.2K"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": -4.081632653061225, "return_label": "-4.1%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 5.103506747368173, "volume": "4.3K"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": -2.1255297872340377, "return_label": "-2.1%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 5.463837403735193, "volume": "4.6K"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": -3.2629746470082295, "return_label": "-3.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "290"}, {"week": "31 Jul", "return": 9.186517977528085, "return_label": "9.2%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "863"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.5x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "1.9K", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "4.8K", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "5.7%", "volatility_52": "5.6%", "downside_weeks": 27, "upside_weeks": 25, "downside_breadth": "51.9%", "average_gain": "4.8%", "average_loss": "-4.6%", "distribution_scale": "12%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "13 of 26", "detail": "13 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+10.9%", "detail": "Week of 6 Feb.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-11.7%", "detail": "Week of 6 Mar.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+9.2%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "5.7%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "5.6%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "25/27", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "4.8% / -4.6%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-0.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.5x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.58% based on similar historical setup states.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.", "The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "485.9 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "488.6 MXN", "fair_value": "408.0 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.08", "relative_leadership": "-7.09", "volume": "863", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "445.0 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "491.0 MXN", "fair_value": "406.8 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.23", "relative_leadership": "-14.69", "volume": "290", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "460.0 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "494.5 MXN", "fair_value": "405.9 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.50", "relative_leadership": "-12.76", "volume": "4.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "470.0 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "497.8 MXN", "fair_value": "404.9 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.72", "relative_leadership": "-11.31", "volume": "4.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "490.0 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "498.9 MXN", "fair_value": "403.7 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.81", "relative_leadership": "-8.84", "volume": "8.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "500.0 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "498.2 MXN", "fair_value": "402.7 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.61", "relative_leadership": "-7.73", "volume": "15", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "539.0 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "497.3 MXN", "fair_value": "401.5 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.43", "relative_leadership": "-1.60", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "501.2 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "495.7 MXN", "fair_value": "399.8 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.02", "relative_leadership": "-8.87", "volume": "1.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "474.2 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "495.5 MXN", "fair_value": "398.3 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.42", "relative_leadership": "-11.41", "volume": "460", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "490.0 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "495.8 MXN", "fair_value": "396.7 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.60", "relative_leadership": "-11.88", "volume": "500", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "452.5 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "497.2 MXN", "fair_value": "394.9 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.70", "relative_leadership": "-18.45", "volume": "860", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "427.9 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "500.2 MXN", "fair_value": "393.3 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.68", "relative_leadership": "-22.61", "volume": "1.9K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "455.1 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "503.3 MXN", "fair_value": "391.8 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.51", "relative_leadership": "-20.19", "volume": "1.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "473.3 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "505.2 MXN", "fair_value": "390.0 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.55", "relative_leadership": "-14.65", "volume": "970", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "45", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.7886, "score_label": "79", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.58% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 57.58%", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 25.597222222222218, "score_label": "26", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers", "metric": "26/100", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 34.57282697023517, "score_label": "35", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "35/100", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 25.597222222222218, "score_label": "26", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers", "metric": "26/100", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.7886, "score_label": "79", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.58% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 57.58%", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.", "detail": "Carnival Corporation Stock: Is CCL Outperforming the Consumer Cyclical Sector?", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.7886, "score_label": "79", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.58% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 57.58%", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 25.597222222222218, "score_label": "26", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers", "metric": "26/100", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 34.57282697023517, "score_label": "35", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "35/100", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.58% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "9.2%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -0.8%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "15/44", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 57.58%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Weak trend", "stance_tone": "negative", "setup_score": "37", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -0.8% over four weeks, 6.8% over 12 weeks, and -11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "9.2%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -0.8%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "15/44", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 57.58%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/"}], "strengths": ["Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.58% based on similar historical setup states.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.", "The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 34.57282697023517, "score_label": "35", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "35/100", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 25.597222222222218, "score_label": "26", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers", "metric": "26/100", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.7886, "score_label": "79", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.58% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 57.58%", "url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.", "detail": "Carnival Corporation Stock: Is CCL Outperforming the Consumer Cyclical Sector?", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/", "api_path": "/terminal/d1eb17b1-ba29-434a-8782-4fa108138c98/report/api/"}