{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"IMMOU Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d38259aa-742d-47b1-9e99-0b6a33642287","symbol":"IMMOU","name":"Immo Moury SCA","exchange":"BRU","country":"BE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Reit - Specialty"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":24,"completedEpisodes":24,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":2.8,"averageExpectedMove":4.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":24,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":0.5,"medianReturn":0.2,"confidenceLow":31.4,"confidenceHigh":68.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":24,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-1.6,"medianReturn":-2.3,"confidenceLow":18.0,"confidenceHigh":53.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":23,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":17.4,"averageReturn":-2.8,"medianReturn":-2.5,"confidenceLow":7.0,"confidenceHigh":37.1,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":24},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":24},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":24},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":24},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":24},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":24},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":24},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":24},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":24},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":24},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":24},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":24},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":24},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":24},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":24},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":24},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":24},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":24},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":24},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":24},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":23},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":23},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":23},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":23},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":23},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":23}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Downside evidence leads price","tone":"negative","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"The downside remains supported. Further price weakness would confirm that price is catching up with the weaker underlying position.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":50.0,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 50.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.6% across 20 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 3.9% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-10-24","price":36.799999}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[29.8885,29.8885,29.8885,29.7084,29.7084,30.0685,29.8885,33.1294,31.1826,31.5652,31.7565,31.1826,31.5652,31.1826,29.6522,29.6522,30.4174,29.8435,30.0348,30.6087,29.6522,29.0783,29.4609,29.6522,29.2696,29.6522,30.4174,29.2696,29.2696,29.2696,29.0783,29.2696,29.2696,28.887,29.0783,29.2696,29.2696,29.4609,30.6087,30.6087,31.7565,35.5826,34.4348,32.3304,32.5217,32.1391,32.9044,33.8609,34.4348,35.2,35.2,35.3913,35.9652,35.7739,35.5826,35.3913,35.3913,35.5826,36.5391,38.2609,39.8,36.8,36.8,35.8,34.0,33.8,30.4,32.4,32.2,32.2,33.2,32.6,33.6,33.6,33.6,33.8,34.0,33.4,33.4,34.8,34.8,34.6,33.6,33.2,33.4,33.8,34.0,33.4,33.8,34.2,33.6,31.4,32.0,33.8,32.2,32.8,32.0,32.2,31.8,31.6,31.8,31.4,32.0,31.8],"consensus":[45.6106,27.1967,18.1131,12.6105,15.5606,44.5469,12.624,81.0344,11.7142,29.1011,50.4842,-21.0692,43.2436,-13.7732,-59.2142,-13.3247,13.1018,-45.4727,0.0,32.7706,-40.5417,-56.4444,0.0,0.0,-35.5194,15.0661,18.659,-45.2473,-14.4572,0.0,-43.3074,0.0,-9.5831,-37.9993,0.0,12.9514,0.0,11.9997,43.2488,22.6565,81.3761,89.9087,0.0,-12.4178,39.81,-14.0904,44.8784,60.098,52.8857,70.4904,26.7239,54.1235,71.5953,16.6647,10.0598,11.9379,0.0,25.4257,72.8688,82.8046,78.0886,-17.3994,14.6864,-44.9717,-71.9715,-55.2613,-88.0003,0.0,-51.6756,-42.5688,0.0,-24.5063,28.3302,0.0,14.5005,22.3885,22.7995,-16.1824,0.0,55.6569,32.2321,20.6701,-22.2975,-37.7483,-13.5966,12.2433,9.0924,0.0,22.3254,32.9932,-30.0528,-71.6234,0.0,21.1221,-41.0319,9.2617,-29.3435,0.0,-45.5579,-49.4739,-25.4582,-53.7741,16.1306,-10.5834],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[71.5651,3.6834,0.8086,18.0146,0.0,33.6242,78.1804,87.4682,77.8007,-31.8085,15.1429,-47.5679,-66.5091,-60.0366,-90.7475,0.0,-51.9791,-41.0307,0.0,-22.8878,33.9003,0.0,19.4675,25.015,24.2903,-17.9589,0.0,55.7349,36.2802,17.1851,-31.7814,-38.1079,-6.7665,28.8363,6.4745,0.0,30.5057,33.0815,-38.982,-70.6171,0.0,33.3892,-41.959,1.9732,-36.9617,0.0,-54.0797,-52.783,-37.2988,-51.4409,9.2544,-8.2709],"force":[82.013,15.04,23.9125,26.4611,0.0,14.4457,90.4012,98.6135,87.2306,-70.7762,2.5907,-55.3824,-95.4893,-34.1886,-98.8418,0.0,-34.1035,-20.3271,0.0,-20.0259,48.5813,0.0,25.325,26.3224,33.4586,-18.514,0.0,79.1682,20.2423,8.7398,-30.486,-42.152,-3.5254,20.5394,8.0883,0.0,29.2078,50.9167,-37.6164,-91.5212,0.0,24.5319,-35.6663,26.7385,-19.073,0.0,-44.4829,-45.7678,-0.9711,-69.542,59.9485,-13.5064],"direction":[64.1886,54.1468,46.7467,32.4209,0.0,23.8988,54.2753,66.1827,71.8876,-37.1944,22.8045,-34.5684,-61.4157,-64.8556,-77.1166,0.0,-63.8802,-60.2134,0.0,-29.5562,7.4994,0.0,1.0922,16.5769,13.4819,-12.4868,0.0,38.7738,36.1699,33.1747,-5.61,-34.1918,-28.5963,12.6459,12.8015,0.0,8.0604,20.0898,-14.4455,-58.5607,0.0,4.6671,-43.8049,5.1081,-27.973,0.0,-36.5864,-48.3394,-29.4169,-45.1779,7.3093,-11.1383],"intensity":[46.1538,59.6154,3.8462,34.6154,5.7692,25.0,61.5385,90.3846,96.1538,98.0769,92.3077,65.3846,86.5385,86.5385,98.0769,86.5385,61.5385,1.9231,61.5385,73.0769,59.6154,46.1538,61.5385,61.5385,28.8462,34.6154,28.8462,75.0,48.0769,48.0769,67.3077,25.0,75.0,25.0,30.7692,71.1538,63.4615,23.0769,30.7692,90.3846,44.2308,88.4615,75.0,28.8462,48.0769,11.5385,25.0,36.5385,13.4615,23.0769,36.5385,34.6154],"confirmation":[91.2285,7.7728,7.6232,30.869,4.4032,75.6767,91.7714,94.9082,93.2714,37.5764,49.6574,82.6687,91.8308,84.9686,96.4486,14.725,83.996,80.9676,4.9503,75.7301,54.9313,24.5948,50.2277,75.2442,75.598,73.2224,3.0066,86.5256,77.8872,74.304,52.5736,80.2082,26.8147,29.2823,48.2522,1.6986,75.2292,79.1027,77.7113,91.5412,10.1856,52.0094,80.9526,26.2741,76.9608,30.6329,82.4159,83.6683,52.5533,85.7238,53.4946,79.511],"persistence":[75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[5.3251,12.3387,16.6969,5.9689,43.4614,33.7918,12.4627,8.5944,10.9556,48.7289,4.3568,26.2249,14.0059,21.6466,5.981,46.0237,14.3092,16.452,49.4714,18.3714,21.4833,35.0044,7.8344,25.3637,3.8125,0.2331,8.9787,15.6766,27.9526,38.1063,25.8693,30.5665,42.3108,51.1977,26.8253,19.61,18.8609,13.2314,14.7016,13.384,45.8094,31.1597,23.7534,39.7821,14.6717,43.6904,3.7631,17.0609,2.7715,6.7379,1.8829,15.3152],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-10.6,"control":-8.3,"force":-13.5,"direction":-11.1,"confirmation":79.5,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":15.3,"intensity":34.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-10.6","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-8.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-13.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-11.1","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"80/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"44.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"2.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.8","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"21%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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