{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BRYN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d3f9b33b-24cc-497d-b79e-f35adc013511","symbol":"BRYN","name":"Berkshire Hathaway Inc.","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Insurance - Diversified"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":3,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":9.0,"averageExpectedMove":10.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":11.3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-3.6,"medianReturn":-3.8,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-10.1,"medianReturn":-9.0,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.5,"medianReturn":-11.4,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-5.7,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-6.3,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":3},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-10.9,"sample":3},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-12.7,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":3},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-12.5,"sample":3},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":3},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":3},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-13.8,"sample":3},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":3},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":3},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-13.7,"sample":3},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-11.9,"sample":3},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-11.8,"sample":3},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-11.5,"sample":3}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":55.6,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 55.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.7% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 3.1% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-03-07","price":453.100006},{"date":"2025-05-09","price":456.399994}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-02-28","price":488.049988},{"date":"2025-03-14","price":471.049988},{"date":"2025-05-02","price":474.649994}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[403.65,425.65,418.8,407.4,410.35,410.2,416.55,421.0,427.4,420.95,418.7,431.35,444.3,458.7,459.3,445.25,438.35,437.0,439.05,440.55,431.6,454.7,439.45,452.8,460.45,459.6,461.55,488.05,453.1,471.05,483.8,486.6,458.95,453.3,458.9,465.05,474.65,456.4,461.05,444.15,443.2,433.5,424.15,421.4,416.4,409.0,405.05,408.25,410.7,410.0,397.4,408.0,416.45,432.25,425.05,422.5,417.65,426.15,425.2,423.3,421.6,422.15,414.15,425.35,438.8,438.7,444.8,432.45,422.65,428.45,424.3,424.25,427.15,426.1,408.55,402.45,427.9,422.0,419.45,426.45,424.95,430.5,416.7,410.65,414.05,410.2,404.65,400.2,405.4,405.05,417.05,418.25,405.2,424.3,421.95,425.55,435.8,442.2,430.05,435.15,435.8,444.55,449.05,436.25],"consensus":[18.7347,73.2148,0.0,-14.5724,24.9542,0.0,34.7751,36.3721,45.374,0.0,0.0,51.9907,60.7371,70.8799,39.1778,0.0,-13.4227,0.0,0.0,10.1749,-37.0407,59.8984,-30.748,47.514,49.9385,27.4468,32.445,74.971,-41.7657,52.0239,53.5782,19.7627,-37.3889,-11.6891,-9.7554,10.9289,34.4705,-28.5641,0.0,-47.4726,-32.8436,-39.6741,-47.1272,-31.5678,-45.4975,-50.3996,-49.1083,-20.1264,-15.5379,-26.8227,-52.9975,0.0,13.4613,49.8252,0.0,0.0,-9.8626,21.325,0.0,-9.1575,0.0,0.0,-34.5218,29.744,51.2263,29.365,51.3063,-13.7698,-35.5931,0.0,-18.8936,-12.8613,9.566,0.0,-65.6589,-45.328,43.3475,-15.8542,0.0,33.9941,0.0,33.8164,-37.9549,-40.1825,0.0,-36.8031,-40.79,-39.8682,-8.4156,-14.3029,44.591,25.1736,-42.4943,54.4973,21.6538,14.1209,58.6365,42.6541,0.0,36.7537,29.1655,47.2983,44.4956,26.3862],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[13.8391,49.6611,0.0,0.0,-13.2958,30.3393,0.0,-16.5099,0.0,0.0,-30.7042,29.0737,50.7116,26.2128,52.665,-23.7693,-33.5662,0.0,-13.3894,-11.1699,6.5611,0.0,-64.9641,-34.141,44.7071,-15.0878,0.0,32.2547,0.0,36.8175,-44.2511,-38.8843,0.0,-35.9118,-39.9605,-39.4055,-1.6877,-9.7454,38.663,21.4596,-47.7443,58.6731,25.3754,3.7879,66.4651,40.0704,0.0,32.4041,36.8923,49.3648,39.7071,29.41],"force":[32.7033,67.1701,0.0,0.0,-13.87,29.4657,0.0,-20.0102,0.0,0.0,-52.4194,53.3212,58.1139,12.2705,45.8698,-46.6026,-53.2669,0.0,-19.3464,-8.8273,17.9053,0.0,-90.1868,-49.3991,84.6969,-28.9949,0.0,44.3629,0.0,37.913,-56.3309,-43.5923,0.0,-34.1803,-38.9554,-31.6319,-17.5258,-2.3618,81.6514,23.8122,-68.7328,65.2108,8.5454,0.0441,48.3163,22.557,0.0,35.3346,18.3118,53.6658,34.6807,79.4815],"direction":[0.7147,37.6237,0.0,0.0,-3.0766,5.2082,0.0,-6.9972,0.0,0.0,-26.1009,13.6693,46.8948,45.1778,53.6366,-21.1101,-25.2854,0.0,-24.8606,-17.6759,7.0434,0.0,-48.933,-55.2052,12.2585,-7.3439,0.0,28.5756,0.0,27.4604,-17.6335,-39.2306,0.0,-39.6953,-43.0484,-46.28,-34.6343,-28.041,24.8942,30.3905,-17.7526,42.0724,26.7636,35.985,57.0611,59.9621,0.0,42.7384,28.0873,40.3885,56.9789,14.9947],"intensity":[50.0,73.0769,55.7692,44.2308,15.3846,36.5385,21.1538,19.2308,50.0,30.7692,63.4615,55.7692,75.0,13.4615,25.0,61.5385,61.5385,26.9231,7.6923,1.9231,3.8462,17.3077,82.6923,73.0769,90.3846,63.4615,3.8462,30.7692,30.7692,75.0,75.0,59.6154,11.5385,11.5385,42.3077,36.5385,32.6923,28.8462,75.0,40.3846,80.7692,98.0769,50.0,42.3077,59.6154,71.1538,75.0,23.0769,5.7692,86.5385,51.9231,78.8462],"confirmation":[50.3741,84.4752,30.4498,24.8902,48.5592,52.2681,24.6698,49.9752,1.1954,47.3468,79.6506,78.2468,84.6102,76.9238,84.2316,32.4247,79.9593,26.9674,74.1436,72.0185,26.0277,1.0618,89.769,82.7995,83.1107,50.8188,49.1278,79.2206,1.2188,78.9004,80.6097,80.9821,5.0275,79.7107,81.0095,80.5139,5.7438,49.6158,83.4889,76.0706,82.3178,85.702,74.473,26.9138,86.3299,81.0762,32.1645,79.7842,76.8844,83.298,82.0124,43.8812],"persistence":[62.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[27.998,24.636,52.1139,44.889,12.5915,42.8701,1.5159,9.8539,23.3852,21.1348,26.9433,1.4774,23.2214,34.0758,24.3383,44.7971,30.7628,46.7202,40.1584,33.7136,22.2732,14.619,14.4407,26.6689,18.2107,11.1564,43.3344,32.0855,15.6587,18.7905,5.6746,25.6563,36.9361,29.7749,20.9129,20.659,32.547,28.9571,25.4563,37.0092,19.8283,21.4117,14.4033,29.0329,20.6279,27.4105,38.1521,21.6088,14.5827,10.4237,26.5465,19.1242],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":26.4,"control":29.4,"force":79.5,"direction":15.0,"confirmation":43.9,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":19.1,"intensity":78.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+26.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+29.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+79.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+15.0","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"44/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"54.8","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"16.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"59%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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