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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":14.5,"averageExpectedMove":14.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.6,"medianReturn":-11.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-14.5,"medianReturn":-14.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-17.0,"medianReturn":-17.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-11.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-13.2,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-14.1,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-14.5,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-14.5,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-16.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-15.2,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-19.8,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-19.6,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-19.6,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-19.6,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-19.6,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-22.1,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-21.4,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-21.4,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-21.8,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-21.4,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-17.0,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":55.6,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 55.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -7.1% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 10.7% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-09-27","price":3.66}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-10-10","price":5.3},{"date":"2025-11-07","price":5.32}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-10-17","price":5.6}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.1,3.32,3.2,3.26,3.2,3.66,3.65,3.76,3.9,3.51,3.25,3.65,3.18,3.42,3.61,3.4,3.64,3.84,3.96,3.96,3.81,3.99,4.02,4.02,4.2,4.2,4.17,4.19,4.04,4.0,4.7,4.66,4.27,4.03,4.2,4.23,4.4,4.65,4.8,4.68,4.96,4.92,4.9,4.96,4.79,4.94,4.86,4.9,4.88,5.0,5.03,5.075,5.22,5.36,5.45,5.59,5.65,5.4,5.65,5.3,5.6,5.6,5.58,5.32,4.95,5.0,4.96,4.86,4.99,4.81,4.79,4.85,4.79,4.68,4.75,4.49,4.5,4.5,4.5,4.5,4.36,4.4,4.4,4.38,4.4,4.55,4.65,4.59,4.65,4.69,4.59,4.64,4.59,4.47,4.36,4.34,4.14,4.2,4.31,4.11,4.11,4.2,4.03,3.9],"consensus":[-39.8472,21.019,-22.2427,0.0,-15.5903,54.8313,13.7166,34.4149,32.0561,-29.6684,-50.6271,31.7842,-54.277,20.6848,12.7276,-28.0871,38.2803,46.3307,37.9477,28.6858,0.0,42.1165,9.2972,8.4516,48.8166,13.0086,11.3134,24.7632,-15.9401,-9.0221,59.5339,23.2584,-14.3643,-27.7474,0.0,-8.142,21.2627,48.0718,44.5094,11.9255,44.7402,11.4142,16.8504,30.7185,-16.8557,39.7138,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.8739,15.1645,17.2986,35.6177,45.5126,39.7243,41.9137,42.9908,-14.0511,43.0724,-40.0495,37.7228,26.8257,12.2461,-29.5724,-52.4821,-14.4949,-37.8124,-46.87,0.0,-46.8418,-26.5118,0.0,-27.934,-28.2388,0.0,-54.9214,-19.4504,-21.0837,-16.0495,-14.9341,-39.4977,-8.295,-9.7921,-19.0902,0.0,23.35,16.9102,0.0,17.0712,13.1376,0.0,11.0451,0.0,0.0,-9.5263,-13.7686,-48.3669,-15.626,-9.1398,-49.7706,-21.571,0.0,-40.2023,-44.7305],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[31.4886,47.4314,31.5928,36.3742,39.8691,-12.987,44.82,-34.0557,50.448,30.8868,19.8793,-33.1846,-40.734,-1.1546,-34.7714,-49.1584,0.0,-49.802,-22.8511,0.0,-22.6655,-23.8024,0.0,-46.2461,-8.672,-15.5374,-4.6143,-16.152,-41.7201,-2.2852,-1.0166,-15.3234,0.0,26.4495,16.3359,0.0,16.3586,12.5124,0.0,12.7631,0.0,0.0,-0.3842,-8.0103,-56.9861,-9.7348,-15.9717,-55.1783,-26.4451,0.0,-42.9372,-39.5562],"force":[34.5375,40.687,38.4424,33.5138,32.271,-64.9596,42.4217,-87.7938,41.8023,12.6392,0.7205,-53.6792,-73.2426,-10.755,-26.6446,-35.4231,0.0,-44.0504,-7.6745,0.0,-18.9569,-19.1126,0.0,-72.7825,-2.8543,-0.774,-3.1669,-2.3068,-31.3141,-19.7291,-8.3071,-4.1268,0.0,42.9021,19.7039,0.0,19.2776,11.2827,0.0,12.7376,0.0,0.0,-1.9558,-2.501,-41.8253,-1.945,-9.0299,-58.5052,-8.8107,0.0,-36.7592,-56.8095],"direction":[41.1081,46.7664,49.933,54.2445,54.2154,-21.0961,41.5401,-12.7965,20.2658,32.3176,12.7842,-8.225,-51.0797,-47.7767,-49.2648,-52.4309,0.0,-45.4527,-44.1506,0.0,-40.3674,-39.8279,0.0,-52.0781,-47.7005,-41.9294,-42.8445,-25.857,-42.8034,-35.1805,-32.7492,-34.0833,0.0,5.842,15.571,0.0,16.3094,15.1771,0.0,7.8729,0.0,0.0,-25.3817,-28.3979,-43.1889,-34.9094,-14.3102,-37.3513,-25.1151,0.0,-39.5359,-42.016],"intensity":[32.6923,25.0,46.1538,30.7692,5.7692,78.8462,67.3077,78.8462,71.1538,46.1538,38.4615,71.1538,98.0769,82.6923,15.3846,15.3846,19.2308,53.8462,21.1538,19.2308,13.4615,75.0,55.7692,71.1538,61.5385,38.4615,3.8462,5.7692,30.7692,13.4615,3.8462,17.3077,7.6923,100.0,100.0,21.1538,25.0,42.3077,26.9231,19.2308,13.4615,69.2308,34.6154,15.3846,73.0769,17.3077,59.6154,71.1538,21.1538,26.9231,61.5385,76.9231],"confirmation":[79.4277,82.3877,80.7966,81.2408,81.4779,33.2312,81.7367,82.3622,80.0017,76.09,48.8943,78.1428,85.606,6.3665,79.806,82.6147,29.7282,82.8592,53.2988,5.3038,76.7456,76.8259,4.2566,86.2514,51.6509,51.5457,28.0667,50.0603,80.356,6.1008,4.4878,51.0436,4.1851,53.354,73.5052,26.4338,73.5409,72.157,24.6584,48.8932,0.6351,25.1914,25.6237,49.4836,83.1467,50.3028,26.8599,84.1104,74.4396,5.0088,80.7181,90.7607],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[31.975,27.2024,30.1278,29.0416,28.495,24.6148,25.1177,27.5023,32.9164,27.6287,25.367,20.0097,23.5082,42.3924,30.8327,25.4231,7.033,12.9318,21.4031,0.7153,28.1054,23.8085,11.1133,21.8753,38.8835,36.4331,41.2545,12.3521,23.831,34.8385,35.7731,34.3246,21.7667,33.8558,40.9132,50.7327,41.4015,41.8068,30.3616,23.4424,31.9395,47.7422,44.9166,43.0591,25.8083,41.794,20.0324,24.2228,4.0472,2.0979,29.4381,25.7978],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-44.7,"control":-39.6,"force":-56.8,"direction":-42.0,"confirmation":90.8,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":25.8,"intensity":76.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-44.7","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-39.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-56.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-42.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"91/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"30.7","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"68.2","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"81%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[3.1,3.32,3.2,3.26,3.2,3.66,3.65,3.76,3.9,3.51,3.25,3.65,3.18,3.42,3.61,3.4,3.64,3.84,3.96,3.96,3.81,3.99,4.02,4.02,4.2,4.2,4.17,4.19,4.04,4.0,4.7,4.66,4.27,4.03,4.2,4.23,4.4,4.65,4.8,4.68,4.96,4.92,4.9,4.96,4.79,4.94,4.86,4.9,4.88,5.0,5.03,5.075,5.22,5.36,5.45,5.59,5.65,5.4,5.65,5.3,5.6,5.6,5.58,5.32,4.95,5.0,4.96,4.86,4.99,4.81,4.79,4.85,4.79,4.68,4.75,4.49,4.5,4.5,4.5,4.5,4.36,4.4,4.4,4.38,4.4,4.55,4.65,4.59,4.65,4.69,4.59,4.64,4.59,4.47,4.36,4.34,4.14,4.2,4.31,4.11,4.11,4.2,4.03,3.9],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}