{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"VCAS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"d45fa8c4-13ff-4fbb-a1bf-5e90cf44eb6e","symbol":"VCAS","name":"Vanguard EUR Cash UCITS ETF EUR Dis","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"etf","currency":"EUR","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":37,"displayedObservations":37,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Material conflict","headline":"Upward price structure is not confirmed by Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","take":"The divergence must narrow through either a recovery in Market Dynamics or weaker price. In this configuration, price reversal is the principal risk, so the upward alignment should be treated as vulnerable rather than confirmed.","tone":"negative","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.807634,1.028679,0.981894,0.592396,0.285329,0.051319,-0.180615,-0.147979,-0.030514],"opens":[14.982624,14.989013,14.995802,14.972013,14.973011,14.978699,14.986682,14.99257,14.99696],"highs":[14.99091,14.99091,14.998697,14.972412,14.9786,14.986084,14.991672,14.996961,15.007],"lows":[14.982325,14.989013,14.995802,14.970616,14.972713,14.95954,14.984986,14.992471,14.99696],"closes":[14.98482,14.99091,14.998697,14.972013,14.9786,14.986084,14.990275,14.996961,15.0063],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.81","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"1.03","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.98","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.59","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.29","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.05","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.18","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.15","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.03","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[14.969956,15.008357],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.030514,"state":"Price ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Not confirming","detail":"Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks and now lags the elevated price.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[14.8527,14.8616,14.8638,14.8707,14.8791,14.8863,14.8901,14.8959,14.9016,14.9065,14.9104,14.9165,14.9223,14.9261,14.9311,14.934,14.94,14.946,14.9517,14.9584,14.9639,14.9691,14.9739,14.9821,14.9869,14.9916,14.9728,14.9781,14.9848,14.9909,14.9987,14.972,14.9786,14.9861,14.9903,14.997,15.0063],"consensus":[78.2217,95.3121,68.1672,40.7308,78.1318,75.2054,69.2248,82.0598,61.8254,62.4871,61.956,46.3505,67.5532,36.1859,49.8053,37.4457,47.0996,34.4788,35.0663,57.2906,58.7374,28.3084,46.33,36.5379,49.0469,38.2882,0.0,0.0,19.9819,37.1352,50.0977,-14.335,19.982,29.1043,24.5059,44.8544,-61.0835],"supportDates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,83.7263,73.75,76.4755,41.3913,44.5581,62.7281,26.8871,62.3158,21.5285,37.2535,23.8077,47.2232,25.3377,25.4752,63.7958,64.7626,12.3742,55.3778,25.2545,57.7602,39.8762,0.0,0.0,22.8903,55.1201,60.6194,-11.0022,35.2062,32.3864,36.3693,54.7744,-61.4326],"force":[78.2217,95.3121,68.1672,40.7308,47.7706,47.3356,39.2088,84.7929,64.6298,65.3553,33.7652,39.5002,66.0606,12.6911,41.4162,17.2922,34.5376,20.4694,23.5555,46.5747,48.8431,27.2803,29.0438,36.2801,33.0688,17.3882,0.0,0.0,11.177,22.2973,34.8416,-23.4796,27.3133,53.6441,28.9046,35.4999,-79.7492],"direction":[null,null,null,null,99.8184,85.3741,85.4932,86.4898,83.1757,80.9287,81.2099,73.4874,74.6049,69.7192,70.1424,67.4272,55.9312,54.9326,54.2494,57.5104,58.9188,47.2534,48.337,49.6174,50.5019,51.4019,0.0,0.0,22.9472,27.1795,48.9702,-11.612,2.6537,7.8249,7.8059,40.1992,-47.3518],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,40.0,16.6667,28.5714,100.0,11.1111,90.0,100.0,91.6667,84.6154,71.4286,40.0,12.5,82.3529,11.1111,68.4211,10.0,95.2381,100.0,73.913,58.3333,44.0,57.6923,25.9259,53.5714,24.1379,36.6667,70.9677,21.875,60.6061,70.5882,34.2857,50.0],"confirmation":[47.6976,53.1665,44.4802,35.7005,68.9476,91.0865,89.1682,94.4275,88.181,88.3565,86.955,82.92,89.6513,79.0868,83.8733,79.5762,82.6871,78.7456,79.0165,85.9073,86.4026,77.2702,82.1609,79.8562,83.0753,79.5911,27.2894,25.5571,74.0816,79.157,83.406,72.9167,52.2851,55.3446,53.1285,81.9172,44.64],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,10.9341,12.3973,15.3876,8.9701,19.0873,18.7564,19.022,26.8247,16.2234,31.907,25.0974,31.2772,26.4502,32.7606,32.4669,21.3547,20.6313,35.8458,26.835,31.731,25.4765,30.8559,11.5041,29.7993,25.0507,23.5179,24.9085,19.0106,36.5224,35.8775,45.3637,26.6675,18.9015],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-61.1,"control":-61.4,"force":-79.7,"direction":-47.4,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":18.9,"intensity":50.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the Market Dynamics view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward Market Dynamics view stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: the visible price structure remains vulnerable until Market Dynamics changes.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-61.1","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-61.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-79.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-47.4","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"75.1","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"0.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"79.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"79%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[14.8527,14.8616,14.8638,14.8707,14.8791,14.8863,14.8901,14.8959,14.9016,14.9065,14.9104,14.9165,14.9223,14.9261,14.9311,14.934,14.94,14.946,14.9517,14.9584,14.9639,14.9691,14.9739,14.9821,14.9869,14.9916,14.9728,14.9781,14.9848,14.9909,14.9987,14.972,14.9786,14.9861,14.9903,14.997,15.0063],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,14.8624,14.8668,14.871,14.8755,14.8803,14.885,14.8897,14.8945,14.8996,14.9044,14.9093,14.9138,14.9185,14.9235,14.9286,14.934,14.9395,14.9449,14.9501,14.956,14.9616,14.967,14.9681,14.9699,14.9726,14.9759,14.9801,14.9786,14.9786,14.98,14.9818,14.9846,14.9885],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.8795,14.8829,14.8865,14.89,14.8937,14.8976,14.9016,14.9058,14.9101,14.9145,14.9189,14.9236,14.9283,14.9329,14.9359,14.939,14.9424,14.946,14.9499,14.9516,14.9536,14.956,14.9585,14.9614,14.9647],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.9154,14.9206,14.9262,14.9319,14.9372,14.9425,14.9472,14.9523,14.9577,14.9632,14.969,14.974,14.9793,14.9841,14.9896,14.9954,15.0012,15.0024,15.0039,15.006,15.0083,15.0113,15.0099,15.009,15.0085,15.0082,15.0082,15.0097],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.8463,14.8464,14.8464,14.8462,14.8462,14.8462,14.8464,14.8463,14.8462,14.8459,14.8455,14.8516,14.857,14.8633,14.8689,14.8739,14.8786,14.8856,14.8924,14.8987,14.9047,14.9106,14.9175,14.9241,14.9306,14.9368,14.9431,14.9482],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,368.2314,126.6807,180.4095,14.9786,111.2866,252.8243,39.8856,211.2728,117.4887,80.4775,68.124,110.6496,106.774,145.1851,161.3168,54.67,314.2016,69.24,9.9057,9.8494,22.2793,68.585,24.6268,14.1871,3.7339,50.7572,314.5911,194.0807,12.9615,277.2198],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,134.8471,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,134.9556,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}