{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"MSI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d4ff924f-dede-4184-a80b-45b688e7c916","symbol":"MSI","name":"MS INTERNATIONAL plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Conglomerates"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":30.4,"averageReturn":12.8,"sample":23},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 30.4% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 12.8% across 23 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 7.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.9% across 23 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-05-15","price":1665.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-16","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[1002.2402,1074.7214,1044.7292,1044.7292,1054.7267,1009.7383,1019.7357,1009.7383,989.7434,1014.737,939.7564,989.7434,994.7421,1004.7396,974.7474,1049.7279,1019.7357,984.7448,934.8074,949.8043,934.8074,969.8002,964.8012,964.8012,999.794,962.8016,879.8187,919.8105,944.8054,1019.7899,1042.2853,1029.7878,1044.7848,904.8135,899.8146,894.8157,1009.792,1097.2739,1099.7734,1124.7683,1144.7642,1329.7261,1184.756,1344.723,1359.7198,1174.7581,1119.7693,1134.9423,1219.938,1189.9395,1279.9349,1294.9342,1269.9354,1224.9377,1234.9373,1374.9301,1389.9293,1349.9314,1459.9258,1469.9253,1424.9275,1509.9232,1649.9161,1534.922,1629.9171,1589.9192,1569.9202,1409.9283,1259.9359,1414.9281,1484.9244,1439.9268,1549.9211,1309.9334,1350.0,1285.0,1355.0,1290.0,1280.0,1210.0,1380.0,1370.0,1235.0,1225.0,1260.0,1310.0,1560.0,1572.5,1620.0,1780.0,1665.0,1660.0,1625.0,1510.0,1450.0,1455.0,1370.0,1490.0,1480.0,1500.0,1480.0,1440.0,1600.0,1590.0],"consensus":[-37.8481,26.6206,-16.291,0.0,15.6021,-37.3732,0.0,-19.6614,-28.3952,0.0,-59.4308,14.0986,0.0,0.0,-19.0326,42.7378,0.0,-25.5702,-42.458,-8.8771,-22.9157,0.0,-8.742,0.0,27.0962,-21.0705,-57.284,0.0,0.0,44.9658,32.465,12.4776,33.3646,-53.9986,-24.5504,-26.2945,39.1808,63.2428,32.8028,43.4632,44.2951,81.1937,-8.7229,75.3842,42.5803,-36.1766,-33.1378,0.0,23.6745,0.0,48.2678,31.7499,8.534,0.0,0.0,57.4971,32.9918,8.86,60.8691,28.9609,0.0,54.8442,72.752,0.0,53.3451,0.0,0.0,-44.3429,-64.196,13.951,16.9278,-13.8718,45.6898,-54.1946,0.0,-42.888,0.0,-33.1401,-25.6812,-44.3141,35.9938,0.0,-48.2864,-13.8532,-9.7796,0.0,65.9015,30.5512,41.4223,76.9189,0.0,27.032,0.0,-34.5585,-23.7304,-13.6756,-47.1167,9.5606,0.0,14.45,0.0,-22.266,52.3008,18.7483],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[6.8536,0.0,0.0,54.3103,30.5356,0.789,57.024,24.6989,0.0,59.3509,73.2884,0.0,47.4399,0.0,0.0,-41.0109,-58.1137,28.3768,31.9295,-19.2934,43.1634,-47.1006,0.0,-44.228,0.0,-39.5611,-25.9007,-46.2866,35.8977,0.0,-52.4834,-14.2316,-2.9924,0.0,60.1465,21.9657,34.586,78.6281,0.0,25.818,0.0,-34.6827,-18.6736,-3.9688,-51.9887,15.951,0.0,13.1335,0.0,-23.369,53.2755,16.4658],"force":[12.0549,0.0,0.0,83.915,18.3731,16.3168,77.2383,10.8415,0.0,52.9694,89.583,0.0,62.1378,0.0,0.0,-70.9358,-88.2172,46.8198,23.9127,-23.3193,63.3593,-86.4869,0.0,-40.116,0.0,-30.3508,-13.0785,-43.1471,78.4679,0.0,-64.6001,-1.0419,-7.0497,0.0,93.8049,12.2353,31.6598,92.0192,0.0,6.2253,0.0,-54.4622,-19.675,-3.4686,-38.85,20.3849,0.0,27.2984,0.0,-22.0298,73.1836,4.9128],"direction":[25.1608,0.0,0.0,42.2691,46.2409,37.871,53.5712,46.7741,0.0,51.0329,60.1169,0.0,53.8134,0.0,0.0,-29.1559,-53.9892,26.0135,5.2063,-0.9274,35.9561,-39.236,0.0,-43.3364,0.0,-27.7941,-34.4321,-42.8935,5.7649,0.0,-31.8372,-22.5717,-29.5572,0.0,52.5477,53.446,56.2085,64.1795,0.0,43.2814,0.0,-20.1996,-32.4063,-32.0599,-47.4535,5.4743,0.0,6.7772,0.0,-21.1741,36.2706,31.2394],"intensity":[25.0,57.6923,7.6923,94.2308,86.5385,36.5385,75.0,69.2308,38.4615,57.6923,90.3846,75.0,61.5385,59.6154,80.7692,94.2308,88.4615,88.4615,94.2308,30.7692,65.3846,98.0769,96.1538,53.8462,36.5385,32.6923,19.2308,38.4615,92.3077,67.3077,67.3077,51.9231,32.6923,25.0,100.0,94.2308,17.3077,84.6154,55.7692,44.2308,5.7692,57.6923,75.0,7.6923,36.5385,63.4615,3.8462,94.2308,90.3846,15.3846,86.5385,69.2308],"confirmation":[4.7007,27.6228,25.0475,87.2527,78.1493,5.8642,88.0356,76.7802,6.5822,85.4243,91.7854,33.3806,85.4284,6.5516,26.6868,83.051,89.3675,33.4624,51.8452,49.9776,83.1977,86.4345,7.7092,81.6192,32.3762,78.422,75.8305,82.1149,58.1472,24.6871,83.8849,49.3702,26.8906,27.5223,90.0266,77.349,81.0618,93.0482,33.9384,53.368,4.9758,79.6634,75.5472,26.8797,82.7512,49.7931,0.4357,50.369,23.9654,75.1011,85.3578,36.6811],"persistence":[25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,75.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[18.5151,20.11,26.6398,7.4356,29.3048,41.749,19.4963,31.8931,24.7721,22.0535,13.2987,36.9572,22.813,34.5493,41.7612,21.6376,17.8647,53.699,42.119,21.3857,26.7543,7.4319,39.6933,22.3818,50.0806,7.5934,15.3149,7.3782,7.2953,31.1308,3.8095,14.2659,36.3956,30.3445,16.904,34.633,29.2307,11.5301,37.5052,20.1938,0.3891,32.1835,36.4959,41.7325,25.8218,14.2368,14.8037,18.5222,42.4242,17.2208,19.4865,33.027],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":18.7,"control":16.5,"force":4.9,"direction":31.2,"confirmation":36.7,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":33.0,"intensity":69.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+18.7","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+16.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+4.9","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+31.2","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"37/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"56.4","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"15.2","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"69%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend 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