{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CAAS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d5edecb6-0bf6-4233-a568-54502fbdeb11","symbol":"CAAS","name":"China Automotive Systems Inc","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Auto Parts"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":26},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":26},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":26},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":26},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":26},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":25},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":25},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":25},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":25},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":25},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":24},{"week":12,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":24},{"week":13,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":24},{"week":14,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":24},{"week":15,"averageReturn":7.8,"sample":24},{"week":16,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":24},{"week":17,"averageReturn":9.0,"sample":24},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":24},{"week":19,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":24},{"week":20,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":24},{"week":21,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":24},{"week":22,"averageReturn":9.0,"sample":24},{"week":23,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":24},{"week":24,"averageReturn":12.0,"sample":24},{"week":25,"averageReturn":13.5,"sample":24},{"week":26,"averageReturn":11.3,"sample":24}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":25.2,"averageExpectedMove":25.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":2.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-20.2,"medianReturn":-20.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.4,"medianReturn":-11.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":2.6,"medianReturn":2.6,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-20.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-25.2,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-22.7,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-20.2,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-17.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-14.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-13.7,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-15.6,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-14.6,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-11.2,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-12.5,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-12.3,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-11.6,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-13.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-15.2,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-15.1,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-14.1,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-13.7,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.0,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":52.9,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.9% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.4% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 5.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.3% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-04-04","price":3.79},{"date":"2025-10-03","price":4.66}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-03-28","price":4.775}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.77,3.65,3.48,3.48,3.59,3.985,4.7,4.52,4.29,4.3,4.638,4.68,4.33,4.36,4.44,4.3799,4.38,4.13,4.04,4.08,3.86,3.94,4.05,4.05,4.1,4.45,4.58,4.49,4.41,4.43,4.53,4.775,3.79,3.57,3.69,3.81,3.93,4.09,4.12,4.03,4.08,4.24,4.32,4.23,4.11,4.18,4.19,4.22,4.23,4.115,4.05,4.0551,4.1,4.12,4.44,4.59,5.0,4.9,4.66,4.4765,4.25,4.4,4.27,4.15,4.29,4.07,4.13,4.15,4.28,4.32,4.19,4.31,4.44,4.72,4.68,4.43,4.49,4.47,4.42,4.42,4.16,4.28,4.14,4.22,4.18,4.22,4.28,4.47,4.42,4.5,4.73,4.63,4.65,4.43,4.62,4.46,4.44,4.47,4.35,4.39,4.35,4.51,4.42,4.72],"consensus":[35.7603,0.0,-20.2245,0.0,17.1972,65.364,75.1679,18.1202,13.459,32.201,56.5516,36.4498,-14.6435,0.0,15.471,0.0,0.0,-30.0982,-23.457,-8.5791,-44.2885,-11.0296,0.0,-12.3957,11.1202,49.7104,46.98,0.0,8.6462,13.2489,20.6669,39.7499,-62.3547,-56.4561,-24.113,-16.2438,0.0,21.5065,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.5448,21.3966,0.0,-18.2131,9.5802,0.0,0.0,12.4691,-18.2706,-16.6189,-10.2684,0.0,8.0257,58.3919,47.3582,67.3769,25.3145,0.0,-15.5093,-39.982,0.0,-34.7999,-38.4432,10.1642,-45.7227,0.0,0.0,12.9551,10.9118,-20.8462,22.4626,28.1107,51.6308,28.2069,-17.4726,17.5695,-8.3172,-13.4404,0.0,-55.0002,0.0,-41.9026,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.5993,43.7163,0.0,31.3347,59.3544,0.0,23.1276,-31.1656,31.6443,-23.2226,-9.3431,0.0,-34.3287,0.0,-22.1973,31.0982,-11.194,50.3222],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,11.9987,52.9733,36.5681,59.4405,18.8064,0.0,-14.504,-37.9093,0.0,-29.8688,-40.3945,4.8866,-43.7894,0.0,0.0,17.0532,6.0843,-28.9612,25.316,27.3532,44.8177,24.7961,-28.6455,20.1314,-4.2338,-9.129,0.0,-50.2995,0.0,-41.1643,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.0921,35.8477,0.0,23.663,54.2378,0.0,18.8264,-33.8297,35.9083,-24.0883,-3.4004,0.0,-34.7785,0.0,-25.0187,32.8616,-16.7832,39.1251],"force":[0.0,14.7606,89.261,60.2454,89.0489,9.4603,0.0,-37.5543,-51.0184,0.0,-49.8086,-37.5598,41.8497,-57.6111,0.0,0.0,27.9842,12.2733,-28.2519,32.0625,34.9922,68.6878,9.4711,-40.2142,20.698,-16.6389,-20.2608,0.0,-85.0606,0.0,-49.1545,0.0,0.0,0.0,18.4989,74.2074,0.0,40.1978,78.7513,0.0,10.7525,-61.0293,55.0868,-37.2582,-8.189,0.0,-39.4677,0.0,-20.1359,56.6874,-19.8003,80.3428],"direction":[0.0,1.3254,42.5353,50.4846,60.967,57.5913,0.0,-0.9117,-34.4675,0.0,-29.715,-36.8441,6.4367,-39.4405,0.0,0.0,2.4636,15.4566,-6.2823,12.3446,24.0612,47.2337,45.4876,-11.5405,12.4069,-7.0397,-13.496,0.0,-38.9008,0.0,-37.5665,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.1077,30.9297,0.0,33.7715,51.3471,0.0,36.8826,-6.7896,10.0265,-12.2078,-16.9592,0.0,-30.1438,0.0,-20.4453,10.8049,-1.3409,41.6758],"intensity":[36.5385,1.9231,82.6923,88.4615,90.3846,90.3846,73.0769,76.9231,73.0769,42.3077,34.6154,42.3077,44.2308,78.8462,19.2308,7.6923,59.6154,59.6154,30.7692,19.2308,78.8462,90.3846,69.2308,73.0769,71.1538,44.2308,34.6154,7.6923,80.7692,38.4615,34.6154,7.6923,53.8462,9.6154,21.1538,65.3846,30.7692,11.5385,75.0,63.4615,71.1538,69.2308,65.3846,55.7692,34.6154,3.8462,28.8462,5.7692,7.6923,57.6923,21.1538,100.0],"confirmation":[2.8442,48.329,87.7088,83.7118,90.342,31.8249,32.5952,50.9835,81.1622,27.1935,79.6685,80.2452,28.3384,83.023,4.0051,25.5375,50.4001,48.9402,52.1062,75.4371,77.2167,85.1455,76.5072,31.2427,73.6785,25.644,72.5745,1.394,86.5878,29.1701,81.6411,4.2408,25.0636,25.1516,26.0479,83.0384,4.3654,78.4141,87.6625,8.4333,75.0892,56.1759,78.7756,75.8458,48.3785,24.7491,79.1349,25.0033,74.9973,78.7044,49.3786,44.64],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,50.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[46.5393,0.8356,20.7267,26.3128,16.311,37.3403,45.3409,20.4906,29.9729,49.4809,30.8337,27.31,4.8131,23.0621,25.2595,3.07,9.1447,41.6879,30.2799,29.6751,27.1357,23.8591,35.8184,41.895,7.7323,42.9514,41.6312,1.8123,21.3692,44.8499,26.6577,40.0691,10.4017,18.2225,37.219,26.1074,46.521,33.6672,20.2388,42.2878,35.6272,10.0668,50.4272,31.4217,41.4675,11.8244,31.0449,21.484,19.9146,0.7575,29.9227,23.8818],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":50.3,"control":39.1,"force":80.3,"direction":41.7,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":23.9,"intensity":100.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+50.3","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+39.1","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+80.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+41.7","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"59.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"25.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"67%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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