{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"LRCX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d6aa1161-9dae-428b-93a8-d8280417de6f","symbol":"LRCX","name":"Lam Research Corporation","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Technology","industry":"Semiconductor Equipment & Materials"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":17,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":9.7,"averageExpectedMove":16.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":17,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":29.4,"averageReturn":-2.1,"medianReturn":-4.2,"confidenceLow":13.3,"confidenceHigh":53.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":68.8,"averageReturn":10.1,"medianReturn":8.1,"confidenceLow":44.4,"confidenceHigh":85.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":18.5,"medianReturn":12.0,"confidenceLow":41.7,"confidenceHigh":84.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":50.0,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":12},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 50.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.6% across 12 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 13.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 13.2% across 12 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-01-17","price":1673.472534},{"date":"2025-01-31","price":1725.654053},{"date":"2025-02-21","price":1770.040161},{"date":"2025-06-13","price":1716.361816}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":5434.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[1618.0345,1587.4946,1482.7338,1468.7487,1488.2402,1626.3691,1577.9028,1598.7683,1448.9926,1558.9159,1515.0964,1563.9127,1436.0015,1476.9729,1504.9537,1563.9127,1529.1707,1449.2142,1490.9916,1490.9916,1589.1383,1673.4725,1667.0961,1725.6541,1688.0847,1669.0947,1770.0402,1574.1465,1599.3679,1565.3813,1565.3813,1529.3955,1225.6156,1434.4331,1434.4331,1409.4429,1468.4198,1484.4133,1657.345,1657.345,1559.3837,1649.3483,1716.3618,1709.5535,1844.5182,1839.5194,1898.3842,1898.3842,1841.519,1789.5325,1894.505,1869.5117,1848.6071,1907.5516,1903.1628,1969.4856,2299.3994,2365.6365,2684.6775,2439.625,2649.5925,2779.5728,2984.0413,2890.5557,2807.5684,2614.5979,2784.5718,2899.812,2975.8071,3099.7991,3140.7964,3079.8003,3799.7537,3923.8955,3789.7542,4091.8547,3949.7439,4010.55,4174.7295,4041.8977,3690.0,3740.49,4065.8701,3822.1499,3964.0,4608.0,4594.8125,4647.4102,4490.8164,5099.792,5063.6333,5342.04,5574.7725,5356.1793,6395.4212,6831.98,6594.6001,6700.0,6294.2402,5434.0,5340.0,5204.0,5336.0,5652.0],"consensus":[-49.5728,-66.2593,-83.1684,-65.0784,-30.52,36.7943,-26.2411,14.3701,-71.8736,21.3568,-40.8016,15.2079,-64.5387,0.0,0.0,22.9103,0.0,-54.6655,10.336,-15.9832,38.1588,64.8283,30.7799,61.2112,18.2168,0.0,63.2147,-56.1604,0.0,-43.0819,-22.2814,-45.4124,-81.9039,11.2968,-28.9207,-16.7164,32.5548,14.5986,71.5444,33.0269,-22.6124,65.1462,60.11,15.1731,80.5773,26.3639,76.3833,40.7107,0.0,-9.406,54.1523,0.0,0.0,45.4572,24.8751,58.6433,77.9329,57.9407,90.5147,0.0,83.8155,82.5923,80.2577,11.4441,9.9821,-18.0382,44.7847,49.5922,48.8135,66.6207,35.9359,10.9693,88.0052,73.2974,0.0,77.4919,15.9945,40.9386,76.4275,-9.976,-41.5889,9.5378,49.6918,-35.7002,43.1177,71.4637,37.5917,46.2957,16.9811,78.7084,35.0012,68.4851,59.0013,8.6034,68.4092,56.9605,14.6094,46.6466,25.6185,-44.289,-43.0741,-32.7928,0.0,31.7237],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,46.3195,29.4316,69.7129,91.8507,54.5799,93.942,0.0,86.3046,83.6077,78.291,1.0487,9.9854,-23.752,71.8073,65.5929,52.9524,78.5005,17.6944,4.7443,93.7502,68.2558,0.0,74.0912,20.5652,42.6103,78.5729,-8.6769,-36.1071,17.895,62.4286,-28.2335,44.9957,74.0767,37.4311,43.2974,21.8455,83.15,33.7349,71.1608,61.001,7.084,76.5901,55.5579,0.5086,42.2351,38.4117,-43.1821,-39.4767,-16.742,0.0,27.3593],"force":[0.0,37.1024,9.3731,48.8118,64.4043,40.5903,98.9541,0.0,92.7918,90.0785,86.5395,59.2048,31.0345,-47.005,35.7467,35.351,30.6597,51.3716,25.9214,27.4329,98.7928,78.3195,0.0,88.0557,50.9698,20.4178,86.365,-76.6694,-92.963,21.7989,68.1656,-87.8824,54.6475,85.4612,10.3272,34.2772,36.1361,96.2685,3.2631,72.3733,46.6613,28.2008,52.1862,34.7151,42.324,18.919,8.4608,-56.4678,-47.4739,-35.3151,0.0,71.2193],"direction":[0.0,50.4394,30.7404,53.0149,71.6901,74.1748,80.5697,0.0,74.5591,76.0846,78.0183,73.7882,62.0995,-9.1824,20.3573,41.478,57.0503,63.9359,63.9364,56.358,73.734,75.4719,0.0,73.8329,58.6023,53.6856,66.8773,-36.1774,-11.158,8.7713,21.9399,-6.9606,32.7359,58.4791,57.2498,58.3069,49.3626,61.0894,59.1184,62.6498,65.5302,52.8204,70.6475,74.453,71.3913,71.4937,35.3402,-36.8549,-44.0427,-49.3351,0.0,8.5004],"intensity":[84.6154,46.1538,19.2308,57.6923,100.0,76.9231,98.0769,94.2308,90.3846,69.2308,94.2308,48.0769,42.3077,100.0,75.0,65.3846,55.7692,55.7692,73.0769,25.0,100.0,80.7692,55.7692,90.3846,69.2308,96.1538,63.4615,86.5385,96.1538,42.3077,94.2308,76.9231,90.3846,98.0769,96.1538,17.3077,71.1538,96.1538,76.9231,73.0769,98.0769,63.4615,100.0,88.4615,59.6154,23.0769,90.3846,98.0769,82.6923,98.0769,80.7692,75.0],"confirmation":[30.6149,82.2785,75.4181,86.2975,92.3141,86.0635,97.1697,40.1763,95.0566,94.6422,93.9039,14.2978,33.6661,31.1935,81.6439,83.1917,83.004,88.6729,79.4722,9.4438,96.4029,91.685,15.1845,93.1712,36.548,80.4495,92.727,35.6292,82.9577,27.8363,84.2703,58.4615,82.1204,91.2551,79.2009,82.494,34.1167,93.6542,55.5857,89.9929,86.4739,9.3979,89.2719,85.5708,12.1839,82.1491,31.436,82.5605,81.9726,78.8152,8.779,44.64],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[7.5097,25.3758,4.9496,17.7112,11.0215,21.0219,4.7424,50.3532,7.0949,8.31,8.1111,43.9623,32.7785,27.9307,62.9484,22.163,12.7666,16.4513,30.8544,36.836,5.9507,13.3079,46.4138,11.2406,20.6254,2.1545,9.2774,6.1702,18.0627,44.4189,44.6517,15.463,16.6598,14.1463,29.5574,26.7053,40.0615,7.4971,28.7486,14.8917,20.4458,32.4473,15.7298,21.4897,42.3118,26.61,25.8636,27.6226,28.0202,33.4485,47.2651,6.9746],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":31.7,"control":27.4,"force":71.2,"direction":8.5,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":7.0,"intensity":75.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+31.7","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+27.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+71.2","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+8.5","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"58.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.3%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"36.5","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"64%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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