{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SHEL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d6f8eda3-2a98-4489-be4f-9d8e6c33de2a","symbol":"SHEL","name":"Shell plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Energy","industry":"Oil & Gas Integrated"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":55.6,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 55.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.2% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 83.3% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 4.0% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-01-10","price":2623.465332},{"date":"2025-06-27","price":2586.025146}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":3195.713379}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[2718.1189,2679.1458,2514.2598,2552.7334,2560.2285,2422.324,2575.7173,2590.2073,2534.7454,2548.7356,2577.2163,2562.7263,2559.5027,2601.4783,2530.02,2476.5515,2497.0391,2393.0999,2439.073,2564.9995,2623.4653,2718.9097,2618.4683,2676.9338,2643.4539,2672.7117,2636.2292,2634.7297,2553.2693,2632.231,2725.686,2795.1528,2480.3042,2306.8879,2437.825,2462.8127,2485.3018,2456.8157,2489.5615,2419.0881,2448.5771,2506.5552,2630.0083,2681.989,2586.0251,2627.0095,2670.9932,2619.0125,2666.4949,2705.9797,2652.0,2638.2686,2691.2539,2723.2451,2626.772,2636.2693,2611.7759,2732.7424,2701.751,2695.2529,2690.2544,2850.2097,2846.7109,2848.2104,2857.4717,2784.4854,2782.9856,2759.49,2686.0034,2702.5005,2697.5015,2758.99,2639.512,2751.9915,2687.0034,2793.4834,2773.9873,2871.9692,2940.2363,3073.2244,3132.719,3367.198,3433.6919,3481.6877,3543.1821,3420.1931,3195.7134,3307.2034,3289.7048,3102.7217,3194.2134,3205.0,3118.0,3227.5,3220.5,2993.5,2898.0,2891.5,3038.1428,3235.6196,3305.1116,3383.1023,3277.1147,3320.0],"consensus":[-32.7034,-38.9268,-71.5643,-14.9065,-28.8647,-71.5832,27.4042,0.0,-31.5999,0.0,0.0,-22.2797,0.0,24.9855,-38.1813,-42.0188,-16.2414,-62.9392,0.0,40.4103,39.4502,61.3499,-8.5153,43.2818,0.0,20.3337,-8.7318,0.0,-39.8344,28.0691,49.2027,51.5304,-57.5591,-64.213,0.0,-17.9062,0.0,0.0,0.0,-39.0619,0.0,25.0851,47.6775,46.1945,-9.1593,35.7379,38.5769,-11.0887,35.875,30.6092,-11.7504,0.0,32.9118,25.1498,-30.6242,0.0,-22.8236,49.3477,9.8445,0.0,12.7456,64.5536,28.0595,30.0436,24.106,-25.7636,0.0,-20.2329,-48.5316,0.0,-19.7405,21.8565,-47.412,34.0255,-30.7414,40.6458,10.2113,51.4091,55.9991,75.168,44.0337,80.6978,59.525,65.0982,58.785,0.0,-38.3434,23.0011,0.0,-50.3458,21.4233,-10.9498,-38.5057,22.432,12.0531,-46.7602,-46.7121,-49.2924,0.0,47.8231,39.1548,50.7973,0.0,29.4801],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[37.3649,27.9925,-35.2166,0.0,-20.8813,53.2174,5.7503,0.0,8.7913,65.2397,22.4992,25.3023,13.8085,-19.4242,0.0,-16.1824,-48.5003,0.0,-16.0719,30.2134,-41.6242,36.221,-34.6484,42.55,3.5617,44.9154,54.4836,76.4666,33.7046,85.1465,52.1568,70.0514,57.4083,0.0,-35.8356,35.5108,0.0,-46.2539,30.7265,-8.0175,-34.288,24.4192,18.5444,-44.0419,-46.7617,-53.3772,0.0,42.7678,37.5584,52.3051,0.0,31.2989],"force":[37.7946,16.3309,-57.1448,0.0,-29.3964,76.3022,7.5255,0.0,7.5543,82.5051,4.7585,10.2351,5.7896,-73.2828,0.0,-36.3297,-61.5143,0.0,-10.5006,33.6855,-73.5031,60.6229,-44.9075,64.7104,0.7161,74.8948,62.3958,91.8534,32.3746,86.7049,52.0233,46.2492,41.0508,0.0,-82.5141,24.1501,0.0,-74.9491,40.8761,-12.8505,-50.9937,27.8558,12.4765,-43.4618,-28.8631,-25.3149,0.0,75.3821,36.088,50.2693,0.0,25.5271],"direction":[24.3349,28.2001,-6.4324,0.0,-20.3484,25.6721,26.9306,0.0,20.973,50.9469,51.057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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+29.5","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+31.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+25.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+30.2","detail":"Upward 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