{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"LLOY Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"d8139850-aa26-4aab-ac2f-da4189f5b769","symbol":"LLOY","name":"Lloyds Banking Group plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Regional"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":7.1,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":6.6,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":7.2,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":7.8,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":9.6,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":10.5,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":11.3,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":11.1,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":11.9,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":12.1,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":13.4,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":2.5,"medianReturn":2.5,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":1},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":72.2,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 72.2% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 5.2% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.7% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":1.092}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.5522,0.5438,0.5245,0.5395,0.541,0.5522,0.5466,0.5572,0.578,0.536,0.5059,0.4934,0.525,0.5059,0.4932,0.4934,0.5148,0.5038,0.5053,0.5053,0.4916,0.5442,0.5747,0.5795,0.5816,0.5964,0.6247,0.6784,0.6593,0.6466,0.6561,0.6823,0.6042,0.6416,0.6758,0.7016,0.6783,0.7018,0.7208,0.7479,0.742,0.7393,0.7352,0.7262,0.7364,0.7243,0.7273,0.7477,0.7596,0.7394,0.7901,0.8081,0.821,0.7763,0.7747,0.8063,0.8019,0.8103,0.8235,0.8093,0.8048,0.8382,0.8696,0.8844,0.8932,0.8505,0.9385,0.9348,0.9149,0.951,0.9469,0.9688,0.9791,0.9967,0.9923,1.0636,1.0421,0.9801,1.0167,1.0001,0.9315,0.9194,0.8862,0.8829,0.9561,1.009,1.0512,0.9777,0.9824,0.9895,0.9406,0.996,1.019,0.9916,1.0235,1.051,1.092,1.135,1.1064,1.1,1.1197,1.1315,1.1515,1.152],"consensus":[25.1439,11.5404,-24.7512,21.8065,0.0,30.0627,13.0122,34.2467,53.7375,-44.716,-53.7133,-49.2064,14.5674,-43.5545,-43.1178,-20.6364,17.5114,-25.8024,0.0,0.0,-41.0995,58.5733,64.9445,49.726,42.767,58.61,71.3143,84.6119,10.7734,23.933,43.1527,54.3574,-46.4835,39.9719,48.2773,52.5433,0.0,55.1405,53.4738,59.8156,24.2984,29.2799,23.7099,0.0,31.3654,0.0,0.0,41.6002,40.1192,-9.3725,50.7183,46.5607,51.6563,-14.6368,0.0,50.5485,0.0,38.9769,43.0874,-8.0919,0.0,54.5794,64.3786,51.3172,33.7736,-15.3857,72.9606,30.6306,0.0,67.7861,22.8486,50.5528,43.779,56.7221,30.3316,79.2901,12.5953,-30.7655,45.776,-14.1612,-59.8318,-34.1834,-57.8462,-32.7709,39.1677,47.9763,59.0181,-18.1923,11.4334,10.8041,-46.4305,36.2351,26.6484,-15.0903,38.3483,41.249,41.4447,53.5294,21.3344,24.8685,38.6279,24.8149,36.8601,31.4088],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[54.2333,-23.0699,0.0,58.3293,0.0,44.1344,45.5267,-11.31,0.0,56.9907,71.629,50.2419,24.5514,-22.504,71.1244,26.4198,0.0,73.8718,23.9335,57.37,42.7145,58.6302,27.2254,85.9645,3.0769,-28.7916,45.2029,-5.7705,-53.3608,-27.2148,-54.6408,-23.1541,41.0881,46.945,63.9198,-31.3845,9.993,18.1884,-41.281,42.0741,24.4342,-20.8064,43.5235,49.5991,42.8029,59.2995,12.6029,22.2496,40.8605,26.9093,34.0103,30.6932],"force":[41.304,-63.4255,0.0,72.7083,0.0,31.0515,35.6084,-40.9242,0.0,69.711,68.9711,45.1572,15.7773,-56.153,95.7858,2.4389,0.0,71.1465,3.4799,36.5602,26.5384,53.815,2.9635,88.4095,35.2348,-82.588,61.6214,-43.0333,-88.7575,-26.9552,-61.9371,-14.3631,80.5387,62.1748,63.6553,-51.7106,12.2618,13.4828,-67.5338,55.6811,30.8903,-33.4068,36.0669,30.407,26.8661,36.3517,6.7746,3.3167,31.4367,13.8874,27.3146,11.6076],"direction":[56.1057,-29.85,0.0,25.8278,0.0,38.7435,45.6416,-19.0377,0.0,41.0153,52.8121,56.9462,57.1678,-21.8689,58.7554,55.5799,0.0,58.4307,40.4149,52.7563,57.3102,56.618,53.4303,65.1483,57.6378,-3.9947,35.1128,-3.1277,-46.5659,-47.3106,-58.5874,-56.91,7.4223,39.0132,50.104,-20.8262,12.4879,0.4514,-37.242,15.672,26.1489,-4.5255,34.0633,39.4501,50.3057,59.2047,51.3911,43.2558,41.2129,30.2268,46.935,46.3704],"intensity":[28.8462,86.5385,75.0,73.0769,36.5385,30.7692,30.7692,28.8462,21.1538,76.9231,71.1538,65.3846,80.7692,86.5385,100.0,94.2308,44.2308,73.0769,48.0769,48.0769,17.3077,26.9231,1.9231,92.3077,90.3846,94.2308,71.1538,21.1538,88.4615,44.2308,67.3077,59.6154,96.1538,86.5385,86.5385,98.0769,75.0,53.8462,78.8462,82.6923,98.0769,100.0,53.8462,67.3077,73.0769,67.3077,40.3846,34.6154,32.6923,32.6923,92.3077,1.9231],"confirmation":[84.1753,35.0768,24.6008,84.7323,4.4599,80.1525,81.5229,30.269,3.1932,85.8898,88.6306,84.2502,78.3996,33.3894,92.071,54.3401,8.2217,89.7012,52.5684,83.6466,81.5001,86.0334,54.2527,93.549,10.2346,57.6399,83.14,28.206,88.1263,78.8246,86.6843,78.0722,59.0986,83.8009,86.9524,33.7516,71.7059,48.7597,83.5794,80.0989,76.6905,51.5988,80.1231,80.742,80.7973,84.518,52.882,52.6744,80.1077,75.5758,79.5477,85.4583],"persistence":[50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[24.0786,53.9317,31.7659,29.0564,34.1465,25.5727,27.1795,10.3269,6.3579,13.6655,15.7757,24.269,33.0948,31.0703,12.5675,31.4084,27.856,15.9564,1.7044,14.4388,26.6491,17.0572,30.2176,9.9996,41.0355,4.1528,5.3043,41.0488,19.8081,29.1961,20.9946,33.4452,6.8408,24.3087,20.4222,56.9183,20.4112,25.7038,26.1267,0.9189,19.8221,10.0321,28.8489,22.9776,26.4289,23.1729,37.9832,30.7623,16.9444,18.1201,26.8029,32.8117],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":31.4,"control":30.7,"force":11.6,"direction":46.4,"confirmation":85.5,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":32.8,"intensity":1.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+31.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+30.7","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+11.6","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+46.4","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"85/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"66.5","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"13.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"94%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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