{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BUYB Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"d8eff239-d7a7-4574-821d-bb946a9b4920","symbol":"BUYB","name":"PROSHARES S&P 500 BUYBACK ARISTOCRATS ETF","exchange":"NYSEARCA","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":16,"displayedObservations":16,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[39.842126,39.592426,39.307768,40.191706,39.951994,40.451394,41.709882,40.726064,41.59,41.88,42.15,42.38,43.19,43.58,43.8,43.835],"highs":[39.842126,39.592426,40.181718,40.461382,40.670331,41.259723,41.709882,41.3741,42.1478,42.06,42.65,42.7004,43.88,44.19,44.15,43.85],"lows":[39.452494,38.922032,38.953194,40.161842,39.951994,40.290188,40.832136,40.683016,41.46,41.28,41.845,42.0299,42.86,43.25,43.76,43.1174],"closes":[39.484656,39.052475,40.131978,40.327343,40.425925,41.259723,40.930818,41.3741,42.1478,42.0132,42.4298,42.7004,43.1217,44.0694,43.9436,43.3794],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"39.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"39.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"39.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"39.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Reversal warning","className":"is-caution","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"39.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"39.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"38.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"39.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Reversal danger","className":"is-negative","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"39.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"40.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"39.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"40.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"40.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"41.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"40.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"41.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"41.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"41.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"40.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"40.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"40.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"41.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"40.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"41.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"41.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"42.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"41.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"42.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"41.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"42.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"41.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"42.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"42.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"42.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"41.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"42.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"42.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"42.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"42.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"42.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"43.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"43.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"42.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"43.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"43.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"44.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"43.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"44.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"43.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"44.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"43.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"43.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"43.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"43.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"43.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"43.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[38.75146,44.370416],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"steady","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Little changed this week","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":16,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":39.484656}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-05-15","price":39.052475}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[39.4847,39.0525,40.132,40.3273,40.4259,41.2597,40.9308,41.3741,42.1478,42.0132,42.4298,42.7004,43.1217,44.0694,43.9436,43.3794],"consensus":[-83.4911,-61.0847,91.9025,0.0,65.5506,74.4575,14.796,69.415,85.8924,46.6892,71.2702,70.7622,49.6206,83.1029,41.3279,15.9074],"supportDates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,82.1509,8.2375,74.816,85.2773,47.1403,61.7881,70.0001,35.6173,79.5833,32.7221,2.0063],"force":[-83.4911,-61.0847,91.9025,0.0,28.8095,55.2257,24.0441,53.4452,93.8796,8.9243,76.7918,61.8193,34.1559,89.1189,1.2141,31.1357],"direction":[null,null,null,null,91.7942,79.4019,68.8629,74.6495,80.8901,73.1488,78.1629,78.021,76.6705,82.8282,79.8158,65.3966],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,60.0,50.0,28.5714,62.5,11.1111,60.0,27.2727,91.6667,76.9231,35.7143,60.0],"confirmation":[49.3838,42.2138,52.0755,1.9494,64.6299,91.123,33.4554,89.6438,95.7383,81.7828,91.1192,90.383,83.6207,94.8299,57.4669,10.5108],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,25.0,0.0,16.6667,28.5714,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,14.2018,12.7426,37.2542,13.5445,6.9312,21.8075,14.1665,14.3085,23.9915,8.4361,29.258,37.6968],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":15.9,"control":2.0,"force":31.1,"direction":65.4,"confirmation":10.5,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":37.7,"intensity":60.0,"evidenceDepth":62},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+15.9","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+2.0","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+31.1","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+65.4","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"11/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"51.6","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.5%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"-","detail":"Developing","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"85%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[39.4847,39.0525,40.132,40.3273,40.4259,41.2597,40.9308,41.3741,42.1478,42.0132,42.4298,42.7004,43.1217,44.0694,43.9436,43.3794],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,39.8169,40.0792,40.2341,40.4413,40.7516,40.981,41.2444,41.5091,41.8023,42.2145,42.5289,42.6835],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,40.7722,41.0164,41.2333,41.3922],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,42.6505,42.9632,43.2674,43.6136,44.1631,44.5267,44.6781],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,38.7791,38.7782,38.7789,38.7556,38.6182,38.595,38.6709],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"returns","eyebrow":"Observed return path","title":"Completed returns and cumulative progression","description":"Period returns are shown beside the total move recorded across the available tape.","reason":"Selected because direct returns remain fully observable while longer indicators develop.","series":[{"label":"Period return","values":[null,-1.0946,2.7642,0.4868,0.2445,2.0625,-0.7972,1.083,1.87,-0.3194,0.9916,0.6378,0.9866,2.1977,-0.2855,-1.2839],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Cumulative progression","values":[0.0,-1.0946,1.6394,2.1342,2.3839,4.4956,3.6626,4.7853,6.7448,6.4039,7.459,8.1443,9.2113,11.6115,11.2929,9.8639],"stroke":"#07865c","width":2.0}],"guides":[{"label":"Starting level","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"bar_range","eyebrow":"Completed-bar anatomy","title":"Range expansion and closing direction","description":"The completed range and open-to-close direction expose expansion, compression and control.","reason":"Selected because these measures use every completed bar and do not require a long history.","series":[{"label":"Completed range","values":[0.9868,1.7166,3.0612,0.7428,1.7769,2.3498,2.1445,1.6703,1.6319,1.8566,1.8973,1.5702,2.3654,2.133,0.8875,1.6888],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.8},{"label":"Open-to-close direction","values":[-0.8972,-1.3638,2.0968,0.3375,1.1863,1.9983,-1.8678,1.5912,1.3412,0.3181,0.6638,0.756,-0.1581,1.123,0.3279,-1.0394],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.8}],"guides":[{"label":"Unchanged close","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.4492,263.0458,66.7854,135.4823,141.6346,88.1832,163.857,111.0615,50.6167],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,105.441,135.0,127.363,135.0,135.0,135.0,135.0,129.5741,127.1801],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether 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