{"ticker": {"uuid": "dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09", "symbol": "CAT", "name": "Caterpillar Inc.", "exchange": "BUE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-31", "summary": "CAT closed the latest completed week at 64,475 ARS. The 4-week return is -18.1% and the 12-week return is -3.3%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.22.", "description": "Caterpillar Inc. provides construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. The Construction Industries segment offers asphalt pavers, cold planers, compactors, forestry machines, material handlers, motor graders, pipelayers, road reclaimers, telehandlers, track-type tractors, and track and wheel excavators; backhoe, compact track, skid steer, track-type, and wheel loaders; and related parts and work tools. Its Resource Industries segment provides electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, hard rock vehicles, mining trucks, wheel loaders, off-highway and articulated trucks, wide-body trucks, wheel tractor scrapers and dozers, and landfill and soil compactors; machinery components, and wear and maintenance components; and technology products and services for fleet management, equipment management analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services, and mining performance solutions. The Energy & Transportation segment offers reciprocating engine powered generator sets; reciprocating engines, drivetrain, and integrated systems and solutions; centrifugal gas compressors and related services; and diesel-electric locomotive components, and other rail-related products. Its Financial Products segment provides operating and finance leases, revolving charge accounts, installment sale contracts, repair/rebuild financing, working capital loans, and wholesale financing; and insurance and risk management products and services. The All Other segment offers parts distribution; logistics and distribution services; electronics and control systems; dealer portfolio management; brand management and marketing strategy; and digital investment services. It also provides mining software solutions. The company was formerly known as Caterpillar Tractor Co. Caterpillar Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.", "setup_signature": "Deep recovery attempt", "composite_score": "62", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "64,475 ARS", "hint": "2026-07-31"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "-9.3%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-18.1%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-3.3%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "100.0%", "hint": "52 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "2.7x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "BUE", "country": "AR", "sector": "Industrials", "industry": "Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery", "currency": "ARS", "market_cap": "5953.2B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "60,832 ARS", "fair_value": "29,905 ARS", "vs_trend": "6.0%", "vs_fair_value": "115.6%", "high_52": "83,654 ARS", "low_52": 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"return_label": "5.7%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 9.862239040775544, "volume": "4.6K"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": -0.3284671532846715, "return_label": "-0.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 7.274969173859433, "volume": "3.4K"}, {"week": "19 Jun", "return": 9.364959494690593, "return_label": "9.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "1.6K"}, {"week": "26 Jun", "return": 2.3743083578628243, "return_label": "2.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 8.724860750882266, "volume": "4.1K"}, {"week": "3 Jul", "return": 3.0362426980720567, "return_label": "3.0%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 58.45061439687061, "volume": "27.5K"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": -5.35487605497647, "return_label": "-5.4%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 23.111101662485652, "volume": "10.9K"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": -6.829602770757188, "return_label": "-6.8%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 41.32616182660828, "volume": "19.4K"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 2.3699544386677034, "return_label": "2.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 49.51103363238233, "volume": "23.3K"}, {"week": "31 Jul", "return": -9.317862165963433, "return_label": "-9.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 100, "volume": "47.0K"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "2.7x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "17.6K", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "17.1K", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "4.8%", "volatility_52": "5.2%", "downside_weeks": 23, "upside_weeks": 29, "downside_breadth": "44.2%", "average_gain": "5.4%", "average_loss": "-3.0%", "distribution_scale": "10%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "13 of 26", "detail": "13 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+9.4%", "detail": "Week of 19 Jun.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-9.3%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "-9.3%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "negative"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.8%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "5.2%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "29/23", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "5.4% / -3.0%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "6.0%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "2.7x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.", "The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.", "The latest week was a sharp negative move.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "64,475 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "60,832 ARS", "fair_value": "29,905 ARS", "activity_pressure": "0.22", "relative_leadership": "5.71", "volume": "47.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "71,100 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "60,221 ARS", "fair_value": "29,543 ARS", "activity_pressure": "0.90", "relative_leadership": "17.66", "volume": "23.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "69,454 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "59,343 ARS", "fair_value": "29,133 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.28", "relative_leadership": "19.06", "volume": "19.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "74,545 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "58,513 ARS", "fair_value": "28,732 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.62", "relative_leadership": "25.83", "volume": "10.9K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "78,763 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "57,563 ARS", "fair_value": "28,298 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.59", "relative_leadership": "37.87", "volume": "27.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "76,442 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "56,458 ARS", "fair_value": "27,834 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.28", "relative_leadership": "38.88", "volume": "4.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "74,669 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "55,373 ARS", "fair_value": "27,384 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.04", "relative_leadership": "30.61", "volume": "1.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "68,275 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "54,265 ARS", "fair_value": "26,944 ARS", "activity_pressure": "0.99", "relative_leadership": "18.91", "volume": "3.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "68,500 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "53,360 ARS", "fair_value": "26,547 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.01", "relative_leadership": "31.21", "volume": "4.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "64,825 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "52,462 ARS", "fair_value": "26,145 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.07", "relative_leadership": "22.69", "volume": "13.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "65,525 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "51,749 ARS", "fair_value": "25,766 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.24", "relative_leadership": "39.78", "volume": "39.7K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "66,000 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50,927 ARS", "fair_value": "25,379 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.22", "relative_leadership": "50.55", "volume": "18.7K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "66,650 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50,091 ARS", "fair_value": "24,990 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.06", "relative_leadership": "51.45", "volume": "15.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "66,525 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "49,092 ARS", "fair_value": "24,594 ARS", "activity_pressure": "0.91", "relative_leadership": "50.53", "volume": "16.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Positive", "rating_tone": "positive", "overall_score": "70", "primary_driver": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 86.16666666666666, "score_label": "86", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.92; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "86/100", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 71.2244531677193, "score_label": "71", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "71/100", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 86.16666666666666, "score_label": "86", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.92; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "86/100", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 81.40755, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.82% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 62.82%", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 51.0, "score_label": "51", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.", "detail": "Caterpillar Stock (CAT) Opinions on Baird Downgrade Amid Data Center Concerns", "metric": "51/100", "url": "/sentiment/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 86.16666666666666, "score_label": "86", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.92; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "86/100", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 81.40755, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.82% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 62.82%", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 71.2244531677193, "score_label": "71", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "71/100", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "The main constraint is patient capital: Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "The combined read is constructive, but confirmation should still come from follow-through in price, volume, and group structure."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-9.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -18.1%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "100/47", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 62.82%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "51/100", "detail": "36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "62", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.3%, after a -18.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.3%, after a -18.1% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -18.1% over four weeks, -3.3% over 12 weeks, and 120.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 55 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-9.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -18.1%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "100/47", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 62.82%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "51/100", "detail": "36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.", "The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.", "The latest week was a sharp negative move.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 71.2244531677193, "score_label": "71", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "71/100", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 86.16666666666666, "score_label": "86", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.92; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "86/100", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 81.40755, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.82% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 62.82%", "url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 51.0, "score_label": "51", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.", "detail": "Caterpillar Stock (CAT) Opinions on Baird Downgrade Amid Data Center Concerns", "metric": "51/100", "url": "/sentiment/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/", "api_path": "/terminal/dc49690a-6c77-4560-abb4-7b90c98a8b09/report/api/"}