{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PERR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"de9b0ca9-48c7-4f52-ac7d-936beafe2da1","symbol":"PERR","name":"Gérard Perrier Industrie S.A.","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Electrical Equipment & Parts"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":4.4,"averageExpectedMove":5.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.4,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":62.5,"averageReturn":-1.2,"medianReturn":1.5,"confidenceLow":38.6,"confidenceHigh":81.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":43.8,"averageReturn":0.1,"medianReturn":-0.5,"confidenceLow":23.1,"confidenceHigh":66.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":46.7,"averageReturn":2.4,"medianReturn":-0.7,"confidenceLow":24.8,"confidenceHigh":69.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":43.8,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 43.8% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.1% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 5.2% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-06-20","price":84.199997}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[89.4695,88.4949,87.3254,85.1812,84.9863,85.5711,83.232,81.8675,81.4777,89.8594,86.7406,87.1305,86.3508,85.766,85.766,84.7914,83.4269,83.6219,87.7152,87.7152,84.4015,84.2066,81.4777,80.3082,80.1132,82.0625,85.9609,84.0117,83.232,83.232,80.8929,80.1132,77.7742,74.6554,75.0452,76.6046,77.9691,78.164,77.7742,76.2148,77.1894,77.7742,88.8,84.2,86.2,88.0,83.0,83.0,84.0,85.0,85.8,85.2,85.0,83.2,81.0,80.4,81.8,80.8,80.0,78.4,78.2,78.2,77.2,80.2,80.0,77.8,81.4,80.2,76.8,76.0,79.8,83.6,82.4,84.2,85.2,86.4,87.0,87.6,87.2,87.4,84.2,84.2,81.0,82.2,85.8,84.0,80.5648,80.3702,78.2296,82.3162,81.1486,81.927,83.873,82.1216,82.7054,83.4,81.2,83.0,83.2,80.4,80.4,80.0,80.6,82.4],"consensus":[-39.6477,-40.6297,-43.5848,-50.14,-26.0077,-18.8561,-54.95,-49.6328,-42.7625,57.1964,-17.3283,17.3101,0.0,-19.7348,-17.1036,-30.0336,-29.6283,-19.4468,53.6724,24.569,-32.7303,-16.6123,-56.914,-48.2913,-22.4535,10.5484,53.899,-12.945,-13.2512,0.0,-47.6586,-34.9658,-54.3736,-73.0652,-27.6481,0.0,0.0,0.0,-10.4294,-26.6922,0.0,0.0,51.3654,0.0,50.9084,48.6221,-36.7448,0.0,18.5996,20.9772,21.7218,11.6013,0.0,-32.9877,-43.1253,-34.715,0.0,-32.9361,-42.9509,-52.0969,-38.6792,-39.3552,-55.1549,36.4298,0.0,-52.2555,51.622,-21.1201,-59.5771,-47.2521,34.8761,59.1922,9.4029,65.3524,46.5283,44.5606,40.0084,35.6938,26.9802,32.496,-24.2543,0.0,-54.8646,0.0,41.2611,-19.1701,-37.4119,-17.3905,-56.7466,24.636,-23.3689,11.1805,37.6008,-18.2122,10.3079,25.8529,-41.6729,0.0,20.7832,-57.6617,-24.4413,-38.5695,0.0,38.5914],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-32.9018,-41.7711,-33.3892,0.0,-31.9168,-48.5197,-57.12,-38.3617,-42.9709,-59.9962,32.0704,0.0,-56.0807,50.2289,-18.1224,-54.0326,-49.8743,41.6684,59.5592,4.0396,62.6138,41.0371,38.3576,33.5198,30.2066,26.2578,37.7933,-22.5284,0.0,-60.4512,0.0,38.4082,-19.7432,-46.4058,-9.7597,-63.5647,37.3317,-31.8873,8.3676,36.8419,-23.5483,7.4662,31.529,-48.5993,0.0,30.7385,-52.7016,-29.5597,-37.0085,0.0,29.9741],"force":[0.0,-60.5336,-50.1325,-24.6682,0.0,-33.1374,-48.3452,-51.8575,-21.6437,-22.6388,-51.4356,83.639,0.0,-77.5828,78.505,-57.5248,-89.8707,-48.7209,78.4822,72.7725,18.5661,84.5089,42.4246,44.1193,28.7628,18.7522,1.6521,13.9328,-43.9959,0.0,-59.5332,0.0,68.5039,-42.3666,-33.774,-1.0546,-46.5192,58.5303,-27.1669,26.3418,45.5381,-27.7537,11.8744,25.2949,-47.5942,0.0,16.0432,-91.7784,-11.3606,-37.1391,0.0,74.0244],"direction":[0.0,-13.4102,-39.668,-43.4065,0.0,-33.9572,-32.7334,-46.5271,-51.2102,-47.1632,-52.2788,7.6911,0.0,-29.7929,34.0119,-1.4574,-44.2755,-43.2062,4.0338,49.0726,44.7436,54.7992,55.7352,51.9649,55.4565,54.0662,45.8972,39.7013,-12.1255,0.0,-45.1453,0.0,25.0624,-1.9462,-29.7316,-37.78,-56.2596,14.0835,-10.9207,3.5656,32.7985,-5.2984,12.4367,19.7645,-29.5275,0.0,12.7914,-38.9613,-27.935,-41.3752,0.0,23.1304],"intensity":[7.6923,36.5385,65.3846,23.0769,23.0769,13.4615,28.8462,44.2308,9.6154,3.8462,30.7692,69.2308,53.8462,51.9231,78.8462,71.1538,80.7692,86.5385,80.7692,90.3846,57.6923,36.5385,50.0,21.1538,86.5385,50.0,17.3077,3.8462,96.1538,73.0769,69.2308,19.2308,84.6154,59.6154,73.0769,19.2308,46.1538,84.6154,55.7692,11.5385,44.2308,36.5385,5.7692,9.6154,57.6923,48.0769,1.9231,65.3846,63.4615,7.6923,11.5385,78.8462],"confirmation":[25.9262,79.3969,82.0343,78.8228,29.0162,78.5612,81.8238,84.5872,79.863,80.0291,85.4625,58.4961,25.2609,85.4354,85.3596,53.5578,88.0724,83.1255,58.5797,87.3498,7.1839,89.5383,82.8477,82.3405,80.5588,78.9893,53.2061,77.7523,76.3893,25.05,85.6138,6.0656,82.0773,52.166,79.7239,50.5167,85.7433,34.3942,75.464,49.416,80.2857,51.3707,48.7229,76.1694,81.4102,47.8942,74.3545,87.5671,75.3446,80.3224,31.0148,81.5604],"persistence":[50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[10.7959,6.0317,21.1464,31.5319,46.7868,27.3608,5.6635,21.3026,30.5116,29.6494,22.1292,25.6549,45.6979,12.2322,23.4125,10.56,16.9841,14.2036,49.2109,15.1398,44.4869,17.2285,25.7213,19.5073,28.4242,27.7233,23.6746,7.697,31.2633,45.1828,22.3211,46.4168,14.8006,4.2025,8.0205,27.7917,21.5813,43.3191,24.0386,23.5148,30.2682,4.9077,24.1256,16.8389,20.9561,17.2472,1.8594,17.0916,7.6778,27.2567,48.5372,24.5888],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":38.6,"control":30.0,"force":74.0,"direction":23.1,"confirmation":81.6,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":24.6,"intensity":78.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+38.6","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+30.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+74.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+23.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"82/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"51.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"2.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"10.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"45%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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