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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":5,"completedEpisodes":5,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":20.4,"averageExpectedMove":19.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":5,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":80.0,"averageReturn":-6.2,"medianReturn":-9.5,"confidenceLow":37.6,"confidenceHigh":96.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":5,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-14.4,"medianReturn":-16.1,"confidenceLow":56.6,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":26,"sample":5,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-28.5,"medianReturn":-28.4,"confidenceLow":56.6,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":5},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":5},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":5},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":5},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":5},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":5},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-12.8,"sample":5},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":5},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-14.3,"sample":5},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":5},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-17.5,"sample":5},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-14.4,"sample":5},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-19.4,"sample":5},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-19.5,"sample":5},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-18.4,"sample":5},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-21.3,"sample":5},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-20.1,"sample":5},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-24.2,"sample":5},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-23.0,"sample":5},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-28.0,"sample":5},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-24.9,"sample":5},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-27.2,"sample":5},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-28.1,"sample":5},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-27.5,"sample":5},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-27.8,"sample":5},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-28.5,"sample":5}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":80.0,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 80.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -1.3% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 14.7% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-01-17","price":0.29}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-03-07","price":0.44},{"date":"2025-04-04","price":0.42},{"date":"2025-05-23","price":0.45},{"date":"2025-06-20","price":0.425}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-03-21","price":0.5},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":0.47},{"date":"2025-05-30","price":0.47},{"date":"2025-06-13","price":0.475},{"date":"2025-06-27","price":0.465}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.25,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.225,0.235,0.24,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.26,0.25,0.225,0.23,0.245,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.265,0.29,0.32,0.375,0.47,0.47,0.495,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.455,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.435,0.475,0.425,0.465,0.45,0.43,0.435,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.375,0.385,0.375,0.39,0.365,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3275,0.3375,0.3,0.34,0.375,0.31,0.34,0.355,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.315,0.335,0.38,0.4,0.395,0.4,0.415,0.365,0.38,0.375,0.355,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.365,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3675,0.34,0.35,0.365,0.37,0.315,0.35,0.34,0.325,0.335,0.315,0.325,0.335],"consensus":[0.0,0.0,-18.6889,-11.469,-10.8889,-56.0195,11.622,0.0,13.5741,0.0,0.0,0.0,37.0481,-10.5988,-48.571,0.0,23.6975,-25.8966,0.0,28.0552,46.5059,66.5987,69.6098,73.7483,88.11,35.7965,59.4747,29.6686,0.0,63.6757,51.11,49.961,-39.8145,38.0552,-16.8695,0.0,-16.4184,-21.2518,48.9779,0.0,42.4699,-20.9128,45.5717,-44.9663,30.8386,0.0,-28.8751,0.0,-27.8935,-43.1465,9.6953,-54.3986,-25.9205,0.0,0.0,-18.9133,8.2062,-27.2251,-60.3276,27.3756,-24.5692,-23.349,-27.8109,-10.6139,-51.724,10.8489,35.7071,-48.3068,21.6575,19.6833,-52.4672,-17.3195,24.1435,-21.9139,20.5149,53.7517,39.0735,23.118,24.1312,42.944,-37.2632,12.5991,0.0,-10.247,9.8101,-21.5772,0.0,17.4082,44.3744,0.0,-36.0578,14.1546,-36.7213,0.0,25.0323,0.0,-53.0918,20.9512,-18.1669,-37.2202,8.8672,-40.826,0.0,-19.9486],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-14.384,0.0,0.0,-19.3933,9.7104,-26.3261,-61.8555,29.8273,-22.2389,-25.3282,-37.732,-2.5385,-48.6113,14.7106,35.7463,-52.1821,25.4369,22.0771,-55.0514,-19.038,24.8168,-13.2787,18.6212,45.5871,28.2168,16.3354,15.3702,46.8426,-33.7472,11.8811,0.0,-3.2983,16.801,-19.6275,0.0,19.5155,42.6156,0.0,-42.3226,19.415,-39.2468,0.0,31.2319,0.0,-66.6244,32.486,-15.8517,-37.9526,8.8031,-36.7294,0.0,-22.0609],"force":[-19.2246,0.0,0.0,-14.4782,22.476,-32.868,-68.0076,66.9779,-30.1055,-22.1313,-24.5707,-5.1952,-65.9279,38.6815,53.3121,-67.5202,37.0599,31.3344,-65.8191,-4.9726,67.0086,-34.0522,33.7656,83.2349,46.1033,7.0406,15.4985,41.5931,-82.5522,25.4738,0.0,-13.6854,20.4921,-26.8537,0.0,31.3066,62.1188,0.0,-47.4643,22.6958,-37.4985,0.0,32.1115,0.0,-50.5265,39.7075,-13.6445,-34.7695,25.3853,-50.0597,0.0,-44.8853],"direction":[-43.8879,0.0,0.0,-21.5327,3.7056,-24.2219,-53.0958,3.7138,-23.278,-21.9567,-18.7869,-31.1352,-45.1357,13.4451,23.0874,-30.1541,6.3364,8.6252,-39.977,-24.1747,7.244,-23.1124,13.2144,42.0233,46.4598,42.3533,40.3101,39.4535,-8.9322,4.2235,0.0,-23.2711,5.8097,-20.0366,0.0,5.0725,33.7099,0.0,-20.7504,2.0419,-33.2799,0.0,12.8905,0.0,-39.4583,5.6289,-24.043,-38.1336,2.858,-38.9123,0.0,-0.2775],"intensity":[96.1538,40.3846,90.3846,21.1538,26.9231,48.0769,86.5385,90.3846,50.0,17.3077,44.2308,15.3846,61.5385,75.0,53.8462,86.5385,65.3846,15.3846,82.6923,21.1538,44.2308,17.3077,53.8462,80.7692,82.6923,51.9231,51.9231,36.5385,84.6154,32.6923,19.2308,40.3846,11.5385,44.2308,61.5385,42.3077,69.2308,25.0,71.1538,42.3077,44.2308,11.5385,21.1538,28.8462,92.3077,61.5385,13.4615,28.8462,11.5385,32.6923,25.0,26.9231],"confirmation":[76.2663,6.2144,26.452,73.9098,49.1618,76.8977,87.5156,56.0554,76.0664,75.4044,76.6496,26.8127,85.032,29.796,79.9622,83.9847,52.6755,74.6173,85.1571,50.4731,55.9007,75.514,74.9975,86.2235,80.8832,52.3445,75.5924,81.6415,81.358,49.7684,24.228,49.6272,49.931,75.0952,3.7086,51.2954,82.7674,27.1073,79.7907,50.043,79.736,28.6902,76.1316,25.451,84.705,53.6344,73.7109,79.8246,49.2849,81.4081,29.4443,60.5039],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[34.2977,34.2452,39.5434,1.2045,33.715,13.0363,19.7568,5.381,25.802,11.4963,40.1579,39.4043,22.5125,20.7052,26.7457,7.2718,28.1125,8.7647,21.3646,4.2577,26.6489,30.8292,28.6393,22.083,28.5909,37.6199,36.2401,19.0748,23.3992,30.9022,36.6627,44.2822,15.4257,32.7293,40.2497,12.8198,25.8984,45.2425,2.6162,1.9342,30.8983,46.6988,28.8804,7.7762,11.2594,10.4756,27.1489,27.7332,26.7939,23.6165,28.4856,10.1592],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-19.9,"control":-22.1,"force":-44.9,"direction":-0.3,"confirmation":60.5,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":10.2,"intensity":26.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-19.9","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-22.1","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-44.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-0.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"61/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"47.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"11.0%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"12.2","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"30%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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