{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PSAT Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"e356194b-b89f-4558-a691-4943a403163c","symbol":"PSAT","name":"Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk","exchange":"JKT","country":"ID","asset_type":"equity","currency":"IDR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Marine Shipping"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":59,"displayedObservations":59,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":100.0,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 100.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.2% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 2.2% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 12.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[2190.0,2480.0,1880.0,1615.0,1480.0,1560.0,1520.0,1480.0,1440.0,1365.0,1380.0,1345.0,1380.0,1340.0,1335.0,1345.0,1355.0,1345.0,1365.0,1355.0,1345.0,1330.0,1260.0,1230.0,1275.0,1340.0,1290.0,1230.0,1210.0,1060.0,1000.0,1005.0,1050.0,1015.0,940.0,950.0,905.0,880.0,865.0,895.0,1000.0,955.0,945.0,910.0,890.0,775.0,785.0,720.0,850.0,860.0,815.0,775.0,795.0,845.0,850.0,850.0,910.0,890.0,900.0],"consensus":[100.0,-53.719,-95.122,-33.0154,-41.5697,-14.8806,-23.7293,-21.2686,0.0,-22.3958,-13.7916,-17.675,-10.5292,-17.5556,-11.1154,-17.1308,0.0,-10.4539,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-20.5663,-20.4519,8.6349,13.1462,-12.0558,-17.7097,-21.3063,-47.3218,-38.0627,-26.8131,-12.2989,-25.7562,-36.7214,-9.1424,-35.5584,-36.1463,-31.5535,0.0,30.5095,-12.4122,0.0,-13.2721,-14.9947,-45.2424,-28.4505,-43.3023,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.0176,9.745,0.0,35.7742,0.0,21.1815],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[-25.3905,0.0,-24.386,-12.5032,-18.3547,-10.973,-22.2919,-11.2075,-25.5241,0.0,-16.1615,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-23.7036,-24.6681,16.4582,13.5831,-18.3765,-25.051,-28.3401,-39.4152,-32.6452,-25.9147,-10.9814,-27.9351,-36.8279,-6.4041,-41.7183,-43.389,-38.4661,0.0,24.8865,-20.1085,0.0,-20.1231,-11.7909,-48.234,-29.9017,-49.4037,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,26.6871,6.8909,0.0,32.0628,0.0,20.7187],"force":[-11.681,0.0,-11.1933,-1.272,-6.574,-0.9958,-9.425,-1.2438,-8.407,0.0,-4.8492,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-20.086,-13.7577,24.8561,28.2283,-16.3246,-16.6112,-16.596,-70.1032,-39.4744,-11.5,-10.4995,-24.7921,-44.8491,-11.849,-23.0802,-22.2058,-18.7393,0.0,66.6026,-20.9739,0.0,-8.8222,-7.4709,-45.5519,-11.8694,-29.9973,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,24.4719,12.5724,0.0,41.6571,0.0,15.8975],"direction":[-23.4062,0.0,-28.1231,-24.2066,-24.8274,-18.254,-17.9502,-18.0614,-13.7697,0.0,-7.9343,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-17.3239,-20.4149,11.8926,1.8739,-1.783,-10.1044,-16.6322,-40.0855,-43.2458,-38.7777,-30.0893,-23.9547,-30.7941,-27.2659,-37.4315,-37.8263,-32.8063,0.0,11.155,-2.4991,0.0,-8.621,-24.0303,-41.6024,-38.6355,-45.833,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.6421,10.9873,0.0,35.8138,0.0,25.4846],"intensity":[14.2857,62.5,33.3333,20.0,9.0909,16.6667,15.3846,42.8571,20.0,6.25,5.8824,83.3333,78.9474,15.0,23.8095,63.6364,39.1304,33.3333,68.0,42.3077,70.3704,10.7143,89.6552,76.6667,61.2903,62.5,21.2121,58.8235,51.4286,47.2222,10.8108,10.5263,41.0256,82.5,85.3659,90.4762,23.2558,54.5455,71.1111,54.3478,55.3191,72.9167,42.8571,70.0,35.2941,11.5385,38.4615,15.3846,61.5385,51.9231,9.6154,1.9231],"confirmation":[74.451,25.8973,74.7949,49.3847,50.6407,48.5571,73.2978,48.588,73.0881,24.3106,25.7541,24.9047,0.9263,24.7467,1.6676,74.5188,74.2763,28.3421,49.9931,49.225,73.5218,74.5673,83.9578,80.3056,76.1272,28.1675,76.1794,79.9969,4.8554,78.9045,79.0316,77.6013,5.193,78.9487,49.982,1.3012,72.0071,49.9512,82.4414,76.5767,81.3583,26.8041,2.7354,1.4722,2.0762,3.1944,50.8588,48.5814,24.9468,79.6836,3.4727,74.6241],"persistence":[75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[13.2862,4.2376,23.3536,21.2254,19.4863,9.0588,2.4262,7.493,8.5654,21.6612,11.5628,41.2423,16.6963,13.0176,21.7437,39.675,39.7655,53.4363,7.8833,41.061,8.8549,36.3494,26.337,30.9669,36.5761,43.5421,20.6994,20.8743,32.976,31.6252,31.3193,30.6114,39.5364,30.7761,48.5972,45.6334,22.6547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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+21.2","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+20.7","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+15.9","detail":"Upward 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