{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AIG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"e418504d-b8a4-4a92-961e-c583d33d09f2","symbol":"AIG","name":"American International Group Inc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Insurance - Diversified"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":12.9,"averageExpectedMove":12.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.5,"medianReturn":-7.5,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.6,"medianReturn":-6.6,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-10.3,"medianReturn":-10.3,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-10.4,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-6.3,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-12.0,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-9.9,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-10.5,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-9.1,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-11.8,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Support weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"Treat the weaker support as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.3% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-07-04","price":81.231535},{"date":"2026-01-09","price":74.491711}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-06-06","price":84.84285},{"date":"2025-12-12","price":83.39998}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[72.0229,73.6771,68.7622,69.9096,70.9176,70.5138,73.1194,74.2539,75.5231,73.8597,72.8021,72.6675,72.8502,73.129,73.9174,72.6483,70.0619,70.2767,70.5764,70.3927,68.1594,72.597,71.3305,71.2145,72.2103,71.8719,74.1052,80.1864,78.8135,80.37,80.8018,81.2292,76.6927,79.6264,78.8201,78.8978,81.2681,80.0538,81.9189,79.2864,82.22,84.8428,82.628,83.1359,82.6085,81.2315,79.8643,79.3077,78.2237,75.1963,76.2998,78.1358,81.4269,79.4151,77.3545,77.0811,75.6199,76.6022,79.5885,79.8636,75.9932,77.6042,77.5649,75.5708,76.3763,74.6179,74.8144,75.669,83.4,84.9599,85.4043,83.2217,74.4917,72.0228,71.4204,73.9486,75.7657,77.2964,79.4394,79.4888,77.7408,75.7854,73.8966,72.4661,74.9197,76.3601,78.1581,74.6416,78.2475,75.8535,75.6052,76.5389,73.7376,74.9893,75.2376,74.02,75.57,79.39,79.17,80.5,79.06,78.58,78.78,76.64],"consensus":[18.1334,41.1247,-46.5316,0.0,0.0,-19.7252,44.8296,38.9576,39.9304,0.0,-16.9653,-8.0825,0.0,0.0,19.043,-16.0086,-49.8712,-12.9291,-13.4115,-15.5315,-48.1906,46.0033,-15.5802,0.0,29.6145,0.0,42.1275,77.0774,20.1266,58.4447,35.3658,27.2637,-37.3017,37.9697,0.0,0.0,45.1449,0.0,42.4413,-18.1352,43.2546,57.5985,0.0,26.8843,0.0,-20.7177,-32.1326,-19.8063,-31.3948,-60.6071,-13.2763,0.0,44.7278,-16.2739,-31.8396,-12.901,-46.131,0.0,40.5744,9.2905,-43.1364,14.8515,-9.1144,-41.015,0.0,-39.7202,-14.8151,0.0,67.948,55.6836,40.2403,8.7069,-63.5626,-61.0668,-40.2051,0.0,14.7702,25.1716,44.728,24.3147,-10.4081,-32.9914,-42.6217,-51.0709,0.0,14.0274,36.8114,-30.6579,47.56,-24.6258,-12.6776,11.6375,-44.2325,10.4908,0.0,-32.0798,17.7476,55.0497,15.5724,42.3239,9.3113,0.0,0.0,30.0271],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[46.3654,-29.236,-40.5168,-7.2885,-37.6093,0.0,41.6402,0.3398,-45.7997,16.0794,-3.8725,-34.7055,0.0,-39.2502,-7.664,0.0,61.1261,53.8738,36.9171,7.0379,-56.0565,-59.0268,-37.239,0.0,15.6587,19.0053,47.4759,20.1939,-17.8066,-34.9164,-38.1887,-53.6363,0.0,16.0195,34.6442,-41.7704,39.9043,-27.1111,-8.8899,7.1327,-44.2916,17.5929,0.0,-34.776,11.2059,54.7127,5.918,38.736,2.8739,0.0,0.0,27.1776],"force":[64.666,-37.7218,-42.8677,-1.9019,-56.8329,0.0,64.8781,0.6189,-71.8454,35.3318,-6.3508,-56.1171,0.0,-43.6853,-0.656,0.0,98.1685,53.6759,17.0473,24.7154,-97.8479,-72.223,-20.8289,0.0,41.2506,42.4928,50.2032,14.5681,-30.7703,-46.9157,-50.7264,-50.0962,0.0,23.7303,45.6409,-52.0095,84.3699,-46.548,-12.722,17.5634,-56.8128,30.8304,0.0,-36.0436,39.0506,71.5813,3.3229,39.8649,14.1742,0.0,0.0,45.3749],"direction":[28.6148,-13.8601,-14.0456,-27.1718,-48.2257,0.0,21.9967,25.7138,-19.5864,1.1807,-17.0793,-37.4387,0.0,-37.4252,-34.0385,0.0,54.1584,59.186,60.6048,50.574,-47.6515,-55.4296,-57.435,0.0,5.1598,19.8465,37.6766,35.9862,-12.5918,-20.8455,-41.8989,-48.8353,0.0,4.8201,32.9813,-2.7066,30.0166,-6.1269,-16.9746,12.5529,-35.1791,12.1541,0.0,-26.1671,10.0074,43.6264,40.1025,48.1808,33.4437,0.0,0.0,22.321],"intensity":[86.5385,46.1538,57.6923,67.3077,25.0,13.4615,80.7692,90.3846,90.3846,86.5385,9.6154,42.3077,69.2308,28.8462,28.8462,15.3846,100.0,100.0,26.9231,44.2308,100.0,100.0,51.9231,55.7692,55.7692,51.9231,82.6923,7.6923,26.9231,48.0769,65.3846,30.7692,51.9231,40.3846,28.8462,86.5385,86.5385,69.2308,44.2308,17.3077,71.1538,59.6154,13.4615,15.3846,40.3846,90.3846,92.3077,36.5385,15.3846,1.9231,1.9231,63.4615],"confirmation":[82.8956,31.2872,78.3925,26.5453,83.2179,6.7666,81.7083,25.5117,82.638,50.9431,25.5789,81.6812,3.6406,80.8385,27.1849,3.5474,90.7683,85.7851,80.2207,8.7816,89.4993,87.9125,80.3203,33.258,51.954,76.6767,82.4379,75.5465,29.1913,78.9523,81.9535,84.2739,30.3538,50.0875,80.0818,55.6252,84.4577,53.8438,72.1159,49.3066,82.5369,29.1283,48.4794,78.3453,74.4282,86.1248,27.93,81.5234,5.3858,2.6816,24.5656,78.1198],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[23.9153,57.044,43.0184,21.471,26.839,44.4828,20.7843,40.3406,30.1447,13.9412,33.5636,27.9099,7.992,26.6351,38.4096,1.9405,15.4776,22.1171,29.8458,45.3028,17.5276,19.4049,29.8668,49.133,9.8157,32.462,26.5326,33.5539,30.1359,7.4484,26.6957,23.7773,39.9474,8.2127,30.9186,55.1277,22.1138,0.9048,35.2636,30.4922,26.3448,24.111,10.9272,25.7899,26.5224,20.6306,39.5079,28.5818,42.5758,21.2419,14.714,33.9371],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":30.0,"control":27.2,"force":45.4,"direction":22.3,"confirmation":78.1,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":33.9,"intensity":63.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+30.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+27.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+45.4","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+22.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"78/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"48.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.8%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"9.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"46%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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