{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"MSTR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"e51dbc76-3ea9-43b8-9fb7-64fa45a5f93f","symbol":"MSTR","name":"Strategy Inc","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CAD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":44,"displayedObservations":44,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. Price structure remains downward.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","headline":"Improving Market Dynamics is challenging the downward price structure","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. Price structure remains downward.","take":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[0.899841,1.250678,1.287068,1.200238,1.139633,0.796783,0.465478,0.177542,-0.27848,-0.493708,-0.657976,-0.619582,-0.559982,-0.542742,-0.496582,-0.514176],"opens":[11.72,12.47,13.04,11.29,11.5,8.54,8.21,7.7,5.74,7.13,6.73,6.28,6.54,6.42,6.42,6.81],"highs":[12.39,13.08,13.53,11.6,11.55,8.59,8.81,7.75,5.98,7.29,6.84,6.95,7.12,6.8,7.16,6.86],"lows":[10.78,12.13,11.98,10.95,9.92,7.85,8.04,7.63,5.61,6.9,6.4,6.16,6.15,6.09,6.4,6.27],"closes":[12.19,12.88,12.22,10.99,10.92,8.28,8.48,7.7,5.64,7.12,6.46,6.48,6.26,6.37,6.82,6.36],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"11.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"12.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"6.81","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"6.86","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"6.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.36","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.51","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[5.2056,13.3144],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.514176,"state":"Negative but repairing over four weeks","context":{"scenario":"negativeRepair","latestDirection":"slight easing","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Underlying pressure is repairing","detail":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Underlying pressure is repairing","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Repairing","detail":"The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":16,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[20.25,20.25,18.8,16.81,13.96,11.9,12.42,12.45,12.31,11.49,11.05,10.92,10.94,12.09,11.33,10.45,9.37,9.3,9.07,8.98,9.22,9.63,9.39,8.72,8.3,8.86,11.45,11.78,12.19,12.88,12.22,10.99,10.92,8.28,8.48,7.7,5.64,7.12,6.46,6.48,6.26,6.37,6.82,6.36],"consensus":[-41.4634,-14.2857,-38.5581,-16.3747,-79.3761,-70.9436,-36.2664,-34.6987,-46.4396,-49.3299,-53.3521,-37.9633,-43.3881,11.0285,-35.5884,-44.97,-43.369,-25.6913,-29.6285,-27.1545,-18.559,0.0,-23.9681,-37.2693,-36.4928,0.0,59.8121,36.9286,45.4471,54.1168,0.0,-24.6865,0.0,-49.3187,-24.585,-38.3768,-65.5794,-15.1813,-49.7955,-30.247,-32.4245,-26.2013,0.0,-36.9492],"supportDates":["2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-77.7007,-22.7983,-21.6947,-45.8905,-48.6659,-52.4624,-30.6563,-45.2189,3.7539,-36.7952,-42.6446,-33.8596,-17.8986,-24.2652,-24.4197,-24.7445,0.0,-34.8789,-47.4106,-42.9311,0.0,50.9907,29.7107,41.6218,50.4526,0.0,-32.1404,0.0,-48.1712,-19.1902,-36.6201,-72.4505,-8.9153,-56.0836,-29.6659,-46.8571,-27.6225,0.0,-46.3649],"force":[-41.4634,-14.2857,-38.5581,-16.3747,-52.2981,-46.6079,-0.3758,-0.6749,-23.1669,-45.4385,-40.6111,-13.2864,-16.3317,65.6862,-39.8516,-45.4046,-53.6157,-3.709,-11.3158,-8.3387,-2.9269,0.0,-20.7884,-36.4748,-27.2598,0.0,92.1761,27.2196,37.2063,50.3288,0.0,-45.4456,0.0,-53.2464,-2.5478,-22.2104,-60.2107,-17.0547,-34.3053,-6.3371,-18.286,-4.0609,0.0,-35.0551],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-98.7174,-80.6039,-77.2945,-73.8631,-63.6904,-52.8682,-63.4697,-63.9406,-60.6218,19.6991,-31.1641,-47.3172,-46.918,-50.2988,-48.8383,-43.7199,-26.837,0.0,-13.7699,-26.2468,-35.7298,0.0,46.7764,52.1126,55.7052,61.0101,0.0,-1.3398,0.0,-47.8246,-46.4913,-51.9318,-61.5613,-45.3683,-53.6736,-47.9897,-26.029,-40.3916,0.0,-27.5414],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,80.0,50.0,28.5714,37.5,44.4444,20.0,27.2727,25.0,53.8462,50.0,46.6667,87.5,41.1765,5.5556,5.2632,40.0,19.0476,13.6364,39.1304,50.0,32.0,96.1538,88.8889,21.4286,65.5172,36.6667,80.6452,50.0,100.0,2.9412,51.4286,80.5556,67.5676,34.2105,7.6923,5.0,14.6341,28.5714,30.2326],"confirmation":[35.935,27.2381,35.0052,27.9066,69.4958,89.8573,56.05,55.5982,82.1598,83.6771,84.6979,79.5075,81.0317,9.5082,79.4998,82.4391,82.3353,53.0034,77.0047,76.1577,51.1476,27.1388,75.4066,79.7474,79.2982,5.2271,88.2606,79.6312,82.3502,85.2578,9.3387,53.7521,25.2796,83.9192,52.6111,79.8146,88.7171,30.2761,83.3667,54.2926,77.725,53.0213,4.9034,87.6226],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,10.3114,14.5282,31.8646,32.5826,21.2343,6.8279,16.3983,26.1312,21.9946,19.2933,30.3875,1.7895,24.1076,37.0869,35.1414,35.9583,3.8204,28.3635,37.8432,2.679,27.8515,39.4861,19.0869,31.4416,27.2668,22.9385,36.1157,23.1051,40.7022,25.3048,37.5545,30.4544,17.1855,27.2122,20.3932,25.3376,42.3916,17.5362,17.4098,12.6854],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-36.9,"control":-46.4,"force":-35.1,"direction":-27.5,"confirmation":87.6,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":12.7,"intensity":30.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-36.9","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-46.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-35.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-27.5","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"88/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"34.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"20.5%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"29.6","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"9%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}