{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"GDOG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"e6bbd865-9957-4f02-bd7c-37413c7626d8","symbol":"GDOG","name":"GRAYSCALE DOGECOIN TRUST ETF","exchange":"NYSEARCA","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":39,"displayedObservations":39,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","headline":"Market Dynamics is weaker than the current price position","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","take":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.091893,-0.193731,-0.289011,-0.357551,-0.500937,-0.570025,-0.695469,-0.809355,-0.798579,-0.823394,-0.643352],"opens":[10.12,10.6401,9.9,8.501,8.78,8.44,8.51,8.51,8.16,8.17,8.21],"highs":[10.82,10.65,9.905,8.83,9.049,8.83,8.65,8.58,8.27,8.358,10.02],"lows":[9.7601,9.64,8.44,8.24,8.375,8.34,8.03,8.05,8.04,8.1301,8.18],"closes":[10.2784,9.7113,8.88,8.715,8.72,8.5308,8.1101,8.1975,8.181,8.1916,9.9799],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.76","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.09","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.64","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.71","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.19","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"9.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.44","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.88","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.29","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.50","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.83","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.24","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.71","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.36","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.78","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"9.05","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.72","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.50","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.44","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.83","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.34","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.53","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.57","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.51","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.65","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.03","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.70","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.51","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.58","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.05","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.81","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.04","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.18","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.80","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.36","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.13","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.19","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.82","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.21","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.18","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.98","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.64","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[7.980002,10.408498],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.643352,"state":"Price is moving ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Price response ahead of support","detail":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Price response ahead of support","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Lagging price","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":11,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[17.56,16.2673,16.0224,15.6125,14.3657,16.4132,16.45,16.2151,14.52,13.6176,11.5996,11.4,11.825,10.98,10.7134,11.28,11.01,10.59,10.6,11.17,11.7623,11.5699,12.84,12.8036,13.26,12.13,11.76,9.5306,10.2784,9.7113,8.88,8.715,8.72,8.5308,8.1101,8.1975,8.181,8.1916,9.9799],"consensus":[-20.0,-37.8961,-83.8879,35.7367,-67.8809,22.3935,0.0,0.0,-34.4194,-53.3206,-62.0732,-31.0066,-26.3333,-58.7888,-43.0123,-14.5203,-37.2376,-38.3925,-28.4745,0.0,22.9883,8.2946,53.3435,14.1578,33.8785,-21.8101,-19.8611,-68.5008,-16.176,-49.607,-56.1151,-24.1758,-31.1442,-35.7747,-48.3672,-32.3061,-23.6867,-27.967,-58.0106],"supportDates":["2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,32.7046,0.0,0.0,-42.7922,-52.0033,-53.7191,-10.6101,-15.5425,-51.41,-43.7008,-14.7233,-43.1522,-48.8233,-38.4849,0.0,18.3558,8.2468,45.5556,4.2996,24.6655,-33.9216,-18.9061,-67.106,-11.2773,-56.4129,-55.2644,-17.9986,-28.1707,-35.281,-55.7845,-37.8008,-22.0891,-34.147,-50.5586],"force":[-20.0,-37.8961,-83.8879,35.7367,-41.0003,39.3426,0.0,0.0,-26.0016,-41.3169,-58.7713,-5.1355,-11.4535,-57.1202,-24.572,-18.0975,-26.7489,-25.9412,-9.9695,0.0,56.6168,13.2593,86.6471,0.1946,36.9596,-46.3869,-22.6506,-94.4703,-15.059,-40.5799,-60.1743,-3.4633,-8.8961,-18.473,-38.0637,-10.5538,-2.7592,-7.993,-96.2543],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-87.0813,1.4971,0.0,0.0,-30.8633,-63.4001,-73.9792,-72.7962,-65.6563,-68.4137,-55.3972,-37.5868,-37.9699,-35.3654,-30.2518,0.0,4.2623,4.8032,38.4557,35.6759,42.2069,-9.5865,-18.9601,-51.5451,-44.0853,-48.2768,-54.1878,-46.0301,-50.4338,-48.6973,-47.25,-41.5637,-40.4606,-35.1713,-39.2102],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,100.0,100.0,28.5714,100.0,33.3333,100.0,54.5455,25.0,23.0769,7.1429,26.6667,12.5,35.2941,27.7778,36.8421,45.0,23.8095,72.7273,60.8696,25.0,76.0,42.3077,88.8889,57.1429,31.0345,63.3333,58.0645,3.125,6.0606,23.5294,2.8571,19.4444,5.4054,84.2105],"confirmation":[29.0667,34.7934,49.5108,34.1024,65.8264,53.1781,48.6642,47.724,78.6301,84.7168,87.8901,54.7778,32.5496,86.874,81.1915,30.1768,79.5062,79.7472,76.3953,28.8266,53.7851,48.1397,86.2036,26.9515,79.0754,32.2555,74.4551,90.733,30.1783,83.4954,86.0935,52.5325,77.3334,78.9281,83.0505,77.5913,52.2996,53.5799,87.8425],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,50.0,60.0,33.3333,28.5714,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,16.0594,5.222,22.2662,29.5724,24.2717,22.8883,18.9496,34.4866,36.2793,20.0896,14.4664,1.362,14.7153,0.2882,6.4572,8.9984,25.0612,39.9577,23.0068,42.6858,32.6682,46.4489,37.5447,15.7046,41.8134,24.8124,21.7896,24.1768,31.7742,26.5178,12.1186,14.6271,19.8243,8.73,19.6742],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-58.0,"control":-50.6,"force":-96.3,"direction":-39.2,"confirmation":87.8,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":19.7,"intensity":84.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-58.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-50.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-96.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-39.2","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"88/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"39.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"10.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"34.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"33%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[17.56,16.2673,16.0224,15.6125,14.3657,16.4132,16.45,16.2151,14.52,13.6176,11.5996,11.4,11.825,10.98,10.7134,11.28,11.01,10.59,10.6,11.17,11.7623,11.5699,12.84,12.8036,13.26,12.13,11.76,9.5306,10.2784,9.7113,8.88,8.715,8.72,8.5308,8.1101,8.1975,8.181,8.1916,9.9799],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,16.3736,16.3808,16.3934,16.361,16.0263,15.5883,14.8631,14.2334,13.7955,13.2836,12.8163,12.537,12.2594,11.9558,11.7093,11.6113,11.6387,11.6262,11.8469,12.0208,12.2461,12.225,12.1405,11.666,11.4137,11.1041,10.6998,10.3389,10.0445,9.7693,9.4676,9.2367,9.0448,8.8896,9.0879],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,15.4738,15.1409,14.813,14.5513,14.289,14.015,13.762,13.57,13.4361,13.2979,13.2639,13.2298,13.2321,13.1504,13.0474,12.7869,12.6011,12.3871,12.1273,11.8745,11.6408,11.4105,11.166,10.9461,10.7413,10.5524,10.51],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,17.9617,18.5253,18.7552,18.7417,18.7923,18.8016,18.6979,18.6023,18.5266,18.4332,18.3004,17.6675,17.2394,16.8359,16.4775,16.3503,15.6964,14.8836,14.0474,13.5365,13.2509,13.3893,13.5061,13.5281,13.6041,13.7079,13.7206,13.7242,13.7328,13.6997],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,13.4471,12.1371,11.2521,10.7765,10.186,9.6733,9.4073,9.145,8.8559,8.6238,8.5208,8.5739,8.5322,8.6175,8.695,8.7116,8.9372,9.2811,9.4488,9.5355,9.4305,9.0201,8.6348,8.3024,7.9815,7.6173,7.2963,7.0098,6.7614,6.7325],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-7.3616,-8.7563,-11.0905,-18.1908,-6.5308,-6.3212,-7.6589,-17.3121,-22.451,-33.9431,-35.0797,-32.6595,-37.4715,-38.9897,-35.7631,-37.3007,-39.6925,-39.6355,-36.3895,-33.0165,-34.1122,-26.8793,-27.0866,-24.4875,-30.9226,-33.0296,-45.7255,-41.467,-44.6965,-49.4305,-50.3702,-50.3417,-51.4191,-53.8149,-53.3172,-53.4112,-53.3508,-43.1669],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.8737,1.0741,0.0,0.0,0.0,3.7281,0.0,0.0,5.2887,2.7685,0.0,0.0944,5.4769,11.0699,9.2531,21.2465,20.9027,25.2125,14.542,11.0482,0.0,7.8463,1.896,0.0,0.0,0.0574,0.0,0.0,1.0777,0.8742,1.0049,23.0552],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}