{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"601988 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"e7391166-9717-4c24-b726-138bc03d76c9","symbol":"601988","name":"Bank of China Limited","exchange":"SHH","country":"CN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CNY","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Diversified"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence aligned","headline":"Upward price structure retains strong Market Dynamics support","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","take":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":28},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":27},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":27},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":27},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":27},{"week":6,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":27},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":27},{"week":8,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":27},{"week":9,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":26},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":26},{"week":11,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":26},{"week":12,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":26},{"week":13,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":26},{"week":14,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":26},{"week":15,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":26},{"week":16,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":25},{"week":17,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":25},{"week":18,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":25},{"week":19,"averageReturn":8.0,"sample":25},{"week":20,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":25},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":25},{"week":22,"averageReturn":9.6,"sample":25},{"week":23,"averageReturn":9.7,"sample":25},{"week":24,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":25},{"week":25,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":25},{"week":26,"averageReturn":10.5,"sample":25}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":14.6,"averageExpectedMove":14.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-5.2,"medianReturn":-6.1,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-13.9,"medianReturn":-13.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-5.0,"medianReturn":-5.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-6.4,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-14.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-9.7,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.7,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-8.4,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":90.3,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":31},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 90.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 4.7% across 31 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 6.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 8.4% across 26 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 8.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":5.664103}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-11-21","price":6.170326},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":6.163876},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":5.96}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-16","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[4.515,4.7684,4.4962,4.4305,4.2991,4.3554,4.5713,4.6933,4.7121,4.7402,4.6088,4.5807,4.5619,4.5619,4.6088,4.7027,4.7872,4.8623,4.9374,5.1439,5.0218,5.1157,5.1157,5.1003,5.2348,5.0715,5.1964,5.2444,5.1868,5.1964,5.1483,5.1483,5.2828,5.4365,5.206,5.4557,5.5523,5.4248,5.5425,5.5229,5.464,5.415,5.3463,5.2384,5.4836,5.4935,5.5916,5.5817,5.5817,5.4248,5.4444,5.5621,5.3463,5.5916,5.415,5.415,5.3757,5.1894,5.1403,5.0814,5.1305,5.2384,5.4248,5.5033,5.5327,5.7093,6.1703,5.9545,5.6995,5.59,5.66,5.61,5.73,5.49,5.4,5.27,5.37,5.35,5.31,5.28,5.39,5.39,5.51,5.57,5.82,5.65,5.77,5.81,5.75,5.68,5.79,5.86,5.86,5.9287,6.1639,5.6641,5.6445,5.4485,5.79,5.96,6.01,6.06,5.77,5.88],"consensus":[63.6029,78.3235,-18.0906,0.0,-37.7518,0.0,46.2354,48.2976,19.7987,29.7125,-13.4364,0.0,-8.3176,0.0,0.0,32.1008,41.3755,42.4421,41.9039,64.5204,8.5751,44.9009,30.1462,18.0128,49.1932,-14.3253,43.4048,29.1201,0.0,18.9354,0.0,0.0,43.7354,58.9667,-23.6118,60.1022,46.4821,-9.6101,48.1068,14.2022,-11.5474,0.0,-27.1953,-50.9015,46.0861,11.0761,46.7231,14.0961,12.1159,-36.7334,0.0,28.7101,-52.3169,50.707,-35.2733,-12.3855,-15.2187,-54.5731,-39.0754,-46.4417,-18.8254,13.3438,45.5894,37.627,27.1163,58.2443,75.7759,0.0,-13.2338,-23.7735,0.0,-20.9386,29.9914,-44.3696,-40.7716,-53.2806,0.0,-23.6355,-32.3667,-23.01,13.7231,0.0,33.1429,33.7207,59.683,0.0,41.6858,28.6847,0.0,0.0,35.2886,34.1849,20.082,46.143,64.6625,-51.5677,-28.5675,-45.3221,20.3317,53.8309,36.6887,37.3744,-36.8167,17.1709],"supportDates":["2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-45.5882,46.5726,-37.8969,-6.2362,-18.7687,-49.9862,-34.9489,-47.8416,-7.789,14.8924,41.9239,32.2394,20.0942,58.3209,72.2975,0.0,-24.4573,-26.3688,0.0,-18.629,37.1026,-44.5956,-39.5906,-54.6428,0.0,-20.3353,-36.7298,-28.3779,16.7555,0.0,30.6869,29.5908,54.6471,0.0,39.6173,22.6507,0.0,0.0,39.4389,37.3193,17.1855,51.67,75.0724,-48.8728,-30.2861,-46.4523,41.5503,51.6565,31.7741,31.9874,-36.3581,23.3427],"force":[-84.1948,88.3576,-60.7068,-7.9463,-12.8975,-64.4273,-26.4076,-29.1209,-6.7617,44.5084,72.2001,42.319,16.7205,63.8689,94.9496,0.0,-55.0395,-43.5423,0.0,-30.9475,34.8235,-71.8277,-42.6242,-53.8512,0.0,-13.3398,-23.1366,-8.9876,41.1429,0.0,48.8668,39.5075,76.3035,0.0,40.1898,14.8042,0.0,0.0,43.2113,32.4109,5.1322,38.1972,55.6852,-89.6535,-22.2963,-34.4275,30.9143,75.845,34.5477,32.2096,-77.2279,30.8875],"direction":[-37.237,28.5389,-14.1081,-22.5842,-12.8194,-52.7767,-52.8399,-57.2138,-49.715,10.6864,30.7708,40.4329,42.5671,54.139,66.0559,0.0,-29.4543,-6.6867,0.0,-16.429,18.4126,-24.4984,-40.7982,-51.3163,0.0,-34.761,-33.9732,-26.8913,9.328,0.0,24.7185,34.3071,53.5665,0.0,45.1184,45.4953,0.0,0.0,24.8862,31.8699,34.0707,45.502,59.1778,-27.4434,-31.0829,-51.8124,11.477,40.5915,43.8346,47.22,-8.4757,0.3197],"intensity":[80.7692,88.4615,75.0,25.0,36.5385,88.4615,53.8462,55.7692,9.6154,69.2308,82.6923,86.5385,51.9231,78.8462,100.0,98.0769,94.2308,80.7692,17.3077,7.6923,40.3846,86.5385,55.7692,46.1538,26.9231,5.7692,7.6923,36.5385,42.3077,11.5385,63.4615,13.4615,98.0769,63.4615,38.4615,63.4615,44.2308,25.0,36.5385,21.1538,28.8462,17.3077,82.6923,98.0769,96.1538,88.4615,90.3846,65.3846,46.1538,19.2308,88.4615,42.3077],"confirmation":[85.8155,85.4367,80.0226,26.5884,72.7451,85.8336,80.181,82.3121,29.5217,30.1426,83.4554,80.2657,76.4674,86.8084,92.8856,36.2763,34.2881,53.5038,27.1966,75.0406,77.6361,83.0317,81.1214,85.0464,7.7966,75.2999,78.0096,74.8541,29.8375,24.6311,79.1224,79.0299,87.6818,32.3482,81.3254,76.848,4.7702,27.1763,79.4705,78.8373,51.3481,82.4394,88.2598,85.7034,76.9243,82.1538,31.6204,85.9299,79.75,79.8845,81.0199,59.152],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[22.1384,16.9969,7.438,32.7896,18.1287,22.5183,29.0777,26.3257,38.6024,11.191,25.6699,30.9629,36.1878,20.817,12.1011,48.5481,42.4129,16.1486,53.6102,37.4405,6.507,1.5052,23.1125,20.5678,44.5586,19.3016,6.4887,15.7448,1.5122,17.9385,31.2612,32.7532,20.0626,50.0336,28.1394,34.4506,28.7388,15.6663,8.3094,5.249,29.4518,26.198,17.5382,13.4885,26.8948,26.8974,57.9629,18.174,29.1429,31.1005,13.7654,26.3946],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":17.2,"control":23.3,"force":30.9,"direction":0.3,"confirmation":59.2,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":26.4,"intensity":42.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+17.2","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+23.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+30.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+0.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"59/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"53.6","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"23.3","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"69%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}