{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AJMERA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"e878b521-bbf7-4036-ba35-038749c26199","symbol":"AJMERA","name":"Ajmera Realty & Infra India Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Real Estate - Development"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.4,"averageExpectedMove":6.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-3.1,"medianReturn":-3.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-5.7,"medianReturn":-5.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-48.5,"medianReturn":-48.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 13.2% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-01-17","price":198.481873},{"date":"2025-10-17","price":204.110001},{"date":"2025-11-07","price":204.380005}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-09-19","price":210.580002}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[140.0955,137.8667,136.8817,136.6429,138.4239,135.2897,127.7277,132.7027,172.9204,164.1246,184.532,188.7508,175.9253,183.9151,216.5411,226.1627,223.2075,212.4218,206.3125,222.2921,215.9739,198.4819,179.3978,188.5817,195.4272,169.3583,159.7168,145.6874,165.1893,155.8363,190.7906,179.2386,169.03,163.9356,171.8956,162.4133,164.9704,150.3042,164.3734,160.1347,168.6519,182.353,190.5916,191.2383,184.93,179.6466,179.7361,185.7459,186.4424,172.0548,170.1145,176.1144,178.1342,173.2687,199.28,195.95,210.58,199.69,202.31,205.9,204.11,204.63,214.42,204.38,197.06,198.14,204.02,197.38,198.66,183.76,193.0,200.35,186.78,182.75,148.4,151.4,144.88,137.94,138.84,128.71,123.26,117.79,108.52,104.04,108.69,121.18,124.46,124.83,124.3,129.72,126.31,119.95,118.99,121.67,120.84,140.94,131.47,136.3,134.67,126.8,122.57,126.34,123.65,118.23],"consensus":[-10.5174,-17.7619,0.0,-10.41,0.0,-23.2011,-44.0442,0.0,71.2088,0.0,73.8636,50.6419,0.0,54.9124,77.8084,69.1179,32.6607,8.3968,0.0,46.2497,0.0,-26.7933,-51.2587,0.0,0.0,-52.8228,-44.6711,-56.1167,0.0,-40.7543,49.9357,-9.9099,-23.9719,0.0,0.0,-36.0988,0.0,-44.7839,13.7514,-17.7866,22.6366,51.4517,41.7525,24.6752,0.0,-9.8294,0.0,22.1708,11.6212,-37.5255,-20.423,0.0,0.0,-18.1685,64.0016,14.0157,63.9644,0.0,24.5482,28.3511,0.0,15.0054,49.8023,-15.737,-21.7355,0.0,14.6056,-18.7862,0.0,-48.5687,0.0,22.8059,-44.9891,-25.9345,-75.6473,-33.3604,-39.5988,-59.6189,-35.524,-62.2535,-55.625,-52.598,-69.3565,-53.5837,-16.8895,14.0223,8.4841,0.0,0.0,19.5305,0.0,-28.9463,-20.676,0.0,0.0,56.2202,0.0,31.6812,24.3113,-33.4406,-28.6178,0.0,-25.3397,-35.0889],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-26.6418,59.0945,5.2157,64.3898,0.0,28.356,24.1369,0.0,13.0707,52.3989,-16.5624,-24.6232,0.0,25.9874,-19.4443,0.0,-46.3576,0.0,28.3962,-45.3437,-25.3166,-76.781,-27.1546,-28.7526,-59.5288,-37.8075,-66.8006,-58.8403,-50.8553,-68.5669,-49.8199,-4.6247,10.667,4.1694,0.0,0.0,12.9405,0.0,-33.5806,-20.7436,0.0,0.0,59.1438,0.0,29.5953,21.3949,-29.9389,-31.6233,0.0,-21.51,-37.71],"force":[0.0,-21.2328,93.7879,10.5711,75.6432,0.0,12.7056,22.734,0.0,1.851,54.839,-52.0571,-32.0808,0.0,19.9882,-25.1906,0.0,-63.351,0.0,34.3456,-61.256,-27.804,-89.4445,-1.5884,-22.7648,-51.7341,-7.3501,-53.9119,-38.9811,-40.3383,-73.3866,-41.9827,-21.0356,71.6764,31.2626,0.0,0.0,40.5366,0.0,-34.0727,-22.6217,0.0,0.0,62.4398,0.0,25.2163,15.0742,-63.4572,-34.3631,0.0,-38.7185,-39.9657],"direction":[0.0,-6.2958,48.3339,41.6349,55.1363,0.0,28.6555,37.1795,0.0,26.6124,43.237,-11.1493,-11.0457,0.0,2.2469,-13.4596,0.0,-40.5367,0.0,8.1742,-32.9647,-25.3054,-64.4964,-63.1469,-64.0189,-65.3539,-53.0384,-63.015,-63.8387,-63.3465,-67.3804,-66.1715,-57.9958,23.3245,2.8552,0.0,0.0,12.0574,0.0,-19.9883,-19.2091,0.0,0.0,48.4364,0.0,38.6829,34.2421,-16.002,-21.0791,0.0,-20.1601,-28.6099],"intensity":[32.6923,15.3846,86.5385,71.1538,59.6154,42.3077,44.2308,40.3846,19.2308,3.8462,36.5385,38.4615,71.1538,5.7692,13.4615,26.9231,34.6154,69.2308,36.5385,30.7692,57.6923,34.6154,98.0769,88.4615,53.8462,28.8462,3.8462,51.9231,59.6154,44.2308,51.9231,36.5385,11.5385,90.3846,48.0769,1.9231,1.9231,44.2308,38.4615,32.6923,76.9231,86.5385,15.3846,94.2308,65.3846,21.1538,9.6154,42.3077,36.5385,9.6154,3.8462,28.8462],"confirmation":[2.3,51.1115,89.4631,6.125,88.8181,35.4903,75.4365,76.9654,4.2564,49.7636,84.0507,31.1753,75.2266,24.7902,50.4771,74.1968,24.5065,84.0262,29.4666,75.5644,82.8869,76.3654,92.6103,55.1349,80.3239,86.8391,55.8076,87.5976,85.2438,84.4843,90.3289,84.8506,8.9233,33.9379,26.7506,25.1166,24.9853,74.9904,24.7834,77.3484,74.6746,25.2051,25.2924,86.1355,4.5755,77.9727,75.5425,79.6691,77.287,2.747,76.5748,44.64],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[37.5889,17.6942,17.8224,41.7595,17.8837,53.0922,2.4351,23.8107,27.8247,15.4223,18.6289,0.067,19.614,25.3639,46.5426,27.7352,8.4173,24.0827,48.0899,7.685,22.4551,6.7854,12.1221,33.3016,30.141,20.1551,16.7406,17.3216,20.3084,21.4033,15.0126,22.6303,37.3799,8.7051,40.9802,48.4797,51.145,33.9759,17.684,18.1141,26.046,42.5834,37.6161,21.6588,44.0067,32.2577,36.1279,31.3604,27.7024,43.228,32.8069,23.7086],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-35.1,"control":-37.7,"force":-40.0,"direction":-28.6,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":23.7,"intensity":28.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-35.1","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-37.7","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-40.0","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-28.6","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"40.0","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"10.6%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"38%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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