{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"2657 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"ec1985c0-edd1-4c75-8468-549faa8b9f9a","symbol":"2657","name":"FOREST CABIN","exchange":"HKG","country":"HK","asset_type":"equity","currency":"HKD","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Household & Personal Products"},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":33,"displayedObservations":33,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[0.133444,0.268299,0.395636,0.490211,0.493708],"opens":[42.779999,49.5,50.0,49.080002,48.68],"highs":[52.0,56.25,54.0,49.34,50.950001],"lows":[40.380001,45.299999,46.200001,46.02,47.34],"closes":[50.799999,50.0,49.540001,48.98,48.939999],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"42.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"52.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"40.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"50.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"49.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"56.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"45.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"50.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"50.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"54.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"46.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"49.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"49.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"49.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"46.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"49.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"48.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"51.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"47.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"48.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[48.828399,50.911599],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"slight strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has moved from the upper positioning area into the lower accumulation zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to classify the move.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the accumulation zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying conditions are repairing or continuing to weaken.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has moved from the upper positioning area into the lower accumulation zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to classify the move.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Accumulation zone","detail":"Price is in the lower accumulation area. With limited Market Dynamics history, the zone describes location rather than a completed positioning signal.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[83.4065,80.3682,83.6026,81.5443,82.0344,82.5244,78.604,73.7525,69.6361,61.1583,60.7662,71.1063,58.708,62.2854,56.4048,60.6682,58.365,54.3956,55.9147,51.4,45.24,40.5,36.6,33.5,28.6,30.72,39.1,43.78,50.8,50.0,49.54,48.98,48.94],"consensus":[-47.1911,-42.3424,62.2223,-52.3941,0.0,9.5275,-30.4084,-39.6038,-45.9186,-61.5222,-42.1299,18.8534,-67.4478,0.0,-51.205,0.0,-29.6241,-48.2394,-9.3414,-44.1983,-56.9843,-53.8754,-50.8557,-51.5238,-64.2602,-43.4358,0.0,25.2433,54.8458,16.942,14.8076,20.2048,0.0],"supportDates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,10.9864,-31.3996,-37.4927,-37.643,-57.6455,-35.8686,26.6788,-68.9961,0.0,-56.8864,0.0,-39.2076,-53.4023,-9.0175,-48.0435,-65.6112,-56.7892,-54.7209,-55.7004,-69.0014,-48.5752,0.0,26.2119,45.52,8.2694,6.2793,19.4488,0.0],"force":[-47.1911,-42.3424,62.2223,-52.3941,0.0,13.0698,-29.3138,-29.4314,-39.6965,-53.3558,-14.95,60.8371,-70.9755,0.0,-41.1706,0.0,-19.0964,-45.3878,-12.5928,-36.2922,-46.9476,-44.0797,-30.0413,-29.0187,-55.775,-13.0435,0.0,40.0864,87.185,0.5928,0.6117,11.9561,0.0],"direction":[null,null,null,null,0.0,5.3302,-30.0576,-49.2825,-59.8207,-71.7857,-68.6999,20.0782,-63.1585,0.0,-51.8793,0.0,-26.1913,-44.3757,-25.3788,-45.4511,-54.2942,-57.5424,-61.3058,-62.8254,-64.9025,-59.2709,0.0,13.534,42.4044,39.3784,34.6941,26.9609,0.0],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,60.0,50.0,85.7143,62.5,77.7778,10.0,100.0,100.0,53.8462,42.8571,40.0,62.5,29.4118,61.1111,36.8421,55.0,66.6667,72.7273,34.7826,41.6667,8.0,73.0769,37.037,71.4286,41.3793,6.6667,35.4839,3.125],"confirmation":[37.7678,36.2162,42.5778,39.4328,25.5337,48.4679,77.6822,80.3954,82.6304,87.4973,80.7486,34.1434,89.6672,7.0181,83.9932,33.2303,77.0128,83.271,27.6788,81.8439,85.7977,84.8972,83.5806,83.7381,88.2324,80.8949,5.551,76.5155,86.6783,50.479,27.1024,74.2257,24.7641],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,40.0,16.6667,28.5714,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,24.1029,32.8684,33.1413,29.9054,27.0318,19.2387,28.9337,34.8333,14.4398,10.4435,7.0208,46.2075,11.7928,20.0796,0.3856,24.1318,20.4533,22.2402,24.4783,24.0835,17.8312,27.8861,24.9223,36.4193,22.5687,41.501,41.5237,30.5295,22.3518],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":0.0,"control":0.0,"force":0.0,"direction":0.0,"confirmation":24.8,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":22.4,"intensity":3.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"No directional advantage","headline":"The gauges do not support either side","summary":"Control, force and direction are too balanced to support an upward or downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: wait for a clearer directional advantage.","tone":"neutral","supportedView":"Neither side","direction":"balanced","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+0.0","detail":"No directional advantage","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+0.0","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+0.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+0.0","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"25/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"41.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"15.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"40.2","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"42%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[83.4065,80.3682,83.6026,81.5443,82.0344,82.5244,78.604,73.7525,69.6361,61.1583,60.7662,71.1063,58.708,62.2854,56.4048,60.6682,58.365,54.3956,55.9147,51.4,45.24,40.5,36.6,33.5,28.6,30.72,39.1,43.78,50.8,50.0,49.54,48.98,48.94],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,82.6013,82.5873,81.8631,80.3885,78.4335,75.2925,72.6514,72.3705,69.8864,68.5044,66.3044,65.2797,64.0225,62.2721,61.1162,59.3496,56.7842,53.8235,50.6919,47.5661,44.1177,41.6818,41.2124,41.6792,43.3375,44.5489,45.4564,46.097,46.6139],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,76.2748,75.2386,73.8435,72.8675,71.7933,70.5046,69.4238,68.0887,66.3962,64.478,62.413,60.2713,57.9252,55.91,54.6648,53.8586,53.632,53.363,53.0798,52.7761,52.4919],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,91.6117,92.597,91.7198,92.2538,91.8358,92.0305,91.5034,91.1202,91.0337,90.6705,90.6333,89.7471,89.4025,88.2128,87.0171,85.5034,82.5801,79.04,75.8961,73.4367,72.3143,71.1571,67.5873,66.4683],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,63.7146,59.6572,59.6976,56.5481,55.2352,52.7564,51.8179,50.6369,48.892,47.7764,46.0313,43.1008,39.4586,35.9481,32.3393,28.5095,26.2524,25.8421,25.9887,26.5645,26.5712,26.6057,27.9629,28.1051],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,7.8902,58.6853,41.474,37.95,74.1374,52.6382,86.1782,33.6115,116.4663,33.5966,64.554,86.1155,30.9714,29.2625,65.1596,4.9614,6.1662,92.5466,7.3729,25.9265,29.6566,201.815,304.6651,265.8278,40.8393,28.8827],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,73.6445,65.0,65.0,65.0,74.5474,68.026,78.5903,74.6566,88.4387,84.6214,77.4366,86.9478,83.647,81.3341,76.6571,76.3365,75.9859,70.918,71.3142,72.6549,74.1929,84.8522,66.9123,65.0,65.0,65.0],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-3.6428,0.0,-2.4619,-1.8757,-1.2896,-5.9789,-11.7819,-16.7057,-26.8464,-27.3154,-14.9472,-29.7773,-25.4982,-32.5322,-27.4326,-30.1876,-34.9355,-33.1184,-38.5186,-45.8868,-51.5565,-56.2214,-59.9295,-65.7905,-63.2547,-53.2311,-47.6332,-39.2363,-40.1932,-40.7434,-41.4133,-41.4611],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.0161,0.0,6.0935,0.0,7.5586,3.4752,0.0,2.7928,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.4126,36.7133,53.0769,77.6224,74.8252,73.2168,71.2587,71.1189],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,56.7687,55.359,52.468,49.1044,45.9811,43.1082,40.1571],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,7.154,6.6757,6.1558,7.043,6.6212,5.9414,5.5787,5.2436,4.8674,4.6885,4.5569,4.3292,4.1641,10.1609,12.8552,18.6472,20.5111,19.153,18.5559,19.4228],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative 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