{"ticker": {"uuid": "ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728", "symbol": "3863", "name": "Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "JPX", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "3863 closed the latest completed week at 1,405 JPY. The 4-week return is 5.9% and the 12-week return is -3.1%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.20.", "description": "Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of pulp and paper products in Japan, Oceania, Asia, North America, and internationally. The company offers paper products, including printing and writing, business communication, wrapping, functional specialty, and converting papers; newsprints; household paper and professional products, which comprise facial and bath tissue, paper towels, pre-moistened and industrial-use wipes, and personal-care products; health care products; paper-based materials under the SHIELDPLUS brand; and paper straws. It also provides kitchen products; kraft and dissolving pulps; cellulose nanofiber; agriculture products, such as seedlings; plywood and laminated lumber products; and other products comprising Cu-TOP copper ion-loaded cellulose and wet non-woven fabric, as well as a shelf-life-extending agent under the Wasa Green brand. In addition, the company offers chemicals, including sulfite dissolving pulp, functional chemicals, lignin products, ribonucleic acid/yeast products, functional coating resin, and optical films for display devices. Further, it is involved in the energy business and construction-related business. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "55", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "1,405 JPY", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "2.1%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "5.9%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-3.1%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "65.4%", "hint": "34 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.7x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "sector": "Basic Materials", "industry": "Paper & Paper Products", "currency": "JPY", "market_cap": "145.2B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "1,300 JPY", "fair_value": "1,114 JPY", "vs_trend": "8.1%", "vs_fair_value": "26.1%", "high_52": "1,612 JPY", "low_52": "1,032 JPY", "drawdown": "-12.8%", 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"return_label": "-7.7%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 100, "volume": "7.6M"}, {"week": "5 Jun", "return": -3.0976965845909454, "return_label": "-3.1%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 20.186999815113175, "volume": "1.5M"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": -0.16393442622950818, "return_label": "-0.2%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 11.525052164496447, "volume": "872.7K"}, {"week": "19 Jun", "return": -1.6420361247947455, "return_label": "-1.6%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 18.768653759805602, "volume": "1.4M"}, {"week": "26 Jun", "return": 4.2570951585976635, "return_label": "4.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 9.43583106626872, "volume": "714.5K"}, {"week": "3 Jul", "return": 4.803843074459568, "return_label": "4.8%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 8.704207495840047, "volume": "659.1K"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": 1.3750954927425516, "return_label": "1.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 39.48522226037347, "volume": "3.0M"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": 10.022607385079125, "return_label": "10.0%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 45.855893927788486, "volume": "3.5M"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 3.356164383561644, "return_label": "3.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 51.6270040410977, "volume": "3.9M"}, {"week": "31 Jul", "return": -8.81378396288933, "return_label": "-8.8%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 78.26391273341962, "volume": "5.9M"}, {"week": "7 Aug", "return": 2.1075581395348837, "return_label": "2.1%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 83.94390005546605, "volume": "6.4M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "1.7x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "3.7M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "3.1M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "5.1%", "volatility_52": "4.1%", "downside_weeks": 20, "upside_weeks": 32, "downside_breadth": "38.5%", "average_gain": "3.2%", "average_loss": "-3.7%", "distribution_scale": "11%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "16 of 26", "detail": "10 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+10.0%", "detail": "Week of 17 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-8.8%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+2.1%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 7, "share": 26.923076923076923, "share_label": "26.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "5.1%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "4.1%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "32/20", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.2% / -3.7%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "8.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.7x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "1,405 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,300 JPY", "fair_value": "1,114 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.20", "relative_leadership": "-5.71", "volume": "6.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "1,376 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,292 JPY", "fair_value": "1,113 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.01", "relative_leadership": "-6.28", "volume": "5.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "1,509 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,285 JPY", "fair_value": "1,113 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.21", "relative_leadership": "1.86", "volume": "3.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "1,460 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,273 JPY", "fair_value": "1,111 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.53", "relative_leadership": "-1.05", "volume": "3.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "1,327 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,261 JPY", "fair_value": "1,110 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.88", "relative_leadership": "-16.16", "volume": "3.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "1,309 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,253 JPY", "fair_value": "1,109 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-1.05", "relative_leadership": "-19.30", "volume": "659.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "1,249 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,246 JPY", "fair_value": "1,108 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-1.14", "relative_leadership": "-23.02", "volume": "714.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "1,198 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,241 JPY", "fair_value": "1,107 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.89", "relative_leadership": "-28.55", "volume": "1.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "1,218 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,236 JPY", "fair_value": "1,107 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.36", "relative_leadership": "-22.19", "volume": "872.7K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "1,220 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,232 JPY", "fair_value": "1,107 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.37", "relative_leadership": "-23.26", "volume": "1.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "1,259 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,226 JPY", "fair_value": "1,107 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.93", "relative_leadership": "-21.10", "volume": "7.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "1,364 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,223 JPY", "fair_value": "1,106 JPY", "activity_pressure": "1.29", "relative_leadership": "-11.11", "volume": "5.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "1,450 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,217 JPY", "fair_value": "1,104 JPY", "activity_pressure": "1.54", "relative_leadership": "-2.98", "volume": "7.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "1,451 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "1,206 JPY", "fair_value": "1,102 JPY", "activity_pressure": "1.54", "relative_leadership": "-5.14", "volume": "3.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "48", "primary_driver": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 54.26013048983255, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 54.26013048983255, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 54.26013048983255, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 40.40277777777777, "score_label": "40", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.47; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 47.0, "score_label": "47", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.", "detail": "Is Nippon Paper Industries (TSE:3863) Undervalued As The Yatsushiro Plant Shutdown Clouds Outlook?", "metric": "47/100", "url": "/sentiment/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "2.1%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 5.9%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "53/64", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "47/100", "detail": "13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive, but selective", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "55", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 5.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 5.9% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 5.9% over four weeks, -3.1% over 12 weeks, and 26.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "2.1%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 5.9%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "53/64", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "47/100", "detail": "13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 54.26013048983255, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 40.40277777777777, "score_label": "40", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.47; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 47.0, "score_label": "47", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.", "detail": "Is Nippon Paper Industries (TSE:3863) Undervalued As The Yatsushiro Plant Shutdown Clouds Outlook?", "metric": "47/100", "url": "/sentiment/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/", "api_path": "/terminal/ec699931-9f9e-42ee-9619-800609a8f728/report/api/"}