{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ABTC Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"ec913bfa-dc15-4ad2-827d-857968f19df6","symbol":"ABTC","name":"American Bitcoin Corp","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Capital Markets"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":51,"displayedObservations":51,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","headline":"Downward price structure is confirmed by Market Dynamics","summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","take":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","tone":"negative","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.111649,0.064896,0.025478,-0.039397,0.09964,0.362163,0.605958,0.808523,0.808063,0.784708,0.774932,0.766675,0.699092,0.699441,0.642691,0.635066,0.535855,0.060737,-0.173471,-0.453422,-0.532246,-0.54022,-0.455824],"opens":[16.2,14.7,13.0905,13.95,13.95,18.75,18.45,18.225,17.775,16.2,16.8,16.5,13.4115,13.785,12.7965,10.92,8.0068,5.98,5.52,5.85,5.31,7.35,7.29],"highs":[16.35,15.3,14.796,15.15,21.6,21.45,18.57,18.9,18.45,17.4,16.95,16.65,14.25,13.875,13.182,11.0985,9.3295,6.12,6.65,6.2083,6.78,7.69,8.96],"lows":[14.1,12.9,11.55,12.525,13.68915,18.0,16.65,16.8,16.35,15.0,15.15,12.561,12.015,12.225,10.2,8.34,5.55,5.04,5.2649,5.131,4.92,6.8001,6.87],"closes":[14.202,12.9,13.641,14.283,19.5,18.6,18.15,17.85,16.65,16.65,16.95,12.9465,12.861,12.756,10.77,8.4255,6.13,5.44,5.72,5.52,6.47,7.26,7.93],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"16.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"16.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"14.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"14.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[4.5964,20.3436],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.455824,"state":"Negative and weakening","context":{"scenario":"negativeWeakening","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":23,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[111.0,118.35,106.65,98.7,104.7,89.25,71.1,84.3,76.35,69.6,72.9,66.45,63.6,33.45,26.7,26.7,28.35,26.7,27.45,24.6,22.95,22.65,19.65,16.95,15.0,15.3,16.35,15.6,14.202,12.9,13.641,14.283,19.5,18.6,18.15,17.85,16.65,16.65,16.95,12.9465,12.861,12.756,10.77,8.4255,6.13,5.44,5.72,5.52,6.47,7.26,7.93],"consensus":[-71.9807,-68.4588,-88.0,-39.2903,0.0,-22.8775,-28.9873,0.0,-23.5828,-13.3242,0.0,-19.9339,-16.1056,-49.3566,-41.9431,-14.6423,-22.053,-19.8978,-22.7254,-27.0519,-20.8076,-19.5693,-19.0712,-27.4421,-29.5364,-14.4707,-10.129,-20.2225,-22.808,-24.3534,0.0,0.0,18.127,0.0,0.0,0.0,-14.598,0.0,9.6421,-29.4801,-13.4193,-14.9736,-27.4456,-37.4008,-34.7961,-27.6547,-22.8737,-21.3064,0.0,0.0,-2.6027],"supportDates":["2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-29.8298,-35.8009,0.0,-27.6907,-11.0148,0.0,-22.1033,-17.8244,-43.662,-43.3053,-0.0652,-21.9172,-24.0798,-34.9472,-37.676,-26.7467,-26.6297,-19.3334,-35.7741,-40.3367,-15.6061,-12.4808,-30.208,-34.8387,-36.9397,0.0,0.0,16.3929,0.0,0.0,0.0,-22.4942,0.0,16.6397,-37.3158,-17.0926,-19.4735,-32.9008,-45.1533,-42.4167,-30.2479,-25.9425,-26.1515,0.0,0.0,-2.9639],"force":[-71.9807,-68.4588,-88.0,-39.2903,0.0,-20.9153,-23.1266,0.0,-21.7621,-7.2936,0.0,-16.124,-9.0649,-67.9235,-31.9729,-3.905,-6.3513,-8.1244,-9.3137,-19.9059,-10.4033,-8.2624,-13.7184,-19.7661,-20.0165,-2.1391,-2.3853,-12.7977,-16.1887,-16.6678,0.0,0.0,34.3303,0.0,0.0,0.0,-16.5594,0.0,11.7429,-36.4615,-7.4427,-9.9786,-26.4525,-42.6785,-25.5383,-13.9141,-8.5123,-8.675,0.0,0.0,-8.5209],"direction":[null,null,null,null,0.0,-16.3336,-25.3864,0.0,-20.1886,-20.2711,0.0,-20.176,-19.1703,-42.6027,-47.5078,-44.6989,-33.4237,-23.5279,-18.3375,-20.0142,-21.4517,-19.5766,-22.5949,-23.4026,-23.9932,-21.9812,-16.3801,-14.114,-13.7866,-15.4586,0.0,0.0,8.5349,0.0,0.0,0.0,-4.1729,0.0,0.1443,-15.5384,-13.4903,-13.3985,-21.9205,-24.7709,-32.6997,-34.5056,-29.6246,-24.7914,0.0,0.0,-4.7372],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,60.0,66.6667,42.8571,37.5,77.7778,10.0,27.2727,41.6667,92.3077,78.5714,26.6667,6.25,5.8824,11.1111,15.7895,25.0,4.7619,31.8182,21.7391,12.5,8.0,11.5385,7.4074,14.2857,13.7931,16.6667,6.4516,59.375,45.4545,38.2353,5.7143,16.6667,24.3243,7.8947,51.2821,40.0,7.3171,33.3333,41.8605,45.4545,51.1111,10.8696,8.5106,14.5833,34.6939,24.0],"confirmation":[45.7005,44.5735,50.8267,35.2396,0.9073,75.1551,76.9935,27.5545,75.4284,49.4485,24.7438,74.2297,72.913,84.4467,81.0972,27.858,51.9138,73.9448,74.6772,76.2769,74.2508,73.81,73.9356,76.4206,76.9969,49.5708,48.6663,74.0928,74.9135,75.3671,25.0447,24.438,74.3209,26.2281,2.3911,1.2704,49.9442,0.8824,48.3762,77.527,49.3894,72.5707,76.6692,80.011,78.7365,76.3912,74.8351,74.3592,3.0631,1.6957,32.397],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,80.0,83.3333,85.7143,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,30.4745,38.3677,35.4281,45.5934,37.6682,41.1996,11.5011,37.666,36.0681,25.1592,29.0123,42.6217,38.825,18.6202,15.0498,2.5255,18.7565,13.2873,27.7908,23.8711,23.6413,29.2908,40.368,25.6803,13.1242,35.5145,45.2991,35.9102,40.3745,52.4636,45.1243,47.3495,38.978,41.8016,35.7269,34.5857,41.2415,40.7781,36.0891,30.146,32.4541,36.1722,38.5318,38.3566,11.8098,43.7973,44.1128],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-2.6,"control":-3.0,"force":-8.5,"direction":-4.7,"confirmation":32.4,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":44.1,"intensity":24.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-2.6","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-3.0","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-8.5","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-4.7","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"32/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"35.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"77.5%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"55.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"18%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,-9.8859,-16.6033,-11.5336,-24.5881,-39.924,-28.7706,-35.488,-41.1914,-38.403,-43.853,-46.2611,-71.7364,-77.4398,-77.4398,-76.0456,-77.4398,-76.8061,-79.2142,-80.6084,-80.8619,-83.3967,-85.6781,-87.3257,-87.0722,-86.185,-86.8188,-88.0,-89.1001,-88.474,-87.9316,-83.5234,-84.2839,-84.6641,-84.9176,-85.9316,-85.9316,-85.6781,-89.0608,-89.1331,-89.2218,-90.8999,-92.8809,-94.8204,-95.4035,-95.1669,-95.3359,-94.5332,-93.8657,-93.2995],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,18.5654,7.384,0.0,4.7414,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.1798,0.0,2.809,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.0,9.0,4.0,0.0,0.0,5.7442,10.7209,51.1628,44.186,40.6977,38.3721,29.0698,29.0698,31.3953,0.3605,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.1471,1.4706,18.9338,33.4559,45.7721],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,71.0855,70.6541,70.3208,70.0798,69.9342,69.6879,67.632,65.7228,64.1018,62.5008,61.0708,59.9156,58.8429,58.1834,57.6396,57.1346,56.9331,56.9734,57.3181,57.6914,57.7897,57.8979,57.7035,57.0515,55.8084],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.3185,1.3046,1.2985,1.7526,1.7418,2.1083,2.0925,2.0841,2.0758,2.0492,2.0349,2.0234,2.0076,2.4948,2.4744,2.4563,2.4358,2.4067,2.521,5.0822,5.006,4.9608,5.0724,5.0163,4.949,4.8959,4.7617,4.6913,4.6367,4.5341,4.4362,4.2993,4.2585,4.6946,4.6447,5.1503,6.0878,7.4167],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.1922,9.0957,9.4416,9.396,9.6548,9.5773,10.0145,10.3478,10.368,11.4153,11.3703,11.7191,11.9261,11.7796,11.683,11.9873,12.3036,12.6543,12.5237,12.1178,11.936,12.4543,12.325,12.4256,13.014,12.8744,14.1378,14.2901,14.1239,15.3145,16.4389,18.2094,18.4807,18.2437,18.1819,17.8296,17.5889,17.1614],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.6}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,41.4231,53.5888,41.4834,74.3936,69.1859,55.4597,503.1906,238.1425,203.922,94.4804,82.2114,185.1042,153.3256,93.7701,111.0128,155.4205,137.2561,111.0875,129.059,167.4799,171.5654,126.4712,59.8882,69.6078,58.9206,146.5939,179.6654,111.1448,103.9726,102.8648,81.7464,54.8207,97.3807,78.6605,107.4652,84.1625,197.0262,18.158,11.5101,10.6862,12.3176,12.5121,12.0518,20.158],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,109.6922,100.3487,93.5575,105.4324,94.6897,86.3864,65.0,65.0,65.0,69.7322,65.6572,75.2878,67.0802,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,69.1915,75.0603,68.5584,65.0,65.0,67.6057,69.8479,75.8067,68.7859,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,66.6922,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.2072,65.0,65.2102,65.4068,65.7246],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.8306,7.6396,5.351,7.4585,3.3392,1.6268,3.8341,0.313,1.6975,2.5463,1.6975,2.0833,0.6173,0.2304,0.2301,1.4179,0.1491,0.0,0.6944,1.765,1.6057,0.3225,0.0,2.1057,3.1909,9.2821,8.2313,9.5934,9.1573,7.4131,8.971,10.6825,6.085,6.5714,6.0451,2.6761,0.3692,2.5108,2.0931,3.5583,2.7257,9.2926,14.0288,18.0456],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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