{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AVOL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"eceecda1-9665-467f-8559-282ed477a155","symbol":"AVOL","name":"Avolta AG","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CHF","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Specialty Retail"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Drawdown and recovery pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":28},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":28},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":28},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":28},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":27},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":27},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":27},{"week":8,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":27},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":27},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":27},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":27},{"week":12,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":27},{"week":13,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":27},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":27},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":27},{"week":16,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":27},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":26},{"week":18,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":26},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":26},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":26},{"week":21,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":26},{"week":22,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":26},{"week":23,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":26},{"week":24,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":25},{"week":25,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":25},{"week":26,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":25}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-12.9,"medianReturn":-12.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-11.1,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":1},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":50.0,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 50.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.2% across 20 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.9% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-18","price":33.055439}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":47.779999}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":53.75}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[32.1017,31.396,30.2515,31.3388,31.7012,34.1999,32.7121,32.5595,33.0554,32.8838,32.674,33.189,31.7203,32.3688,31.0527,34.5242,35.5351,34.486,34.734,34.1999,34.0473,37.3471,39.369,39.5025,39.7695,40.4753,38.8158,38.9493,38.1482,36.5079,37.5569,37.4043,32.7693,32.4069,33.9329,35.4779,37.4425,40.8758,43.0117,42.2314,42.9922,42.1924,41.6267,41.1586,41.9583,42.8947,43.2068,42.5045,41.9388,41.5682,43.6359,45.1184,45.1574,44.8453,43.5774,44.5137,44.5332,44.0845,41.9388,41.0025,40.6124,40.6709,41.1781,41.1781,42.9727,41.8608,43.0312,46.4253,45.1574,45.8401,45.8011,45.9767,47.4006,45.4305,47.0105,46.1327,48.1809,47.1861,50.3266,49.4976,44.8258,46.835,43.1677,46.0157,48.415,50.9118,51.3995,44.8258,41.9388,45.56,44.42,46.22,49.3,47.0,50.4,51.4,53.75,54.8,52.85,47.78,46.8,48.34,49.58,49.72],"consensus":[8.1149,-23.3307,-41.9863,13.0939,0.0,54.3861,-9.252,0.0,21.6115,0.0,0.0,21.375,-36.3224,8.8576,-42.056,56.9829,48.7633,0.0,35.8995,0.0,-10.4224,67.8414,72.8199,45.3912,52.0108,55.4937,-10.412,18.9773,-9.8047,-42.3408,21.8022,-17.0457,-71.1396,-21.0547,-8.6586,0.0,43.6452,62.3723,61.7853,20.3257,45.3321,12.5386,0.0,0.0,27.7093,38.0955,26.7466,0.0,-8.1446,0.0,49.9356,52.6512,27.5163,24.3467,-12.1805,28.6967,0.0,-9.0965,-53.7273,-50.8055,-37.0705,-30.6637,0.0,-13.7095,38.1861,-15.788,35.0799,66.2271,0.0,38.272,21.6502,23.7244,55.8361,-21.3559,45.8479,0.0,51.6059,0.0,65.6133,9.9079,-54.3241,27.5883,-63.1692,22.1603,51.7639,58.2619,48.8384,-51.8361,-58.975,17.4866,-34.4417,22.8613,54.3878,0.0,54.6579,26.5462,34.7016,50.3737,28.7568,-53.7327,-31.9035,0.0,0.0,14.5035],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[21.5684,20.0878,-13.275,42.5169,0.0,-8.4785,-50.2775,-51.1228,-30.9232,-24.4402,0.0,-15.7771,35.7755,-22.4565,33.0394,64.8357,0.0,31.4668,12.3425,33.4762,53.9528,-24.5132,44.434,0.0,58.3354,0.0,61.4775,3.9953,-46.9552,32.1616,-55.2409,31.2331,51.096,56.2631,53.0027,-48.6078,-56.1139,27.0296,-28.9612,23.1555,55.9446,0.0,61.8761,16.5074,27.6996,54.2398,31.4369,-50.1594,-24.9691,0.0,0.0,14.1491],"force":[6.5122,1.73,-39.915,27.6995,0.0,-24.5991,-82.526,-49.4653,-23.0537,-9.8395,0.0,-0.7159,60.7939,-29.0083,53.9875,84.7366,0.0,33.3502,1.7512,7.1585,64.3704,-59.8795,59.0388,0.0,58.8254,0.0,85.7128,25.2334,-88.4078,60.1796,-93.2409,68.1034,75.9036,74.8462,37.0498,-87.9111,-69.8187,68.0794,-36.6464,46.947,70.2087,0.0,55.5796,10.7728,16.9187,30.3356,3.1251,-89.795,-27.8589,0.0,0.0,15.0144],"direction":[49.317,45.3689,-8.8806,13.6144,0.0,-1.2705,-37.0995,-51.4003,-54.1079,-52.6506,0.0,-20.6278,24.7925,-1.2763,23.9065,54.5962,0.0,49.565,46.501,24.4122,51.8926,-9.7692,38.0416,0.0,38.7583,0.0,55.9831,50.8983,-38.4004,0.9179,-50.7504,21.0252,35.2847,48.7002,52.4995,-29.7578,-54.4994,29.5575,-39.1305,5.3211,41.3079,0.0,45.75,49.2857,55.406,60.2682,44.0023,-32.0576,-42.7173,0.0,0.0,14.5436],"intensity":[69.2308,15.3846,61.5385,28.8462,26.9231,1.9231,80.7692,73.0769,42.3077,9.6154,69.2308,80.7692,78.8462,40.3846,46.1538,90.3846,76.9231,9.6154,3.8462,1.9231,53.8462,73.0769,57.6923,32.6923,76.9231,53.8462,88.4615,84.6154,96.1538,67.3077,86.5385,82.6923,86.5385,84.6154,73.0769,100.0,98.0769,88.4615,80.7692,53.8462,82.6923,73.0769,88.4615,75.0,75.0,23.0769,63.4615,94.2308,94.2308,78.8462,26.9231,7.6923],"confirmation":[53.5891,52.4999,29.2875,76.942,2.9074,48.9971,86.123,84.2121,79.5291,77.2726,6.5158,49.2929,80.9453,50.9591,79.8329,89.778,32.2899,80.2008,51.7968,52.2717,86.1563,32.7106,83.0949,4.0575,84.6314,7.1459,89.6718,8.5469,86.5348,55.281,89.2514,35.5052,85.3103,87.1797,83.2056,85.7362,87.2461,35.9644,79.1721,53.3785,85.8625,27.1484,85.4086,76.167,78.6693,83.45,53.7135,86.348,78.1915,4.9842,27.6863,80.6621],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[36.1736,37.7688,2.9329,42.983,31.9181,29.564,18.6884,24.4425,31.3961,34.4982,28.8403,16.5395,30.2438,49.9265,29.6733,16.8444,45.3466,30.529,37.3545,29.4055,19.7533,4.0025,12.1878,5.0494,1.8429,39.7153,15.593,43.3879,19.8167,22.5613,18.2604,56.1144,19.0849,17.1705,25.471,7.2088,18.9868,55.2459,31.4699,9.413,21.7216,25.0547,20.4965,33.8934,28.1874,24.3855,20.2877,13.8122,33.5413,46.7551,47.5143,27.0233],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":14.5,"control":14.1,"force":15.0,"direction":14.5,"confirmation":80.7,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":27.0,"intensity":7.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+14.5","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+14.1","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+15.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+14.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"81/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.8","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.2%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"13.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"63%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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