{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BRCK Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"ed88f19c-128d-4bd2-a2fa-b8c48c739a90","symbol":"BRCK","name":"BRCK Group plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Industrial Distribution"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":14,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":3.9,"averageExpectedMove":12.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":1.7,"medianReturn":-1.5,"confidenceLow":15.2,"confidenceHigh":58.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":14,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":35.7,"averageReturn":-1.1,"medianReturn":-7.2,"confidenceLow":16.3,"confidenceHigh":61.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":38.5,"averageReturn":-3.2,"medianReturn":-6.0,"confidenceLow":17.7,"confidenceHigh":64.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":14.4,"averageExpectedMove":14.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-0.8,"medianReturn":-0.8,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-9.0,"medianReturn":-9.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-17.7,"medianReturn":-17.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-14.4,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-14.1,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-13.8,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-12.7,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-21.2,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-18.3,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-15.6,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-18.9,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-20.6,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-15.6,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-17.7,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":35.7,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 35.7% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -1.1% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 83.3% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 12.0% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-24","price":0.4965}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-05-23","price":0.639694},{"date":"2025-06-20","price":0.570284}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-05-02","price":0.665957}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.6231,0.6121,0.6121,0.5937,0.6019,0.5891,0.5753,0.5587,0.555,0.5743,0.6259,0.6075,0.5753,0.5587,0.543,0.6065,0.6277,0.5854,0.5891,0.5835,0.5357,0.5559,0.5196,0.5365,0.5572,0.5628,0.5628,0.574,0.574,0.5768,0.589,0.5384,0.5253,0.544,0.5665,0.6172,0.666,0.6416,0.666,0.6397,0.6603,0.6472,0.651,0.5703,0.5984,0.5947,0.5797,0.6097,0.6059,0.5722,0.574,0.5665,0.5815,0.5665,0.5325,0.5247,0.5443,0.5619,0.5638,0.5403,0.5286,0.5619,0.5482,0.5012,0.5149,0.509,0.5305,0.5286,0.5266,0.5188,0.5168,0.5501,0.5286,0.5384,0.54,0.546,0.524,0.516,0.506,0.522,0.461,0.436,0.42,0.405,0.524,0.558,0.56,0.4965,0.48,0.488,0.491,0.469,0.482,0.4955,0.491,0.525,0.503,0.486,0.48,0.495,0.526,0.514,0.51,0.504],"consensus":[-16.1835,-25.5124,0.0,-40.2371,-9.1461,-41.2903,-46.5456,-52.3011,-36.1056,0.0,51.7611,0.0,-35.4405,-36.4351,-41.4961,43.4399,48.6957,-24.9421,10.0884,-18.3918,-53.4782,0.0,-58.6212,0.0,19.3575,12.514,10.1,15.0954,0.0,0.0,25.6559,-46.3783,-33.9989,0.0,12.7586,60.7669,62.6171,0.0,55.0892,0.0,34.7011,0.0,14.4968,-59.8539,13.6762,-19.7944,-39.1973,35.6133,0.0,-45.0356,-11.0577,-28.0672,0.0,-21.1545,-57.8503,-34.2428,0.0,0.0,0.0,-31.9937,-28.5079,24.6942,-23.9767,-58.0045,-13.1699,-25.7965,15.4548,0.0,0.0,-14.0565,-15.4111,31.0587,-19.942,16.1296,11.8013,10.6198,-21.6685,-22.8596,-28.821,9.7579,-67.7479,-59.0581,-58.7903,-52.386,51.937,57.7222,37.1544,-21.5918,-30.3211,-9.4984,-10.5487,-30.4002,9.4031,15.2246,0.0,35.2159,0.0,-11.3522,-12.1661,0.0,42.8813,0.0,0.0,7.7973],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-22.8537,-53.0149,-30.1258,0.0,0.0,0.0,-42.3235,-30.0096,31.4264,-26.8753,-56.2478,-12.3914,-19.4197,23.4384,0.0,0.0,-18.1206,-15.8836,30.1104,-25.4137,14.3679,7.4846,13.091,-26.4085,-21.4802,-26.7544,18.6345,-71.5242,-63.4617,-64.6477,-51.6568,42.4166,57.5701,35.4907,-29.4054,-30.9909,-3.8498,-3.7212,-32.4094,9.7466,13.5592,0.0,35.3604,0.0,-12.0029,-13.2275,0.0,36.5283,0.0,0.0,15.642],"force":[0.0,-16.5158,-79.1204,-19.6977,0.0,0.0,0.0,-42.9244,-23.4075,47.0772,-31.3658,-79.2491,-7.5815,-15.2431,46.0965,0.0,0.0,-17.024,-10.1465,42.819,-37.5379,21.2176,11.8496,9.3996,-31.7837,-26.0282,-28.6322,30.4551,-82.9378,-52.9991,-46.374,-38.9146,89.7993,68.3156,20.155,-61.6308,-38.0718,-0.2823,-7.2241,-35.5273,29.979,31.4135,0.0,32.4604,0.0,-12.3107,-7.47,0.0,70.5593,0.0,0.0,16.8562],"direction":[0.0,-22.5258,-48.1836,-49.3374,0.0,0.0,0.0,-12.3805,-30.4347,1.0124,-15.3861,-44.8375,-28.882,-40.6225,15.5564,0.0,0.0,-7.2921,-18.6317,23.7422,-1.12,14.5088,16.7001,8.6672,-9.0263,-22.1727,-31.3177,15.1705,-52.5821,-58.3532,-60.9649,-62.842,35.7731,50.3293,51.1982,-15.9374,-24.0193,-22.94,-20.7263,-24.4416,5.6866,5.5642,0.0,37.019,0.0,-9.9239,-14.3073,0.0,30.3718,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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+7.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+15.6","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+16.9","detail":"Upward 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