{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"3430 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"edb99b3a-1791-4371-b1b3-558462ee54b4","symbol":"3430","name":"Microbit Bitcoin Spot Etf","exchange":"HKG","country":"HK","asset_type":"etf","currency":"HKD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":42,"displayedObservations":42,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Repair in progress","headline":"Market Dynamics is improving while price remains rotational","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","take":"Treat the repair as constructive context until price confirms it.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.240353,0.318444,0.178165,0.018308,-0.104598,-0.275995,-0.353558,-0.369563,-0.427193,-0.41657,-0.406526,-0.380791,-0.341577,-0.167766],"opens":[5.25,5.24,4.304,4.286,4.44,4.104,4.196,4.334,4.272,4.358,4.448,4.258,4.418,4.29],"highs":[5.305,5.24,4.304,4.286,4.52,4.104,4.196,4.334,4.272,4.49,4.448,4.388,4.418,5.205],"lows":[5.25,4.986,4.18,4.286,4.44,4.104,4.196,4.334,4.272,4.358,4.326,4.258,4.288,4.29],"closes":[5.305,5.0,4.276,4.286,4.464,4.104,4.196,4.334,4.272,4.458,4.354,4.382,4.288,5.185],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"5.25","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.30","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.25","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.30","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.28","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.35","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.33","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.33","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.33","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.33","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.37","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.43","note":"Cautious and 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repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.29","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.21","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.29","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.18","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.17","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[4.03194,5.37706],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.167766,"state":"Negative but repairing over four weeks","context":{"scenario":"negativeRepair","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Underlying pressure is repairing","detail":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Underlying pressure is repairing","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Repairing","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":14,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[6.95,6.6,5.695,6.205,6.27,6.285,5.96,5.935,6.04,6.19,6.53,6.105,5.625,4.408,4.53,4.638,4.614,4.926,4.88,4.832,4.688,4.582,4.892,5.105,5.325,5.195,5.43,5.5,5.305,5.0,4.276,4.286,4.464,4.104,4.196,4.334,4.272,4.458,4.354,4.382,4.288,5.185],"consensus":[-46.0993,-100.0,-100.0,44.2373,-30.0719,-8.0128,-22.0497,-34.751,-12.6997,-12.5656,43.6447,-27.0788,-61.3429,-86.1873,-54.5727,-50.013,-27.3147,10.388,0.0,-24.5344,-34.4404,-43.8763,18.5726,31.05,46.6695,0.0,29.3592,31.4788,12.0494,-36.8983,-52.9776,-34.4298,-18.657,-48.1859,-22.2593,-11.3582,-32.1975,15.9094,-22.1458,0.0,-32.8284,-71.5941],"supportDates":["2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-2.6165,-32.2589,-39.6973,-6.6188,-18.8909,36.3865,-41.4438,-55.9759,-85.0471,-55.765,-50.4068,-15.087,12.3374,0.0,-36.6891,-41.2058,-54.2223,24.6534,33.2721,37.8316,0.0,16.8488,24.7657,18.3426,-47.5706,-42.7264,-31.5962,-24.4494,-49.0271,-24.147,-15.0439,-29.3316,13.7045,-37.9896,0.0,-48.8963,-62.6179],"force":[-46.0993,-100.0,-100.0,44.2373,-7.3465,-5.4172,-8.1079,-19.0669,-4.3639,-0.5414,67.6022,-29.79,-79.5081,-97.2447,-21.9594,-16.8953,-1.4624,42.5958,0.0,-12.3232,-35.0475,-28.1262,51.6576,48.768,72.3002,0.0,28.949,22.6037,1.305,-44.8729,-67.7666,-9.6036,-33.535,-33.1594,-5.4939,-13.4054,-26.333,35.3457,-15.7644,0.0,-27.6825,-99.0218],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-56.7993,-29.7534,-20.3405,-40.301,-31.8376,-14.6988,34.8272,-8.7252,-54.5015,-79.5921,-76.5052,-73.2184,-59.7552,14.8455,0.0,-19.3655,-26.275,-43.3024,12.009,15.8549,38.4622,0.0,43.9498,45.4903,14.3962,-19.0052,-54.1297,-55.4011,-49.3172,-57.9578,-39.9256,-24.8342,-39.6617,4.5461,-8.5968,0.0,-18.1407,-62.2615],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,40.0,50.0,28.5714,12.5,55.5556,70.0,81.8182,91.6667,100.0,78.5714,26.6667,50.0,41.1765,5.5556,36.8421,40.0,28.5714,50.0,34.7826,45.8333,20.0,30.7692,3.7037,35.7143,58.6207,96.6667,12.9032,31.25,78.7879,8.8235,25.7143,2.7778,35.1351,13.1579,5.1282,15.0,92.6829],"confirmation":[37.4184,54.6667,54.6667,36.8226,32.93,26.6973,74.4754,78.5669,27.2342,48.974,82.807,76.529,88.2651,95.9343,84.4512,82.9889,53.4725,30.1097,4.2449,75.2936,78.9363,81.4028,32.0875,78.4421,83.85,29.9729,77.5731,77.905,48.9647,79.8879,85.5598,78.3041,34.1122,82.9487,52.7538,28.3502,78.1681,51.0503,74.6508,27.7262,78.1034,91.8828],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,50.0,60.0,66.6667,71.4286,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,28.0823,25.1195,38.0808,11.6023,20.1093,6.045,23.436,34.5916,9.2488,6.8565,22.6922,24.8925,35.7804,37.6135,34.8298,34.8123,26.385,13.1572,7.8062,14.3566,22.8806,47.5109,35.1884,33.5077,11.6661,19.0911,23.4936,32.7737,40.4565,25.7145,2.3994,14.2853,14.8003,35.6779,37.9537,5.8677,19.6549,12.505],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-71.6,"control":-62.6,"force":-99.0,"direction":-62.3,"confirmation":91.9,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":12.5,"intensity":92.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-71.6","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-62.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-99.0","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-62.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"92/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"29.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"74%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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3430 Technical Research Pack, completed week 2026-08-21, https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/edb99b3a-1791-4371-b1b3-558462ee54b4/technical-pack/","data_notes":{"time_series":"Parallel time-series arrays align by index with their dates array.","events":"Sparse chart markers are published as compact dated event records rather than null-filled arrays.","missing_values":"A remaining null in an aligned series means that observation is genuinely unavailable; zero remains a valid value."},"boundary":"Completed market observations and published proprietary outputs only. Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}