{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"GRAG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"ee65d7e6-a407-4eba-a706-2ed0b055bab6","symbol":"GRAG","name":"Leverage Shares 2X Long GRAB Daily ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":37,"displayedObservations":37,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","headline":"Market Dynamics is improving before price has fully responded","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.036991,0.133034,0.314419,0.356633,0.33921,0.258635,0.270413,0.312027,0.396895],"opens":[5.95,6.2712,7.34,7.53,6.18,5.34,5.9,6.2301,6.34],"highs":[6.23,7.445,7.59,7.82,6.3536,5.79,7.29,6.86,6.35],"lows":[5.67,6.2712,6.5,5.969,5.07,5.205,5.9,6.0329,5.55],"closes":[6.1646,7.3647,7.4779,6.0775,5.18,5.7731,6.29,6.1193,5.621],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"5.95","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"6.23","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.67","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.04","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"6.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"7.45","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"6.27","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"7.36","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.13","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"7.34","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"7.59","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"6.50","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"7.48","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.31","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"7.53","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"7.82","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.97","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.08","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.36","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"6.18","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"6.35","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.07","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.18","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.34","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.34","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.79","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.21","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.77","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.26","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"7.29","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.29","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.27","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"6.23","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"6.86","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"6.03","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.31","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"6.34","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"6.35","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.55","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.62","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.40","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[5.042126,7.615774],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":0.396895,"state":"Positive Market Dynamics ahead of price","context":{"scenario":"dynamicsAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Underlying strength ahead of price","detail":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","tone":"positive"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Underlying strength ahead of price","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Leading price","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[14.8384,13.5931,14.5583,14.1737,12.8827,10.4385,11.3795,9.9671,9.7809,9.0523,10.1559,9.4371,8.355,7.2,6.6035,6.6115,6.7203,6.9444,8.9841,7.7184,6.775,7.02,6.3331,6.125,6.2404,5.5263,5.362,6.2558,6.1646,7.3647,7.4779,6.0775,5.18,5.7731,6.29,6.1193,5.621],"consensus":[-41.76,0.0,-23.6167,-9.4233,-76.2846,-73.252,-19.8753,-80.827,-48.3001,-66.9874,-13.6913,-45.3284,-68.7858,-80.844,-71.2964,-52.3428,-32.7575,-22.682,48.3602,-38.3679,-47.7605,0.0,-53.8559,-34.1003,-23.8077,-58.4415,-31.1321,15.7715,0.0,51.9227,31.248,-40.19,-49.3635,0.0,0.0,-13.5424,-28.403],"supportDates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-77.3136,-2.5684,-75.548,-40.3101,-61.05,-1.4964,-49.2813,-73.3399,-80.1905,-72.14,-51.1531,-29.6395,-26.0333,40.9052,-50.3291,-51.2446,0.0,-48.7391,-31.809,-28.8515,-56.2691,-30.4897,15.8439,0.0,46.6873,24.9232,-47.3492,-57.9407,0.0,0.0,-20.8062,-42.5152],"force":[-41.76,0.0,-23.6167,-9.4233,-53.8789,-55.7925,-19.7094,-92.4948,-21.7855,-70.0564,-24.7672,-26.6489,-59.3232,-88.4725,-58.8034,-20.5792,-1.7554,-8.0046,94.6676,-64.2783,-69.7764,0.0,-70.1105,-21.285,-2.194,-77.2638,-14.2845,53.5278,0.0,79.0959,27.2561,-63.2399,-50.9889,0.0,0.0,-17.8426,-36.8199],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-92.2886,-81.0812,-73.8001,-78.5261,-76.3705,-71.5808,-58.5191,-54.1533,-70.3401,-76.1419,-79.256,-76.3908,-58.4653,-40.771,23.8034,-6.1905,-28.0531,0.0,-48.0933,-45.8729,-33.4817,-47.4799,-43.9003,11.2802,0.0,38.4966,41.3275,-15.544,-38.4001,0.0,0.0,-2.1694,-6.2628],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,100.0,83.3333,57.1429,75.0,22.2222,30.0,18.1818,33.3333,46.1538,14.2857,6.6667,37.5,17.6471,94.4444,57.8947,70.0,9.5238,27.2727,17.3913,8.3333,36.0,50.0,48.1481,3.5714,65.5172,10.0,80.6452,87.5,21.2121,88.2353,17.1429,19.4444],"confirmation":[36.0299,0.8978,30.224,25.6821,68.7201,90.8466,10.2483,94.3007,82.7697,89.62,9.0435,81.8756,89.6537,94.1125,90.4213,83.7998,54.9184,30.6463,85.0001,58.2184,83.9012,28.8638,85.8072,78.5565,52.2162,87.308,77.4586,31.2695,24.9173,85.5232,77.9741,81.4542,83.7152,30.7944,4.2999,49.6873,39.2139],"persistence":[null,null,66.6667,75.0,80.0,83.3333,85.7143,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,10.4923,12.997,39.4827,9.506,25.4634,9.7863,32.8876,0.0996,9.4695,7.0189,14.2697,23.616,30.6561,1.9968,25.1059,60.1466,26.8378,7.8524,22.7364,30.6391,15.9794,18.1533,26.7481,0.0731,2.8206,22.5365,33.5767,8.3312,19.4488,50.0695,47.5937,9.7782,41.9622],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-28.4,"control":-42.5,"force":-36.8,"direction":-6.3,"confirmation":39.2,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":42.0,"intensity":19.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-28.4","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-42.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-36.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-6.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"39/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"34.0","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"20.4%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"30.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"12%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[14.8384,13.5931,14.5583,14.1737,12.8827,10.4385,11.3795,9.9671,9.7809,9.0523,10.1559,9.4371,8.355,7.2,6.6035,6.6115,6.7203,6.9444,8.9841,7.7184,6.775,7.02,6.3331,6.125,6.2404,5.5263,5.362,6.2558,6.1646,7.3647,7.4779,6.0775,5.18,5.7731,6.29,6.1193,5.621],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,14.2258,13.5372,13.1449,12.5671,12.0605,11.5136,11.2667,10.9341,10.4652,9.8715,9.2773,8.7926,8.4158,8.1483,8.3003,8.1945,7.9364,7.7698,7.5086,7.257,7.0722,6.7911,6.5313,6.4812,6.4236,6.5947,6.7553,6.6321,6.3681,6.2599,6.2654,6.2388,6.1265],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.3254,11.9458,11.5501,11.1842,10.8536,10.564,10.447,10.2449,9.9878,9.768,9.5136,9.2626,9.0387,8.7785,8.5254,8.3573,8.1949,8.1334,8.0848,7.9361,7.732,7.5869,7.4908,7.3892,7.2582],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.2219,16.0043,15.852,15.8089,15.8773,15.9403,15.9187,15.8387,15.7167,15.5318,15.3751,14.6526,14.0846,13.1672,12.157,11.328,11.0784,10.5157,10.1607,9.792,9.5653,9.0071,8.5261,8.3475,8.2947,8.2829,8.2679,8.2533],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower 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difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-8.3924,-1.8877,-4.4796,-13.18,-29.6521,-23.3105,-32.829,-34.0839,-38.9941,-31.5566,-36.4008,-43.6934,-51.4772,-55.4972,-55.4433,-54.7101,-53.1998,-39.4537,-47.9836,-54.3414,-52.6903,-57.3195,-58.722,-57.9443,-62.7568,-63.864,-57.8405,-58.4551,-50.3673,-49.6044,-59.0421,-65.0906,-61.0935,-57.61,-58.7604,-62.1186],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.1914,4.2509,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1211,1.7688,5.1624,36.0506,16.8835,2.5971,6.3073,0.0,0.0,1.8841,0.0,0.0,16.6692,14.9683,37.3499,39.461,13.3439,0.0,11.4498,21.4286,18.1332,8.5135],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}