{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DRX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"eedb4041-3291-4a6a-a679-1b945dae3e62","symbol":"DRX","name":"ADF Group Inc.","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CAD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Metal Fabrication"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":19.6,"averageExpectedMove":25.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":17,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":58.8,"averageReturn":6.2,"medianReturn":1.4,"confidenceLow":36.0,"confidenceHigh":78.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":52.9,"averageReturn":10.8,"medianReturn":0.5,"confidenceLow":31.0,"confidenceHigh":73.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":73.3,"averageReturn":27.9,"medianReturn":13.3,"confidenceLow":48.0,"confidenceHigh":89.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":5.1,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":7.2,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":10.3,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":10.7,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":9.1,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":11.5,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":11.0,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":10.8,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":13.1,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":10.8,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":13.3,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":16.2,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":17.3,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":17.2,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":16.9,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":20.7,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":22.3,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":21.8,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":24.6,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":27.1,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":27.9,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Rollover warning","tone":"negative","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","use":"The upward trend may still be visible, but this transition increases downside risk. Further price weakness would confirm the rollover.","confirm":"Further price weakness with weak Market Dynamics would confirm the rollover.","invalidate":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":36.4,"averageReturn":17.3,"sample":11},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has moved below distribution","detail":"Price left the upper zone as Market Dynamics weakened."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 36.4% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 17.3% across 11 cases.","watch":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 9.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 12.6% across 11 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-30","price":6.619173}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-31","price":15.62}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[12.9926,13.1313,12.3192,11.7944,11.3586,11.0219,10.5258,10.2877,9.5536,9.4941,10.0298,9.9901,9.0278,9.375,8.76,9.1965,9.6231,10.1092,9.6727,9.6231,8.7798,8.6608,9.2262,7.9465,8.7897,8.0159,7.7183,8.4524,7.9365,7.8373,7.4802,7.0238,6.8949,5.258,5.9127,6.2708,6.2111,7.077,7.6046,6.9576,6.6192,6.6689,7.9629,7.9928,7.8136,8.1819,7.8634,7.5648,9.9039,8.58,8.6597,8.5601,8.8289,8.6099,9.9835,8.2217,8.3212,7.8437,7.7539,7.9335,7.5344,7.2949,7.1751,7.0554,7.3947,7.0554,7.6242,7.5543,8.213,8.8217,8.8317,9.4105,9.171,8.7618,8.3128,8.8217,9.5103,9.7198,10.5082,10.4683,9.5302,8.7019,8.7618,9.0911,9.3207,11.087,9.0911,9.64,10.3,10.51,9.63,10.27,10.92,10.66,14.95,14.37,14.66,17.91,17.58,17.92,18.39,15.62,15.09,16.33],"consensus":[-30.0532,0.0,-45.6293,-40.42,-43.3425,-43.8284,-43.9562,-37.7466,-59.5452,-35.3847,-12.2656,-25.4968,-56.9135,-15.0256,-45.3766,-11.5661,10.2211,15.2805,-15.8425,0.0,-52.2304,-25.2393,12.0095,-65.6059,21.7712,-42.8761,-43.8812,16.7386,-32.8868,-11.1467,-33.8506,-47.9059,-34.7527,-69.9607,-8.0768,0.0,-19.9709,35.6246,33.9716,-19.2099,-21.6063,0.0,46.2674,20.9749,15.8317,42.2241,0.0,-13.4111,70.947,-16.0799,27.8736,10.9916,24.6256,0.0,68.9585,-41.4128,0.0,-36.2387,-31.1395,0.0,-40.9401,-38.9056,-30.8741,-33.1471,0.0,-35.655,28.3767,0.0,47.2966,56.5432,28.1578,57.4647,15.8699,0.0,-32.0763,30.2161,51.471,38.0239,64.7591,35.2865,-21.9387,-45.4448,-17.8594,0.0,0.0,67.1527,-38.8961,30.5259,44.0286,14.1515,-20.7907,34.9515,45.6466,0.0,75.0387,26.9524,53.573,57.822,46.0441,55.3518,66.5166,-33.1833,-18.2266,39.4026],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[41.4012,0.0,64.7244,-40.829,0.0,-33.2563,-29.749,0.0,-43.2645,-42.8284,-29.151,-31.7381,0.0,-41.3705,33.5356,0.0,38.8814,52.2072,21.8224,58.3201,4.2532,0.0,-33.2883,35.8434,48.9238,32.6158,64.1659,30.9325,-25.3743,-45.3365,-11.5815,0.0,0.0,59.499,-43.2778,29.4794,44.1552,19.668,-32.8465,37.2105,49.3276,0.0,83.6106,13.641,53.9372,51.814,43.4142,52.3316,68.4206,-30.0995,-12.7508,56.3076],"force":[18.1644,0.0,90.9883,-85.6371,0.0,-51.2542,-24.314,0.0,-44.8844,-35.1066,-22.2685,-20.0077,0.0,-33.2255,49.65,0.0,77.3553,70.3559,7.7326,53.6385,15.4546,0.0,-59.2594,55.0123,70.3195,27.4973,69.5483,7.4282,-69.1525,-65.0144,-6.8351,0.0,0.0,93.6385,-82.7496,51.5611,54.3102,4.9374,-42.2467,43.4106,51.2203,0.0,69.8513,9.5984,31.8015,42.4017,10.7254,33.7954,52.6924,-97.6695,-43.2649,48.8796],"direction":[10.0687,0.0,58.062,-10.4913,0.0,-28.9217,-37.604,0.0,-35.4664,-37.1361,-38.9901,-44.1426,0.0,-30.8584,7.2855,0.0,35.4433,51.6325,49.9878,59.2202,51.5208,0.0,-11.2748,6.0735,40.9187,51.7236,62.0162,60.1612,-15.7118,-31.5904,-32.9087,0.0,0.0,56.9814,-2.5646,16.6966,36.5399,14.4285,-8.313,26.3276,37.4585,0.0,68.9475,68.2732,68.7078,75.7028,74.2774,74.2008,74.215,-9.3538,-6.6001,13.3134],"intensity":[7.6923,21.1538,88.4615,94.2308,90.3846,46.1538,5.7692,50.0,51.9231,30.7692,13.4615,3.8462,30.7692,21.1538,50.0,42.3077,73.0769,61.5385,76.9231,51.9231,7.6923,48.0769,42.3077,48.0769,76.9231,73.0769,69.2308,65.3846,80.7692,82.6923,46.1538,57.6923,11.5385,96.1538,96.1538,92.3077,61.5385,73.0769,73.0769,59.6154,59.6154,61.5385,100.0,46.1538,28.8462,98.0769,59.6154,50.0,48.0769,96.1538,94.2308,80.7692],"confirmation":[75.4277,28.4437,90.8026,82.6088,24.2029,80.0994,77.7778,3.5764,81.1856,80.2742,77.6437,78.2281,4.5796,79.2485,54.9836,25.4489,84.1792,86.5809,53.8179,86.2591,7.5977,6.6609,79.0744,55.6724,85.084,79.9293,88.8779,55.8423,34.4254,83.1404,50.808,26.7186,47.5705,90.4127,59.0498,78.4253,82.4006,49.4969,31.5633,79.4079,82.7207,28.868,91.7237,32.428,84.4743,86.1246,81.6978,85.1016,88.835,37.2931,52.0123,88.6401],"persistence":[37.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[55.1144,3.8457,10.5712,4.2287,21.4523,14.1889,33.33,11.2493,12.5451,12.4847,20.1598,27.2082,8.9077,0.2797,14.7755,38.876,25.5293,21.7196,35.8244,21.2634,41.4182,5.3495,27.0393,59.7394,7.2029,29.8749,17.617,32.3136,12.8794,24.7043,40.9231,48.7815,22.5842,16.3159,37.047,12.0714,17.7826,35.7007,36.7274,12.4655,6.353,9.4257,12.4333,36.2201,22.7089,21.0774,23.4785,21.6638,16.2275,27.1878,35.7629,56.5861],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":39.4,"control":56.3,"force":48.9,"direction":13.3,"confirmation":88.6,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":56.6,"intensity":80.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+39.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+56.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+48.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+13.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"89/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"62.6","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.5%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"42.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"79%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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