{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SAMPO Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"ef327943-4ef9-4ca3-a0f9-543b21cb65a1","symbol":"SAMPO","name":"Sampo Oyj","exchange":"HEL","country":"FI","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Insurance - Diversified"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":12.0,"averageExpectedMove":12.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-0.3,"medianReturn":-0.3,"confidenceLow":9.5,"confidenceHigh":90.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-8.6,"medianReturn":-8.6,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.0,"medianReturn":-7.0,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.5,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-8.2,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-11.1,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-10.4,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-7.0,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":59.1,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":22},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 59.1% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.9% across 22 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 3.7% across 23 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-12-05","price":9.554458}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-11-28","price":9.743855},{"date":"2025-12-19","price":9.806346}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[7.4862,7.4769,7.525,7.6786,7.5547,7.7915,7.6509,7.6213,7.7619,7.5158,7.6416,7.4103,7.4066,7.3807,7.501,7.6638,7.2975,7.2179,7.2401,7.3419,7.192,7.4029,7.2827,7.3604,7.5454,7.3789,7.4566,7.8229,7.9007,8.0431,8.0339,8.2022,7.9913,7.8433,8.1782,8.3296,8.6123,8.943,9.1064,9.1526,9.0334,9.0411,8.7526,8.718,8.745,8.8757,9.1045,9.093,9.0507,9.0065,9.3968,9.5198,9.5218,9.4276,9.3737,9.5006,9.2718,9.341,9.2353,9.4891,9.2545,9.416,9.2949,9.4872,9.5718,9.5698,9.7439,9.5545,9.5506,9.8063,9.8688,9.8448,9.5352,9.6141,8.893,9.0372,8.9738,8.6065,8.9045,9.0257,8.7834,8.968,8.8488,8.7238,8.8969,8.9411,8.9642,9.036,8.85,8.846,8.956,9.246,9.154,8.896,9.014,9.022,9.11,9.342,9.6,9.696,9.626,9.624,9.626,9.718],"consensus":[0.0,15.3415,17.1384,52.9236,-13.7167,57.8588,0.0,0.0,50.3278,-38.6995,23.2503,-48.1496,-23.1479,-22.9355,12.6697,42.7064,-55.0227,-37.9466,-13.8488,0.0,-43.6237,33.4055,-21.281,0.0,46.7556,-25.7443,21.6913,67.9026,42.1919,62.9999,24.7507,62.9177,0.0,0.0,56.2125,48.1397,68.219,70.914,68.2254,53.9861,14.0657,34.2221,-23.5951,0.0,0.0,28.8641,60.6358,35.7638,16.2133,11.3329,63.9797,55.4393,30.2432,12.123,10.5477,34.2242,-31.3656,19.6189,-20.9127,37.6624,-27.4853,32.7494,-18.7612,34.3838,34.3655,18.2776,43.9248,-12.4678,0.0,52.1669,30.9873,13.861,-34.8232,0.0,-73.6592,-15.6093,-49.0937,-76.5376,13.2958,0.0,-50.8065,19.5235,-36.3335,-39.0462,12.6218,0.0,0.0,21.8729,-26.3106,-12.5496,12.4839,47.4727,0.0,-9.9399,0.0,-12.0213,22.9707,41.9003,46.1471,56.1417,23.7806,31.4099,27.9175,39.6441],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[23.4771,1.5892,13.6671,44.1003,-27.5319,30.4343,-15.7947,46.368,-27.9818,40.4276,-23.3766,39.4607,33.1029,18.1919,40.8419,-17.3039,0.0,52.5294,35.4855,3.3906,-37.9723,0.0,-67.1537,-9.0859,-45.5699,-75.0192,18.5255,0.0,-49.2455,16.5309,-36.7677,-36.3533,14.5732,0.0,0.0,18.3258,-26.3821,-9.9854,16.0867,50.2674,0.0,-12.4845,0.0,-10.1595,34.8393,42.8138,45.0195,60.3683,14.3612,27.8451,32.2034,45.3674],"force":[5.905,22.5649,9.4207,28.8118,-67.2889,24.845,-38.8837,50.4922,-54.4797,44.8218,-37.2009,54.6886,35.3592,6.2459,47.5285,-42.1214,0.0,68.8546,15.6904,7.3901,-64.2501,0.0,-99.1676,-34.2827,-41.736,-91.8366,72.7705,0.0,-58.146,58.0901,-44.4232,-32.9579,39.8337,0.0,0.0,31.3545,-37.9801,-8.4871,25.4912,58.5109,0.0,-10.5914,0.0,-18.8715,23.1708,31.9582,30.1341,42.0023,7.5757,9.1054,11.5463,34.8898],"direction":[55.3603,48.9387,21.246,26.8032,-10.0876,3.5256,-13.9256,18.5491,-7.6361,15.3512,-0.3153,14.0783,35.0988,26.9697,44.8739,-14.2402,0.0,39.8327,36.7728,41.0066,-10.2051,0.0,-62.8737,-58.7019,-58.3764,-67.3453,35.163,0.0,-47.3481,4.6039,-30.059,-46.4726,9.0455,0.0,0.0,19.1542,-17.8933,-18.3819,0.9244,36.3943,0.0,-6.5664,0.0,-9.256,9.2636,47.9578,58.8737,61.4107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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+39.6","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+45.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+34.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+36.5","detail":"Upward 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