{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BCC Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"f34a2bb0-f68f-4ca5-997c-56c3e3fa1d68","symbol":"BCC","name":"Boise Cascad Llc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Lumber & Wood Production"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":9.5,"averageExpectedMove":11.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":46.7,"averageReturn":-1.9,"medianReturn":-2.9,"confidenceLow":24.8,"confidenceHigh":69.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":40.0,"averageReturn":-2.8,"medianReturn":-5.3,"confidenceLow":19.8,"confidenceHigh":64.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":69.2,"averageReturn":2.9,"medianReturn":4.5,"confidenceLow":42.4,"confidenceHigh":87.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":19.3,"averageExpectedMove":19.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-14.5,"medianReturn":-14.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-15.3,"medianReturn":-15.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-39.6,"medianReturn":-39.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-14.5,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-16.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-17.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-19.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-11.5,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-12.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-14.1,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-25.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-27.7,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-29.1,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-30.7,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-30.6,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-31.4,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-33.4,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-33.2,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-34.8,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-33.3,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-32.9,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-38.2,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-35.9,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-39.6,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":40.0,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 40.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.8% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 11.7% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-07-03","price":75.93}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-13","price":134.108585}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-11-22","price":141.308693}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[130.816,127.948,121.9964,133.5248,135.1366,139.0581,136.5126,139.9229,139.3038,133.0531,131.9032,139.8738,137.6821,141.3087,145.063,143.557,134.1086,120.8119,118.7254,116.8652,114.0504,125.9495,125.1031,124.1681,121.3335,119.7096,105.3106,102.2299,100.2181,97.9794,98.0879,96.9439,94.1233,94.3403,92.1805,94.1924,94.8235,87.3974,90.642,85.3658,85.6814,85.8137,84.7559,85.4578,87.5241,92.0916,90.1242,82.9368,87.1385,82.4029,81.1572,85.0129,90.1835,86.0114,89.2254,84.9237,78.7685,76.469,76.9447,71.6816,70.403,72.4448,69.8678,70.0165,68.4306,71.2455,75.567,72.6172,76.0567,74.327,74.6849,73.6809,82.558,85.0034,83.8304,80.3312,90.4907,85.9875,81.6434,82.4745,75.1082,69.7753,68.0808,74.1911,72.9651,79.9127,82.7735,83.8799,77.8793,70.4432,65.7782,66.9445,69.4962,68.08,71.14,74.66,81.02,75.93,76.06,77.19,77.84,76.38,86.6,83.24],"consensus":[39.7415,0.0,-20.7684,52.0058,23.667,38.6244,17.584,40.7092,10.9857,-22.226,-9.5187,37.118,0.0,37.1705,29.8557,10.7204,-38.3313,-66.8889,-46.0007,-37.9162,-49.0947,32.8367,-12.188,-10.873,-17.6168,-27.0313,-71.4689,-57.253,-46.4986,-46.1149,-32.8042,-45.066,-41.4083,-20.6485,-40.3966,-11.4604,-8.2318,-56.6806,-14.9885,-51.4586,-36.5517,-19.6259,-36.8427,0.0,0.0,31.3351,0.0,-50.2397,14.7179,-46.0397,-34.369,17.2754,38.878,-17.931,34.085,-27.3072,-59.2208,-45.7579,-26.4039,-65.4575,-45.4276,-13.821,-47.2652,-17.6729,-40.1858,0.0,34.5428,-22.7144,33.7628,-12.0464,8.8931,0.0,63.8877,51.1596,26.4704,0.0,71.0688,0.0,-21.9961,13.3143,-50.3545,-60.5209,-50.0517,0.0,-25.6934,45.2665,42.2033,34.4428,-22.9636,-62.9458,-63.6628,-22.6894,-10.8533,-31.7646,18.4655,33.3184,61.0277,0.0,17.1696,17.8888,9.9359,0.0,66.7494,7.9411],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[38.651,-29.1519,31.1394,-34.6861,-60.5162,-48.9497,-22.7025,-70.7812,-48.2931,-9.8055,-48.8226,-16.297,-47.7624,0.0,32.04,-32.9107,25.0664,-21.214,14.2123,0.0,59.2815,49.0792,18.1029,0.0,68.0361,0.0,-26.803,7.1688,-47.1203,-60.5872,-52.2827,0.0,-28.1626,41.3474,41.1977,32.5706,-35.249,-61.1712,-64.647,-14.3964,-2.3475,-34.5783,15.0049,28.7109,55.2083,0.0,12.6371,13.2967,16.0563,0.0,62.897,2.1994],"force":[59.086,-36.4843,44.9473,-45.4117,-79.9705,-40.2271,-5.8529,-72.8407,-30.3382,-18.4653,-41.0921,-4.9501,-31.1807,0.0,60.1526,-36.9523,57.168,-29.652,11.0796,0.0,87.7899,42.9689,0.008,0.0,88.9804,0.0,-50.8646,15.566,-71.0605,-73.1951,-41.2263,0.0,-23.5679,69.9551,42.5783,23.6361,-51.9669,-90.9225,-73.8117,-6.3106,-18.3012,-23.8359,45.6231,51.3142,86.4765,0.0,15.9409,20.8116,5.112,0.0,90.2195,23.0155],"direction":[24.7031,-8.1451,29.6928,-5.9423,-42.9191,-46.0607,-45.3132,-54.0994,-52.9308,-41.4719,-49.8945,-35.4048,-37.9592,0.0,19.1105,-0.8916,26.9835,-11.0063,1.2523,0.0,52.0788,59.3878,54.9351,0.0,61.7408,0.0,-4.1178,18.7293,-39.2608,-51.3922,-53.8059,0.0,-24.3897,32.1107,43.0846,44.3014,-11.7934,-44.9906,-55.2888,-52.8813,-41.3987,-34.2123,3.0222,25.7298,49.5007,0.0,23.2271,21.0492,6.3868,0.0,54.3878,41.6423],"intensity":[63.4615,48.0769,30.7692,53.8462,73.0769,65.3846,9.6154,69.2308,25.0,19.2308,25.0,38.4615,26.9231,40.3846,69.2308,34.6154,44.2308,36.5385,26.9231,1.9231,92.3077,94.2308,3.8462,59.6154,96.1538,82.6923,73.0769,57.6923,90.3846,86.5385,25.0,82.6923,25.0,88.4615,84.6154,42.3077,78.8462,94.2308,84.6154,34.6154,32.6923,5.7692,32.6923,48.0769,82.6923,65.3846,51.9231,59.6154,13.4615,11.5385,100.0,50.0],"confirmation":[81.0603,30.5367,79.2831,54.5109,87.5633,82.4253,53.2127,89.0903,82.0333,30.1059,82.913,51.3762,80.4696,30.4296,79.8723,52.8805,79.6499,29.2664,48.1647,47.9328,89.2427,84.1532,53.1249,30.9637,91.3341,33.7793,54.0571,49.7562,84.7938,87.7519,83.7136,32.2907,76.1195,83.2974,81.5318,78.7209,33.2277,89.0223,88.6664,53.1828,6.6184,77.8802,52.1227,79.2805,88.3931,31.6594,73.5259,73.8835,25.6059,26.958,90.1338,15.1314],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[15.3155,46.2237,31.4728,12.5453,19.8745,25.9611,36.5743,17.0971,26.043,33.2209,24.6104,13.1505,6.958,22.1745,29.9686,46.1905,32.3621,46.5614,20.371,21.9583,16.294,24.2943,36.4115,47.9353,12.3395,14.3089,11.1062,15.5349,24.6372,19.5868,24.535,48.7828,6.3213,25.5596,28.5874,30.5984,48.08,16.8382,18.0998,38.5872,41.7794,8.8498,33.4632,30.7,19.0163,50.6647,33.0642,18.8799,37.9244,9.3101,16.1138,41.8459],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":7.9,"control":2.2,"force":23.0,"direction":41.6,"confirmation":15.1,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":41.8,"intensity":50.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+7.9","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+2.2","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+23.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+41.6","detail":"Upward 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