{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"GSY Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"f45d7516-19ee-4e12-96a0-3c83088158a7","symbol":"GSY","name":"goeasy Ltd.","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CAD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Credit Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":13,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":10.5,"averageExpectedMove":10.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":14,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":35.7,"averageReturn":-6.8,"medianReturn":-5.0,"confidenceLow":16.3,"confidenceHigh":61.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":13,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":46.2,"averageReturn":-7.4,"medianReturn":-0.5,"confidenceLow":23.2,"confidenceHigh":70.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":53.8,"averageReturn":-1.0,"medianReturn":4.4,"confidenceLow":29.1,"confidenceHigh":76.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":14},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":14},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":14},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":14},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":14},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-6.4,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":13},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-10.2,"sample":13},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":13},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":13},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":13},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-9.1,"sample":13},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":13},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":13},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-10.2,"sample":13},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-8.4,"sample":13},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":13},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":13},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":13},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":13},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":13},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":13},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":13},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":13},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":25.8,"averageExpectedMove":25.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-12.5,"medianReturn":-12.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-17.3,"medianReturn":-17.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-2.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-12.5,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-14.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-18.6,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-22.8,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-21.6,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-21.5,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-25.8,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-21.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-17.3,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-18.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-15.7,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-24.9,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-20.9,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-22.7,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-21.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-19.6,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-14.4,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-10.4,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the improvement as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":46.2,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":13},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 46.2% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -7.4% across 13 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 10.3% across 13 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-09-26","price":172.063065}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-24","price":185.70462}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[179.0885,180.1141,166.3161,169.5164,172.0233,171.0782,174.9018,179.8725,180.6372,166.6141,166.9104,171.3363,165.4575,163.9567,166.356,160.3338,154.7227,156.5963,157.4687,161.8008,163.6685,167.5,185.7046,170.3303,160.7707,170.985,162.5613,158.4217,151.2304,143.3074,145.5023,145.757,137.8446,145.5918,153.5042,151.4434,156.5661,139.4777,146.9721,143.5991,145.2904,149.2369,148.5565,158.9087,161.6713,166.5059,166.349,169.7813,180.8333,177.8031,196.7494,200.3876,205.085,208.9193,210.3903,203.4375,200.5543,172.0631,163.2725,156.519,157.6165,164.7953,166.763,128.0115,121.5744,123.0378,138.4336,121.9007,120.9119,130.2364,131.25,131.46,138.72,134.29,129.16,125.12,131.36,121.58,117.5,107.38,109.59,35.72,35.95,36.42,34.87,31.37,32.54,31.66,32.54,32.99,29.99,34.95,40.21,40.53,40.25,41.6,40.08,47.51,47.26,50.96,49.02,47.62,49.9,45.8],"consensus":[0.0,0.0,-57.8688,-9.6157,0.0,-17.8117,20.7814,38.1363,19.8156,-48.363,-27.2351,0.0,-43.8795,-26.7751,0.0,-51.9268,-53.8508,-14.0631,-22.0036,14.9221,9.4485,30.8579,72.0694,-24.1033,-24.0882,37.6155,-40.3307,-37.1297,-49.4254,-53.1071,-18.9258,-31.2396,-58.1595,13.6547,23.1861,0.0,30.0174,-56.5857,0.0,-25.0921,-14.2554,19.2808,0.0,53.3643,38.1237,44.9695,23.0009,42.8825,70.3396,19.6881,76.3158,47.0625,63.2336,58.1857,52.1789,0.0,0.0,-63.0454,-66.8003,-67.4571,-42.1359,0.0,-13.4768,-79.3544,-69.8656,-26.2459,0.0,-69.8619,-37.9421,13.7728,-20.3081,-14.1346,28.954,-21.734,-28.2331,-38.2785,0.0,-57.5533,-47.7354,-71.1487,-23.4072,-81.4692,-49.434,-53.0012,-55.5899,-57.9599,-33.0693,-45.5026,-29.8508,-22.3108,-43.3251,0.0,8.1646,0.0,0.0,0.0,-23.8483,32.4878,22.9361,40.0057,14.6379,0.0,27.3527,-24.7762],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[66.044,57.6132,54.4037,0.0,0.0,-55.1073,-67.677,-68.5997,-43.2121,0.0,-19.6103,-74.3675,-66.7575,-9.3688,0.0,-72.056,-45.0442,14.5957,-14.7552,-25.2644,25.3024,-28.8492,-29.2515,-37.8429,0.0,-52.7689,-48.8085,-72.6805,-16.694,-75.473,-46.8095,-53.9392,-52.6005,-64.7981,-33.5721,-50.3706,-30.909,-23.5975,-45.8094,0.0,1.8121,0.0,0.0,0.0,-40.8625,29.6261,16.3419,34.7536,0.5066,0.0,22.6526,-28.8182],"force":[48.4017,41.1072,28.1697,0.0,0.0,-96.3415,-78.0832,-71.2509,-11.0346,0.0,-8.9751,-98.4471,-68.999,-12.7984,0.0,-84.4574,-11.6556,68.3423,-1.267,-3.5165,58.3456,-29.1197,-27.8882,-38.6529,0.0,-82.6633,-46.0802,-87.6539,-10.1487,-99.2668,-14.0171,-16.5191,-29.515,-39.4102,-5.8094,-16.7226,-5.238,-9.173,-31.6226,0.0,44.2413,0.0,0.0,0.0,-18.7149,32.3567,15.0973,33.1748,2.0256,0.0,24.3625,-48.4062],"direction":[70.6159,71.039,66.7856,0.0,0.0,-48.3347,-57.7393,-63.4414,-63.1213,0.0,-22.504,-71.4161,-74.0367,-73.4229,0.0,-56.9292,-48.6014,26.1458,-42.065,-14.0227,12.1333,-8.3268,-27.3156,-38.5089,0.0,-45.0855,-47.6913,-57.6085,-55.0479,-75.6096,-77.7313,-77.9879,-77.6314,-63.3945,-60.2652,-60.4964,-53.705,-43.3287,-48.8449,0.0,10.3443,0.0,0.0,0.0,-8.0701,35.8518,36.0717,50.8873,42.6905,0.0,34.8602,-3.2782],"intensity":[26.9231,36.5385,1.9231,55.7692,71.1538,100.0,98.0769,48.0769,1.9231,53.8462,59.6154,100.0,98.0769,65.3846,80.7692,80.7692,75.0,65.3846,57.6923,7.6923,44.2308,15.3846,46.1538,15.3846,34.6154,73.0769,67.3077,73.0769,11.5385,100.0,100.0,3.8462,7.6923,13.4615,3.8462,1.9231,3.8462,1.9231,19.2308,40.3846,44.2308,30.7692,9.6154,21.1538,11.5385,61.5385,7.6923,44.2308,15.3846,11.5385,21.1538,40.3846],"confirmation":[87.7399,86.1077,83.9316,9.7201,30.1883,89.3102,89.7066,89.6845,80.5193,10.1243,28.1162,94.0513,90.3779,32.8629,38.3639,90.7672,79.2321,34.3023,51.5293,49.8991,78.2167,75.0715,77.0086,80.2672,30.9474,87.2552,83.2085,91.2472,31.4017,94.7039,82.7795,83.8343,85.0397,85.8776,55.9623,81.6096,54.9175,30.7839,81.4695,8.2942,6.0158,25.3013,25.2285,3.3341,75.2157,78.4357,75.2012,80.6737,27.4904,28.6221,76.7334,38.8226],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[18.3666,20.9059,23.1614,19.8756,34.8607,18.387,16.5844,16.2535,28.8962,28.7925,22.6888,9.0424,14.6997,36.7389,50.1344,14.2257,16.5994,16.0042,14.9736,38.5265,29.3405,25.8646,6.0605,3.799,40.6526,17.0814,20.7249,13.7508,38.2349,9.2442,25.2554,23.42,22.1516,17.9673,7.9087,10.8684,9.0556,15.2969,15.1736,9.6261,14.2146,16.9164,47.4503,50.4144,9.3435,32.6816,37.8242,29.8362,42.4296,4.0571,21.0499,33.7471],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-24.8,"control":-28.8,"force":-48.4,"direction":-3.3,"confirmation":38.8,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":33.7,"intensity":40.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-24.8","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-28.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-48.4","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction 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