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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":12,"completedEpisodes":12,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":11.8,"averageExpectedMove":13.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.4,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":12,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":2.0,"medianReturn":1.9,"confidenceLow":39.1,"confidenceHigh":86.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":12,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":58.3,"averageReturn":3.9,"medianReturn":7.9,"confidenceLow":32.0,"confidenceHigh":80.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":11,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":45.5,"averageReturn":8.5,"medianReturn":-2.0,"confidenceLow":21.3,"confidenceHigh":72.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":12},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":12},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":12},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":12},{"week":5,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":12},{"week":6,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":12},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":12},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":12},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":12},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":12},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":12},{"week":12,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":12},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":12},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":12},{"week":15,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":12},{"week":16,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":12},{"week":17,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":12},{"week":18,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":12},{"week":19,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":12},{"week":20,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":12},{"week":21,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":12},{"week":22,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":12},{"week":23,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":12},{"week":24,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":11},{"week":25,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":11},{"week":26,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":11}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.9,"averageExpectedMove":6.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-0.1,"medianReturn":-0.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.9,"medianReturn":-6.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":9.8,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-13.2,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-14.8,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-11.2,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-15.8,"sample":1},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Downside evidence leads price","tone":"negative","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"The downside remains supported. Further price weakness would confirm that price is catching up with the weaker underlying position.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":53.3,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 53.3% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.9% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 33.3% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 17.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.3% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-09-27","price":10.658284},{"date":"2024-10-25","price":9.835635},{"date":"2025-08-15","price":9.741088}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-03-06","price":14.97},{"date":"2026-06-05","price":15.23}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-04-03","price":16.19}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[9.4379,9.5102,9.1576,9.5012,9.4017,10.6583,10.3509,10.0164,9.6096,9.8356,9.5825,9.5735,8.8683,9.0582,8.9135,8.4615,8.4512,8.1226,8.1409,7.8762,7.7576,8.1591,8.1956,8.4786,8.6428,8.9075,9.2269,8.6063,9.0353,9.3172,9.5642,9.5357,8.6239,8.7569,8.6524,9.0228,8.8993,8.8898,9.3077,9.1178,8.6714,9.0133,8.9848,8.6049,9.2508,9.7066,9.6307,9.2792,9.4977,9.2223,9.7066,9.7411,9.9375,10.0946,10.2124,10.4776,10.6641,10.507,10.8114,10.5561,10.8998,11.2042,11.872,11.9309,12.0782,11.872,12.3826,12.6673,12.69,12.72,13.23,13.26,13.97,14.61,16.18,16.07,16.3,16.65,16.71,17.18,14.97,14.68,14.05,15.03,16.19,16.96,17.78,17.17,16.18,16.63,16.32,16.48,16.25,15.23,15.71,15.42,15.07,14.99,14.0529,13.7905,14.3736,14.636,14.2958,13.63],"consensus":[0.0,0.0,-37.2279,23.8227,-19.4238,67.5002,0.0,0.0,-27.6888,10.1042,-34.8222,-15.9069,-60.7887,-15.0913,-35.5775,-62.5298,-41.1339,-54.0508,-31.9648,-57.1631,-48.4429,15.0971,-9.2014,25.2638,28.1373,43.4272,51.4722,-28.8182,43.9291,45.817,43.6601,27.7263,-47.4583,0.0,-24.8095,16.0296,0.0,0.0,39.2193,0.0,-39.4101,24.4754,-8.8703,-45.2934,53.5561,57.0087,25.6099,0.0,20.9056,-19.2707,43.3854,20.8235,43.029,38.2495,40.3646,53.4618,45.0244,12.7841,55.0607,0.0,48.7803,48.1894,73.3934,42.7324,38.6707,21.9855,63.9512,48.2465,31.8855,28.7948,64.8455,47.7273,70.2878,72.3482,86.3431,31.3139,45.4557,46.1864,51.9841,51.7931,-45.3461,-29.8581,-50.7305,14.1077,54.0874,55.9827,63.257,8.5144,-20.152,27.6906,-16.8432,8.9552,-13.2503,-50.2505,0.0,-35.5206,-38.6741,-24.2621,-56.6622,-47.0104,0.0,0.0,-25.8703,-50.4204],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[46.2699,35.085,41.2703,55.4149,41.4509,4.394,56.6437,0.0,53.0084,43.6251,75.6954,37.9257,29.1946,15.2298,71.1778,38.315,25.5774,18.1361,72.7331,53.3541,65.7815,73.7249,91.5913,20.7819,35.075,33.7277,61.0008,49.5814,-41.8546,-23.8246,-47.4276,29.5081,60.2982,60.1269,68.4352,4.6102,-24.3041,40.0157,-9.4508,20.6878,-18.7866,-45.1621,0.0,-33.1456,-34.1424,-25.7592,-51.7214,-45.8594,0.0,0.0,-30.4835,-57.4054],"force":[38.4511,25.342,27.4263,46.9329,32.3868,22.5842,51.2589,0.0,47.4682,42.4918,80.6613,18.4169,16.2345,16.8394,58.3968,44.7185,5.2724,3.4144,54.919,22.8084,82.8958,73.8892,92.9769,9.2869,26.2137,33.243,28.8633,37.3117,-90.1118,-38.3386,-60.8586,36.6977,62.4084,55.7975,63.1874,28.9069,-50.4576,32.9982,-34.565,8.2001,-23.6465,-65.9959,0.0,-37.9713,-38.7897,-9.8052,-61.5226,-29.9701,0.0,0.0,-22.7454,-52.8942],"direction":[42.5951,51.0856,48.5712,55.8931,58.1354,47.636,55.9672,0.0,44.8854,57.4756,65.5711,65.594,65.5266,57.4385,59.6597,62.1167,58.1042,59.105,62.9214,59.0959,66.432,69.674,75.6067,72.351,71.0636,69.6701,58.1941,64.6647,-17.3609,-30.696,-47.2708,19.6284,41.0458,51.3788,57.3886,50.2436,-6.2402,9.8137,-12.6333,3.9141,-0.5026,-44.8191,0.0,-36.4843,-43.7707,-32.8775,-58.8372,-60.4976,0.0,0.0,-22.8302,-40.6707],"intensity":[21.1538,63.4615,3.8462,36.5385,48.0769,7.6923,42.3077,34.6154,50.0,75.0,90.3846,67.3077,40.3846,51.9231,82.6923,96.1538,21.1538,34.6154,78.8462,1.9231,100.0,84.6154,100.0,98.0769,51.9231,75.0,94.2308,98.0769,100.0,96.1538,73.0769,84.6154,90.3846,82.6923,84.6154,69.2308,94.2308,63.4615,67.3077,75.0,30.7692,84.6154,88.4615,61.5385,50.0,55.7692,94.2308,40.3846,51.9231,32.6923,21.1538,65.3846],"confirmation":[81.5804,79.8947,80.5086,84.879,82.0771,7.9588,85.4794,32.3266,83.5053,83.3165,91.6723,81.0066,79.8353,32.2142,88.185,83.4827,54.8218,53.9366,88.3278,82.4276,90.945,91.1774,95.752,33.5914,82.1176,82.575,83.7929,84.1662,83.9282,77.905,84.5928,31.8223,85.4669,85.8457,88.1612,8.9345,53.9735,76.8349,74.0426,48.8322,49.9131,84.6376,31.0759,79.4775,80.4483,75.3005,86.3553,82.5416,8.4209,29.3178,76.113,92.1035],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[21.1593,30.4893,26.2433,22.4372,27.0015,40.261,21.912,18.239,14.9298,25.6973,13.2913,28.6334,30.6625,38.6057,16.0721,25.5187,33.0925,35.4297,17.4093,24.9537,14.8489,13.8257,6.8283,34.3426,27.2689,26.8958,16.2864,23.5582,23.7144,34.2642,24.4508,56.3403,16.5209,21.3316,18.341,45.0525,9.5246,31.1746,37.6736,36.4129,10.4936,22.8249,38.0837,27.4771,27.8101,7.4646,21.3934,26.3898,41.1825,31.4778,37.2824,8.9006],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-50.4,"control":-57.4,"force":-52.9,"direction":-40.7,"confirmation":92.1,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":8.9,"intensity":65.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-50.4","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-57.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-52.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-40.7","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"92/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"40.9","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.1%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"20.7","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"2%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[9.4379,9.5102,9.1576,9.5012,9.4017,10.6583,10.3509,10.0164,9.6096,9.8356,9.5825,9.5735,8.8683,9.0582,8.9135,8.4615,8.4512,8.1226,8.1409,7.8762,7.7576,8.1591,8.1956,8.4786,8.6428,8.9075,9.2269,8.6063,9.0353,9.3172,9.5642,9.5357,8.6239,8.7569,8.6524,9.0228,8.8993,8.8898,9.3077,9.1178,8.6714,9.0133,8.9848,8.6049,9.2508,9.7066,9.6307,9.2792,9.4977,9.2223,9.7066,9.7411,9.9375,10.0946,10.2124,10.4776,10.6641,10.507,10.8114,10.5561,10.8998,11.2042,11.872,11.9309,12.0782,11.872,12.3826,12.6673,12.69,12.72,13.23,13.26,13.97,14.61,16.18,16.07,16.3,16.65,16.71,17.18,14.97,14.68,14.05,15.03,16.19,16.96,17.78,17.17,16.18,16.63,16.32,16.48,16.25,15.23,15.71,15.42,15.07,14.99,14.0529,13.7905,14.3736,14.636,14.2958,13.63],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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leadership","title":"Strength versus the research benchmark","description":"Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.","reason":"Selected because benchmark-relative leadership is strengthening, fading or diverging from price.","series":[{"label":"Relative 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