{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"GULPOLY Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"f672d57e-b851-43e3-8e58-0eb7d7389c02","symbol":"GULPOLY","name":"Gulshan Polyols Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Chemicals"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":21,"completedEpisodes":19,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":6.2,"averageExpectedMove":12.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.8,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":21,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":38.1,"averageReturn":0.0,"medianReturn":-3.5,"confidenceLow":20.8,"confidenceHigh":59.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":19,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":36.8,"averageReturn":1.2,"medianReturn":-2.0,"confidenceLow":19.1,"confidenceHigh":59.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":29.4,"averageReturn":-5.0,"medianReturn":-8.3,"confidenceLow":13.3,"confidenceHigh":53.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":21},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":21},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":20},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":20},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":20},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":20},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":20},{"week":12,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":19},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":19},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":19},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":19},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":19},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":19},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":19},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":19},{"week":20,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":19},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":55.6,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 55.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.4% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 11.3% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-01-09","price":145.669998},{"date":"2026-02-20","price":153.160004},{"date":"2026-04-03","price":150.130005}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-09-27","price":232.839218}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[200.9456,230.6932,221.731,251.1953,243.1501,232.8392,219.2144,214.7926,214.2236,203.6632,206.8473,209.5423,182.1929,176.4735,178.919,183.9896,183.9796,174.597,175.5552,179.5877,171.4229,172.8003,180.0768,197.5445,213.5249,177.7611,174.2376,156.4006,163.787,156.3407,194.1109,179.7175,192.5937,185.7463,202.2159,193.2325,191.4957,184.6983,212.2074,191.855,184.7182,187.5231,182.9815,178.0905,177.7012,173.2794,167.2206,165.9829,169.5962,165.0047,172.9999,166.1127,166.0727,163.9068,160.3833,161.54,157.93,148.13,149.1,145.37,139.9,153.12,151.46,154.06,149.2,141.49,138.79,139.76,136.11,138.1,139.82,143.4,145.67,140.9,128.18,127.77,129.25,162.35,153.16,160.72,156.31,154.47,155.69,143.39,150.13,171.43,181.12,181.94,181.16,187.53,190.22,189.42,175.8,201.64,206.4,209.47,190.59,191.78,190.06,176.73,195.12,197.32,204.87,188.08],"consensus":[35.1818,65.9589,0.0,71.7231,10.6319,0.0,-17.6337,-15.2346,-13.642,-40.1806,0.0,0.0,-57.48,-42.4824,-31.765,-10.7728,-17.9789,-39.6779,-18.0585,0.0,-41.8215,0.0,8.9498,50.2647,56.3706,-38.3311,-21.4184,-55.6811,-9.135,-42.6633,54.7268,-19.1734,37.6826,15.7832,44.2467,0.0,0.0,-14.2174,54.6754,-29.5031,-20.4089,0.0,-21.6744,-24.1313,-16.1631,-32.9713,-39.9729,-30.4815,-12.9732,-32.7553,13.5965,-26.8042,-18.2784,-18.877,-34.8935,-15.0752,-32.4727,-52.771,-27.7794,-38.9269,-46.9647,26.5025,-18.7307,0.0,-23.1715,-49.406,-31.0363,-17.3111,-33.6706,-9.5003,-8.7963,14.5152,11.2036,-17.1333,-59.5048,-30.7032,-17.2446,62.5962,0.0,53.842,19.7368,0.0,14.3866,-43.7418,17.1155,63.8023,68.0272,37.4963,29.1858,46.1288,32.1265,17.0417,-29.7237,63.8189,38.276,34.524,0.0,0.0,0.0,-48.2434,40.3199,23.8294,35.1364,-29.1087],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-22.2586,-23.4735,-37.7659,-15.1648,-34.0276,-56.3455,-26.2086,-38.0645,-46.7348,23.0997,-27.7941,0.0,-35.1286,-52.1232,-27.4834,-9.7694,-30.4166,-7.3885,-13.0636,15.4092,0.6852,-24.4776,-62.512,-28.4154,-9.273,50.77,0.0,43.595,14.2,0.0,11.1689,-38.0549,21.8131,57.5135,65.4132,30.4215,21.0395,34.0427,23.732,10.4542,-28.2694,66.0965,37.4072,28.8988,0.0,0.0,0.0,-44.8957,35.8282,26.0689,23.8801,-37.4116],"force":[-8.5449,-10.446,-28.7759,-1.1682,-28.262,-51.5669,-7.6048,-25.2017,-37.1417,74.6555,-17.816,0.0,-34.4782,-58.2391,-19.9032,-2.8115,-26.1443,-11.0209,-4.1972,29.9961,19.405,-24.614,-75.1304,-11.8971,-5.1825,92.2721,0.0,69.9422,7.3059,0.0,5.4083,-78.4115,35.8529,89.1145,82.6343,16.3999,2.2591,50.6311,20.656,9.2259,-79.744,76.96,16.3006,11.3059,0.0,0.0,0.0,-65.8905,75.8743,21.56,49.9708,-64.328],"direction":[-20.6821,-19.646,-35.9804,-24.9063,-33.7034,-49.546,-43.985,-49.7161,-54.2437,4.0036,-9.0259,0.0,-1.43,-39.9913,-43.049,-40.3034,-42.7654,-26.5719,-13.2005,2.4356,17.3665,-3.3965,-44.9071,-46.7508,-42.3743,54.9147,0.0,54.0529,45.3809,0.0,24.4769,-25.4771,1.6371,52.9095,60.581,60.6507,57.7294,56.7256,49.9134,43.3329,-4.343,51.8295,54.9656,57.5371,0.0,0.0,0.0,-39.4643,20.0572,22.8909,37.4047,-5.5371],"intensity":[11.5385,7.6923,3.8462,9.6154,11.5385,46.1538,23.0769,30.7692,28.8462,76.9231,63.4615,25.0,26.9231,48.0769,55.7692,3.8462,9.6154,3.8462,32.6923,9.6154,55.7692,51.9231,59.6154,51.9231,7.6923,100.0,92.3077,50.0,44.2308,36.5385,23.0769,75.0,50.0,90.3846,82.6923,57.6923,7.6923,61.5385,76.9231,7.6923,94.2308,98.0769,82.6923,44.2308,92.3077,23.0769,34.6154,78.8462,86.5385,65.3846,98.0769,80.7692],"confirmation":[73.4918,73.7137,78.9357,49.7322,78.2392,84.7956,53.6318,80.0515,82.7328,56.1876,73.8278,26.1592,52.9106,84.0377,77.6465,50.9743,78.5948,4.798,48.5825,50.4364,49.3287,50.9321,87.4719,77.2867,51.3952,89.1154,34.1454,85.8763,52.4679,3.6212,49.7124,83.1406,51.659,89.284,90.2537,79.4637,53.9763,83.0826,78.0588,29.3881,57.318,88.7878,79.5918,78.4258,28.5954,24.4433,2.7933,84.0267,82.0544,75.5221,79.8673,56.7762],"persistence":[75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[23.9094,3.3986,32.3703,33.1242,32.1566,23.5241,35.4258,30.4714,26.4835,21.0426,28.467,42.1992,58.7756,23.8621,33.4912,40.7784,32.3167,22.4047,14.4023,23.0099,42.0287,33.6067,19.6139,34.5329,41.3045,17.182,50.4287,22.8941,39.529,30.7992,4.5778,23.8513,33.5492,11.8168,14.2816,31.1128,34.9048,20.9091,23.8524,28.896,12.532,11.3821,26.3377,30.524,42.0033,37.0398,47.5337,25.6661,1.7982,10.0533,24.9243,50.1668],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-29.1,"control":-37.4,"force":-64.3,"direction":-5.5,"confirmation":56.8,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":50.2,"intensity":80.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-29.1","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-37.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-64.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-5.5","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"57/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.9","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"9.5%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"26.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"55%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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