{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ELGIRUBCO Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"f93bc2e0-b32c-4c26-a550-291decb4bba6","symbol":"ELGIRUBCO","name":"Elgi Rubber Company Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Auto Parts"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":23},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":23},{"week":3,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":23},{"week":4,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":23},{"week":5,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":23},{"week":6,"averageReturn":8.0,"sample":23},{"week":7,"averageReturn":10.7,"sample":23},{"week":8,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":23},{"week":9,"averageReturn":11.2,"sample":23},{"week":10,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":23},{"week":11,"averageReturn":13.6,"sample":23},{"week":12,"averageReturn":9.5,"sample":23},{"week":13,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":23},{"week":14,"averageReturn":13.0,"sample":22},{"week":15,"averageReturn":10.4,"sample":22},{"week":16,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":22},{"week":17,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":22},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.4,"sample":22},{"week":19,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":22},{"week":20,"averageReturn":11.9,"sample":22},{"week":21,"averageReturn":10.5,"sample":21},{"week":22,"averageReturn":7.1,"sample":21},{"week":23,"averageReturn":10.3,"sample":21},{"week":24,"averageReturn":11.4,"sample":21},{"week":25,"averageReturn":10.4,"sample":21},{"week":26,"averageReturn":11.7,"sample":21}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":60.9,"averageExpectedMove":60.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":11.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-25.6,"medianReturn":-25.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-56.2,"medianReturn":-56.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-57.8,"medianReturn":-57.8,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-9.2,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-17.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-20.6,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-25.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-30.6,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-31.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-45.6,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-55.7,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-57.1,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-56.5,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-60.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-56.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-54.8,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-57.8,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-60.4,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-58.0,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-58.3,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-58.3,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-61.8,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-54.4,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-57.4,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-57.4,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-60.7,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-61.9,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-64.0,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-57.8,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 6.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 28.8% across 23 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-10","price":41.830002}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-12-27","price":146.839996}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[105.14,107.25,110.2,103.05,96.93,95.07,97.87,97.32,105.02,90.94,100.88,129.48,119.1,99.51,112.47,132.7,125.64,120.88,146.84,133.39,121.41,116.62,109.26,101.94,100.56,79.95,65.0,63.03,63.84,57.45,64.37,66.34,61.94,58.1,61.64,61.25,61.19,56.15,67.01,62.5,62.5,57.74,56.0,52.85,61.9,59.0,62.15,58.5,58.0,52.72,49.57,54.46,56.82,82.54,71.58,69.98,71.02,69.25,65.94,64.72,61.91,61.71,68.56,62.76,57.07,54.81,55.2,50.03,52.94,47.46,46.03,45.57,40.26,42.03,40.38,41.33,42.54,41.67,39.48,40.01,45.79,38.61,38.13,36.54,39.9,41.83,53.3,51.78,53.62,53.69,48.26,47.22,47.5,48.0,51.39,49.19,48.61,55.29,57.9,61.84,54.58,59.35,63.02,58.33],"consensus":[71.9223,42.8355,48.266,10.6969,-18.25,-13.6369,16.3644,8.2666,50.1376,-41.6934,39.8328,70.7756,0.0,-33.6885,45.9982,54.7838,0.0,0.0,67.6086,-11.7174,-25.8978,0.0,-36.5982,-38.0383,-32.4615,-66.1955,-68.068,-52.6597,-39.4794,-51.8183,0.0,-21.8764,-43.7817,-42.7928,0.0,-36.8478,-19.1975,-39.4933,30.4772,-25.3371,-19.6259,-34.847,-41.702,-48.1427,28.9714,-23.8376,26.7116,-23.0229,-13.1701,-47.6935,-44.3689,8.0128,0.0,71.0362,0.0,9.9783,30.7082,-11.8066,-15.6969,-17.9657,-25.1727,-16.0859,41.677,-28.043,-51.3956,-36.489,-16.7846,-61.8835,0.0,-61.5373,-42.398,-35.8345,-69.1572,-19.5428,-46.4075,-20.7386,-8.3563,-30.741,-32.8899,-21.2944,36.373,-46.2261,-21.2091,-35.8401,0.0,14.3781,63.628,17.8123,43.816,31.4148,-25.3994,-15.7251,-8.2665,0.0,31.5928,12.6377,0.0,62.5517,27.4491,63.7985,-15.6124,44.6545,50.6726,18.1341],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,59.4223,0.0,1.9438,23.6851,-8.8235,-14.3705,-20.7668,-22.1062,-13.3945,40.2678,-32.2761,-56.6537,-31.0917,-5.7944,-62.3489,0.0,-58.9221,-39.4522,-38.4206,-68.7677,-15.9651,-47.1007,-17.1823,-14.5009,-36.0807,-38.6155,-24.9174,30.3482,-46.5874,-25.0296,-40.3021,0.0,12.1559,52.9056,5.8975,41.37,24.419,-26.2914,-16.9542,-5.586,0.0,34.8832,14.8523,0.0,57.0289,18.179,57.2258,-28.2501,36.9942,42.5449,13.5364],"force":[0.0,97.6438,0.0,20.453,20.3849,-38.0572,-35.7282,-27.3451,-32.4131,-10.9865,69.438,-46.3154,-67.981,-38.3163,-3.4014,-74.3358,0.0,-83.2416,-34.0581,-19.4401,-84.4184,-14.7823,-41.3301,-4.7466,-15.7815,-29.1757,-25.9283,-5.7704,77.3872,-67.6963,-8.7035,-30.4984,0.0,22.4913,91.2675,11.81,32.0093,12.9719,-59.2933,-28.166,-13.1874,0.0,28.328,4.3355,0.0,91.502,8.1213,79.3093,-61.2236,61.4675,66.8393,64.5505],"direction":[0.0,65.3037,0.0,45.3403,46.1085,-3.5347,-2.9046,-8.0649,-23.5055,-22.8041,23.4584,-10.1535,-33.5396,-41.3522,-43.7633,-52.4571,0.0,-49.0231,-51.7217,-44.5892,-58.7014,-48.1495,-49.2418,-43.0066,-18.5753,-25.7565,-31.3188,-28.2424,13.9627,-30.4773,-25.7755,-34.5562,0.0,11.1227,56.1396,52.5879,55.0449,52.5836,-0.1701,-5.4342,-7.815,0.0,30.1643,16.0368,0.0,48.1846,51.849,60.2312,-31.4101,41.3997,48.4137,9.766],"intensity":[32.6923,94.2308,86.5385,82.6923,7.6923,7.6923,36.5385,1.9231,40.3846,9.6154,51.9231,46.1538,63.4615,40.3846,9.6154,44.2308,28.8462,50.0,57.6923,1.9231,51.9231,11.5385,5.7692,23.0769,25.0,3.8462,40.3846,5.7692,80.7692,80.7692,48.0769,9.6154,36.5385,73.0769,94.2308,90.3846,26.9231,21.1538,65.3846,32.6923,9.6154,50.0,40.3846,30.7692,3.8462,80.7692,90.3846,44.2308,82.6923,51.9231,42.3077,51.9231],"confirmation":[25.2137,91.7195,37.9215,7.2253,77.619,50.711,50.987,73.9922,76.3227,73.0331,82.2042,77.4661,84.8719,79.8144,28.3156,88.1751,8.6358,88.3933,81.3581,78.928,90.6013,31.0823,82.6851,52.2598,27.8782,77.708,78.2253,51.6192,80.9811,83.4412,74.3476,79.238,30.6185,72.8821,89.3667,7.4982,81.6986,77.5973,54.4805,50.7258,25.5028,25.1787,77.96,49.0906,23.8538,88.983,76.3359,88.9884,35.5609,82.9186,84.8318,40.0376],"persistence":[37.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[16.3413,14.42,53.3633,42.3814,31.2172,40.2706,21.8251,19.224,27.6197,28.2292,5.3993,2.4901,0.1886,15.4358,41.4823,19.0197,41.3313,17.6573,28.2288,24.6196,15.3204,34.843,22.0428,34.0613,36.9136,8.6335,0.1075,12.3102,21.704,13.1904,10.0312,22.5783,51.0759,32.381,18.1059,41.0171,27.9333,33.9107,27.3866,30.3766,39.5944,45.6617,18.2284,17.2478,12.5297,16.0268,32.3258,18.0808,54.2547,17.1299,17.9539,27.2892],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":18.1,"control":13.5,"force":64.6,"direction":9.8,"confirmation":40.0,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":27.3,"intensity":51.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+18.1","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+13.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+64.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+9.8","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"40/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"56.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"11.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"34.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"75%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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