{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ORC Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"f9608ade-9b4a-47d2-bd38-7e9c738f8cf0","symbol":"ORC","name":"Oracle Corporation","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Technology","industry":"Software - Infrastructure"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":17,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":10.5,"averageExpectedMove":12.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":17,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":41.2,"averageReturn":-1.5,"medianReturn":-3.5,"confidenceLow":21.6,"confidenceHigh":64.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":56.2,"averageReturn":0.4,"medianReturn":2.3,"confidenceLow":33.2,"confidenceHigh":76.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":68.8,"averageReturn":8.3,"medianReturn":10.4,"confidenceLow":44.4,"confidenceHigh":85.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":17},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":17},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":30.8,"averageExpectedMove":30.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":2.0,"medianReturn":2.0,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-25.9,"medianReturn":-25.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-45.1,"medianReturn":-45.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-19.1,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-22.6,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-30.8,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-30.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-25.9,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-36.1,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-33.9,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-33.5,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-32.8,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-32.6,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-34.6,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-39.2,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-43.5,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-51.6,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-46.2,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-48.7,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-50.6,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-45.3,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-45.1,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":46.2,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":13},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 46.2% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 5.5% across 13 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.6% across 13 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-10-24","price":243.504227}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-09-12","price":247.915207}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[120.7326,124.1989,123.7876,143.7824,147.9537,147.092,151.2829,157.8652,159.6125,158.6112,155.4308,173.316,172.1773,183.0537,172.6681,177.7922,161.3598,160.1818,158.7879,158.6308,149.1279,154.6388,172.7656,163.2791,166.0148,163.102,164.1647,154.5995,135.4295,135.6854,139.1494,127.2813,116.4761,113.5468,113.5468,119.833,131.5751,132.1681,141.3602,135.6077,142.23,150.2755,180.4216,179.2157,180.9157,195.7812,197.1035,209.3704,206.8437,210.8072,211.5008,211.7485,200.4031,190.108,192.1492,247.9152,254.3063,241.3755,247.073,252.7877,245.5396,243.5042,223.6963,200.6117,192.0035,171.4508,171.987,183.6831,158.3051,163.7659,164.8382,166.5658,167.1605,162.0811,150.7273,140.1304,119.8727,133.2981,127.2029,122.4423,135.5689,136.1665,130.5891,121.1675,125.6692,118.22,151.24,147.12,138.38,167.74,166.86,166.26,188.6,188.7578,157.8593,158.7558,131.4033,125.8651,123.24,109.96,104.14,110.26,126.22,132.28],"consensus":[-21.2027,44.8473,9.2283,69.0458,61.6409,39.2311,64.7707,62.2624,52.7535,34.5361,19.6818,79.614,24.5713,75.4324,0.0,55.9438,-44.1307,-13.7267,-25.8746,-16.7361,-62.5346,0.0,56.2467,-13.9475,33.2449,-8.3155,0.0,-47.7899,-72.4596,-33.56,-15.8937,-69.6389,-70.8837,-43.7741,-50.2647,0.0,27.2746,12.0843,36.2835,0.0,30.3702,55.4813,81.0692,29.8103,51.0319,75.4375,37.6101,71.1406,38.3491,38.5821,30.0095,28.4595,-9.4731,-31.2636,0.0,65.7629,49.1362,0.0,51.8916,40.1684,-8.1404,14.7266,-43.8326,-63.7105,-51.125,-69.9971,-33.64,0.0,-72.8202,-9.7112,-27.1506,-23.6692,-10.9869,-34.7717,-50.2905,-55.0283,-70.4835,0.0,-53.8594,-40.8229,17.436,0.0,-29.7107,-41.831,-12.7316,-44.5195,56.3288,0.0,-15.1718,69.0947,31.5941,32.7782,70.9633,20.6355,-15.7813,0.0,-47.6802,-28.8714,-44.9419,-66.2863,-55.5152,-14.6919,25.5747,-19.823],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-10.2914,-31.9213,0.0,54.8845,38.9213,0.0,51.1885,42.2485,-5.7498,17.4059,-36.8515,-57.7249,-42.4672,-65.2308,-25.5765,0.0,-70.0369,-2.8884,-26.8749,-16.2619,-13.4366,-40.2771,-50.8011,-53.653,-66.1665,0.0,-59.5287,-38.3517,17.8323,0.0,-41.279,-51.5732,-8.163,-45.4327,49.2672,0.0,-23.7417,65.6284,30.5923,30.4877,72.1302,4.7709,-16.9399,0.0,-52.4286,-20.1881,-49.6603,-62.5573,-57.3982,-9.9697,25.7117,-12.5692],"force":[-48.1807,-51.9925,0.0,88.1952,43.8317,0.0,44.6304,34.1663,-54.3653,5.9634,-86.1817,-91.7238,-59.1857,-86.831,-6.4438,0.0,-91.9522,-31.6029,-2.943,-0.7154,-10.1024,-25.93,-48.1946,-51.0383,-83.2965,0.0,-40.5062,-24.9329,58.2994,0.0,-22.9393,-38.9436,-10.2086,-42.8258,92.8463,0.0,-42.7984,91.9249,8.5788,13.8686,77.932,9.0663,-31.0703,0.0,-40.118,-10.2227,-25.4437,-80.5924,-44.5228,-30.935,78.5068,-37.7668],"direction":[-19.1104,-15.7055,0.0,62.1723,64.5993,0.0,57.8816,42.0783,-22.1454,26.4431,-21.5616,-50.5416,-55.2621,-63.42,-62.2813,0.0,-62.3352,-47.0186,-44.757,-48.5304,-23.2511,-34.7954,-51.2038,-59.4499,-66.2651,0.0,-56.9182,-54.9972,12.2051,0.0,-21.3265,-32.7595,-34.3386,-44.6856,38.3153,0.0,-14.3556,56.7491,49.1786,48.9027,64.652,59.982,-3.5365,0.0,-47.6551,-52.1156,-53.4767,-60.3294,-61.2148,-52.6793,12.3906,-15.296],"intensity":[63.4615,51.9231,36.5385,100.0,98.0769,71.1538,92.3077,71.1538,55.7692,75.0,86.5385,88.4615,84.6154,84.6154,86.5385,50.0,88.4615,94.2308,59.6154,3.8462,9.6154,13.4615,69.2308,42.3077,80.7692,59.6154,19.2308,34.6154,59.6154,40.3846,34.6154,32.6923,11.5385,23.0769,96.1538,92.3077,57.6923,90.3846,28.8462,3.8462,78.8462,86.5385,96.1538,5.7692,88.4615,17.3077,5.7692,65.3846,36.5385,19.2308,61.5385,46.1538],"confirmation":[30.9421,78.6261,2.4458,89.8935,83.7176,37.0001,84.3947,80.6393,8.7745,50.6467,83.4235,89.3323,84.7376,90.9847,55.3922,10.2869,91.9279,8.6944,53.288,52.3208,27.6576,78.7736,84.0213,85.5084,91.011,11.7599,84.7417,80.6167,32.0893,48.9611,77.1248,81.1495,28.2891,82.1807,87.2457,6.1946,31.2955,90.8589,77.424,77.9476,90.9029,7.8741,50.8316,1.2388,82.9548,76.8028,81.7153,89.7044,85.4011,32.649,35.105,75.0008],"persistence":[75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[24.3125,32.4686,47.1162,15.9909,25.3103,50.2056,23.9232,5.7668,20.0868,0.9944,21.4602,17.7578,24.0913,14.9414,32.7118,33.4457,13.2038,23.2925,12.9389,32.8869,37.772,10.1378,16.8859,21.6727,14.7438,46.05,21.7256,25.8426,35.7543,19.0642,32.9214,13.9246,33.2062,25.7549,17.4317,45.487,45.1656,15.376,25.132,28.2209,14.4386,35.0141,16.623,19.2481,25.9724,35.4624,25.3698,16.6502,19.1644,30.3265,2.4264,35.7964],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-19.8,"control":-12.6,"force":-37.8,"direction":-15.3,"confirmation":75.0,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":35.8,"intensity":46.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-19.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-12.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-37.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-15.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"75/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"12.6%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.5","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"31%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range 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