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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":39.3,"averageExpectedMove":39.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":11.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-32.4,"medianReturn":-32.4,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-37.8,"medianReturn":-37.8,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-44.8,"medianReturn":-44.8,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-30.5,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-31.0,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-15.8,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-32.4,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-25.6,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-23.9,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-28.9,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-28.4,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-27.7,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-31.7,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-34.4,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-37.8,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-39.8,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-39.4,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-40.3,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-40.5,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-40.5,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-39.9,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-39.8,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-33.5,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-34.8,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-37.0,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-35.2,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-38.9,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-37.2,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-44.8,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":80.0,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":5},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 80.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -9.8% across 5 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 14.5% across 5 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 8.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-30","price":519.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-11-14","price":1073.0},{"date":"2025-12-05","price":1084.160034}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-11-07","price":1558.800049},{"date":"2025-11-28","price":1544.0}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[470.5,470.5,470.5,470.5,470.5,470.5,493.28,579.0,580.0,585.58,585.58,585.58,720.0,810.6,760.61,550.0,565.74,497.0,497.0,497.0,555.0,645.0,680.0,590.0,540.0,555.0,562.0,482.0,482.0,482.0,482.0,430.0,430.0,430.0,430.0,415.0,415.0,415.0,519.0,519.0,519.0,519.0,535.0,676.0,699.0,798.0,798.0,971.33,950.0,970.0,1005.0,991.0,865.0,896.5,848.0,848.0,848.0,950.0,1060.0,1215.0,1400.0,1245.0,1488.5,1558.8,1073.0,999.69,1544.0,1084.16,1142.0,1070.0,1015.0,1166.0,1290.0,1190.0,1055.0,954.03,930.0,981.26,974.25,939.0,900.0,878.0,908.43,945.06,986.01,960.0,1116.0,1036.5,993.36,897.0,859.0,954.0,816.0,767.0,732.0,711.0,715.0,800.5,763.0,725.02,699.55,744.0,690.03,716.59],"consensus":[-37.8955,-31.1503,-28.3868,-27.0364,-35.9439,-34.2836,22.5137,62.2027,54.2542,61.0424,43.1586,37.0694,47.3819,85.1998,15.5539,-59.4247,0.0,-76.0319,-36.2911,-35.5079,25.6149,64.6269,73.6092,-25.9766,-53.8702,-10.6826,0.0,-73.8719,-34.7792,-35.189,-34.8404,-72.8703,-38.6586,-38.3923,-37.8686,-62.7333,-33.7669,-33.1165,67.9531,37.3224,37.761,37.759,40.4915,77.0639,72.4497,83.3214,49.3853,85.0759,35.6915,61.9734,55.6214,18.4457,-27.3045,44.0925,-34.9348,0.0,0.0,33.3459,70.8147,82.5199,80.6226,0.0,87.6956,70.2817,-50.1603,-46.166,63.2403,-56.6873,23.0816,-28.9098,-47.3797,32.7974,48.1831,-13.8158,-41.5944,-56.4646,-52.9424,-33.8632,-17.0912,-39.105,-49.911,-35.525,0.0,8.1021,21.0917,0.0,64.2425,-19.6536,-15.7444,-58.1917,-51.4504,24.8004,-66.5274,-54.7832,-41.1202,-40.9367,-45.9061,0.0,-22.0474,-44.0707,-45.6011,0.0,-59.0707,-5.2389],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-24.5295,57.1894,-27.9153,0.0,0.0,17.9479,84.0732,85.5555,93.8569,0.0,91.5775,78.122,-50.7837,-49.1477,59.9011,-47.8681,23.5007,-45.4034,-50.3284,41.7887,57.72,-28.719,-52.365,-60.3462,-54.687,-30.8124,-7.8937,-51.2909,-55.8625,-33.846,0.0,18.0252,15.2719,0.0,60.3143,-26.3809,-22.1768,-58.2331,-46.9227,32.6067,-62.4697,-64.3683,-39.2989,-36.911,-52.3974,0.0,-31.0017,-48.6697,-57.6271,0.0,-53.9965,-11.834],"force":[-91.8204,56.4615,-86.633,0.0,0.0,41.1071,62.258,95.6876,65.1256,0.0,99.3572,48.3397,-72.7862,-40.7923,90.6887,-99.4603,54.5483,-25.6678,-41.3297,50.322,51.0735,-30.5516,-55.5038,-53.5004,-42.734,-19.9635,-0.2662,-24.9747,-51.879,-14.8647,0.0,30.0314,47.9972,0.0,95.047,-69.8295,-24.3391,-86.2795,-57.8359,75.3098,-92.4393,-38.1171,-19.5354,-17.1893,-18.53,0.0,-9.2181,-56.7532,-35.441,0.0,-85.4866,-36.3973],"direction":[-15.607,20.2896,-6.0299,0.0,0.0,45.3999,61.7741,69.6453,76.567,0.0,74.9295,76.9941,-33.2864,-46.5968,47.4506,-36.2142,0.1264,-12.3758,-48.3311,10.004,35.2192,-15.1707,-19.3499,-54.1457,-58.2405,-47.2781,-39.6205,-35.2713,-41.7037,-52.2011,0.0,18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downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-5.2","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-11.8","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-36.4","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-24.6","detail":"Downward 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