{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ADS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"fcf0339a-4170-4547-8c17-fdee6f427e5d","symbol":"ADS","name":"adidas AG","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Footwear & Accessories"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":20},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":20},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":20},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":19},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":19},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":19},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":19},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":19},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":19},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":19},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":19},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":19},{"week":13,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":19},{"week":14,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":19},{"week":15,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":19},{"week":16,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":19},{"week":17,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":19},{"week":18,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":19},{"week":19,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":19},{"week":20,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":19},{"week":21,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":19},{"week":22,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":19},{"week":23,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":19},{"week":24,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":18},{"week":26,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":23.0,"averageExpectedMove":23.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":11.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-3.4,"medianReturn":-3.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-21.9,"medianReturn":-21.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-21.1,"medianReturn":-21.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-12.4,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-11.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-12.8,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-22.9,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-23.0,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-21.9,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-14.7,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-17.9,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.1,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-15.1,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-16.2,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-20.7,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-22.5,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-20.8,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-18.6,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-18.4,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-21.1,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Support weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"Treat the weaker support as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 12.8% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-02-21","price":239.165955}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-24","price":247.530457}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[213.1971,225.6466,214.6561,212.5163,211.8355,233.7193,231.6768,227.2028,221.6589,211.0574,216.0177,213.0026,209.1122,208.5286,216.9904,234.9837,233.4275,229.9261,229.5371,227.2028,237.1235,235.081,247.5305,247.9195,246.6551,251.7127,239.166,239.4577,229.9261,216.8931,217.963,215.8232,190.7784,190.4866,193.2099,211.0574,201.0395,203.2765,215.064,210.0579,215.4566,207.5058,196.3158,191.8005,195.9232,201.5182,204.3647,202.009,195.2851,164.1691,164.4145,163.1384,168.2917,163.2857,172.4634,173.7395,176.0462,176.9787,184.1442,184.0461,187.8742,183.9479,160.7826,154.6478,158.6722,148.8074,157.4453,161.2734,164.4145,162.0587,161.3716,164.3163,163.5801,156.9054,141.102,146.4025,150.0343,152.0957,155.7766,155.2858,140.0713,136.3413,131.0408,129.6175,132.415,135.2616,143.7032,133.7401,144.6847,146.85,145.7,154.5,166.6,161.45,176.35,174.9,181.7,185.3,181.85,181.1,173.6,159.4,164.05,157.55],"consensus":[0.0,48.2975,-23.0107,0.0,-16.4983,59.7881,23.0154,0.0,-9.9674,-47.5472,0.0,-24.1078,-39.5392,-13.9266,24.7456,64.4181,22.6396,10.4117,24.1427,0.0,44.392,16.4754,59.1267,32.5244,29.2927,44.5224,-29.2817,0.0,-44.271,-61.6359,-24.8993,-38.1726,-71.6425,-29.0674,-32.3194,21.4032,-31.6151,0.0,34.5174,-15.5263,16.7691,-19.8688,-51.3215,-43.2542,-9.7464,0.0,0.0,0.0,-28.8615,-74.1827,-30.7429,-43.7607,-14.7059,-49.3442,17.4729,-8.0781,0.0,0.0,36.9252,10.55,35.5765,0.0,-66.4879,-50.2496,-21.4395,-64.3358,0.0,0.0,13.7331,-10.3808,-13.3054,0.0,0.0,-41.2742,-71.4947,-11.9131,0.0,-9.5866,21.3809,0.0,-57.1222,-44.889,-59.4718,-42.5178,-20.9947,0.0,35.8065,-36.8261,41.2796,25.4138,11.9544,52.926,67.6338,18.3233,47.5155,31.4428,62.2189,55.8207,33.1962,28.638,-16.2459,-50.0582,0.0,47.5216],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-0.4336,-62.7856,16.0583,-19.8844,0.0,0.0,34.5938,1.7347,34.5308,0.0,-62.071,-48.7214,-15.8725,-68.7005,0.0,0.0,12.346,-23.4031,-25.1606,0.0,0.0,-46.1961,-73.4915,-5.5086,0.0,-8.5816,14.9275,0.0,-52.4141,-43.014,-58.1231,-42.0152,-18.1013,0.0,32.4644,-48.6591,36.5857,18.9936,13.067,48.5155,64.1643,4.617,40.5511,21.386,70.4579,58.1081,33.2174,23.4079,-14.1947,-38.8855,0.0,45.6156],"force":[-21.9703,-39.2855,63.8059,-7.1163,0.0,0.0,51.7203,0.7036,33.9871,0.0,-97.3161,-46.6131,-10.1243,-66.6794,0.0,0.0,31.0207,-12.6169,-8.1813,0.0,0.0,-54.5007,-92.0017,-28.4407,0.0,-7.1736,37.7099,0.0,-81.1977,-37.9481,-65.2068,-23.0939,-6.7664,0.0,63.676,-49.6484,69.1949,26.7275,4.0266,63.7943,80.9423,10.4627,31.0833,0.1549,41.9713,31.8142,0.1088,0.3603,-56.0255,-86.5441,0.0,59.2781],"direction":[-57.2142,-41.1673,14.0054,-5.4384,0.0,0.0,29.0216,27.6578,37.9067,0.0,-49.5155,-54.5936,-50.3473,-57.6736,0.0,0.0,2.9699,-6.099,-3.4166,0.0,0.0,-26.2017,-54.5649,-48.0567,0.0,-22.7069,17.0928,0.0,-45.3063,-51.9897,-56.9166,-56.9663,-44.1309,0.0,19.7193,-14.144,26.7046,31.8127,16.3455,50.2035,62.0928,54.5492,67.2121,65.2847,67.2656,70.3539,56.8057,54.8136,-9.8239,-36.7656,0.0,41.3025],"intensity":[25.0,23.0769,48.0769,67.3077,3.8462,32.6923,40.3846,34.6154,15.3846,19.2308,94.2308,94.2308,17.3077,51.9231,48.0769,44.2308,7.6923,28.8462,1.9231,7.6923,48.0769,38.4615,86.5385,28.8462,15.3846,32.6923,13.4615,25.0,90.3846,76.9231,36.5385,11.5385,9.6154,5.7692,63.4615,73.0769,76.9231,25.0,11.5385,76.9231,86.5385,48.0769,88.4615,3.8462,55.7692,46.1538,19.2308,3.8462,84.6154,92.3077,88.4615,53.8462],"confirmation":[8.4926,83.2788,32.6794,26.1268,25.5368,48.1268,80.3025,25.8769,79.352,29.8724,90.2829,83.9923,30.81,88.5924,32.1518,27.1797,50.2759,49.826,49.2542,24.8667,1.2832,81.5358,91.4729,8.7473,6.827,49.436,75.4379,3.5396,87.0846,82.1815,87.2263,81.0214,52.6932,5.3534,80.3584,79.9948,82.1318,76.2703,48.9002,85.3348,90.1013,7.4271,82.8103,54.5947,87.1674,85.0961,54.9474,53.7154,31.2047,85.3008,5.5975,83.5943],"persistence":[62.5,75.0,62.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[42.2793,19.9446,24.915,44.16,29.8203,42.7747,23.4534,34.385,24.2869,34.0107,16.5324,24.8213,39.218,17.8147,21.0244,29.9688,23.4407,51.49,29.1235,15.4192,3.3881,8.3395,13.3771,43.5944,45.1819,26.6843,38.5795,47.4788,16.6713,26.7618,20.2099,28.7008,30.6736,5.7372,29.3278,47.1193,26.6332,34.0669,8.328,23.2363,15.8077,39.6303,26.2199,33.9802,17.6262,21.988,15.553,20.6928,33.3498,24.8391,48.177,25.9375],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":47.5,"control":45.6,"force":59.3,"direction":41.3,"confirmation":83.6,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":25.9,"intensity":53.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+47.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+45.6","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+59.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+41.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"84/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.3%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"26.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"51%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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